Just in time for the UN climate summit in New York attended by Saint Greta of Aspergers herself, no less, and to order by the UN, the WMO has released its state of the climate 2015-19 high level synthesis report entitled, no doubt in deference to the Pig-Tailed One, United in Science.
It’s the usual bullet point summary of supposed ‘alarming’ man-made climate change impacts which it maintains have accelerated over the ‘five year’ period 2015-19 – even though the report only covers up to July 2019. Here’s the graphical summary of the report’s findings:
You get the picture. If we don’t decarbonise our transport, economies, industries, energy generation and personal lifestyles by 5pm next Thursday, our children and all of Greta’s little climate strikers will be dead from climate change by 2050. It’s all so nauseatingly familiar and so nauseatingly science-lite and evidence-lite that we need not go into it here.
But of course, the BBC has grabbed ahold of it and, with its usual licence to lie, exaggerate, scaremonger and hype with gay abandon, produced this article written by Matt McGrath. Matt starts off running:
The signs and impacts of global heating are speeding up, the latest science on climate change, published ahead of key UN talks in New York, says.
The data, compiled by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), says the five-year period from 2014 to 2019 is the warmest on record.
Sea-level rise has accelerated significantly over the same period, as CO2 emissions have hit new highs.
The WMO says carbon-cutting efforts have to be intensified immediately.
OMG, OMG, OMG! So far, so accurate (at least as far as reporting what the WMO/UN propaganda report reports). Except it’s not “the five year period from 2014 to 2019”, it’s the four and a half year period from 2015 to July 2019. Then Matt sprints ahead of himself and goes full on Dodgy Dossier:
Recognising that global temperatures have risen by 1.1 degrees C since 1850, the paper notes they have gone up by 0.2C between 2011 and 2015.
This is as a result of burgeoning emissions of carbon, with the amount of the gas going into the atmosphere between 2015 and 2019 growing by 20% compared with the previous five years.
Er, no. The Report says nothing of the sort. You sexed it up Matt. What it does say is:
The average global temperature for 2015–2019 is on track to be the warmest of any equivalent period on record. It is currently estimated to be 1.1°Celsius (± 0.1 °C) above pre-industrial (1850–1900) times and 0.20 ±0.08 °C warmer than the global average temperature for 2011–2015.
So, 2015-19 is only on track to be the warmest 5 year period on record and warmer than 2011-2015 by 0.2C. Global temperature was not claimed to have increased by 0.2C from 2011 to 2015. Read the flipping report instead of skimming through it! The report also says nothing about the cause of this rather sudden jump in temperature, only going into detail about the increase in atmospheric GHGs coincident with the increase in temperature, plus the continuation of industrial emissions. All we are told by the WMO info site is that:
An accompanying WMO report on greenhouse gas concentrations shows that 2015-2019 has seen a continued increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) levels and other key greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to new records, with CO2 growth rates nearly 20% higher than the previous five years.
Note that the 20% growth rate is not anthropogenic emissions, as implied by McGrath, but atmospheric CO2 growth rates. Big difference. McGrath compounds his disinformation by claiming that the cause of the 0.2°C spike in global temperatures is anthropogenic GHG emissions. This is not a claim made by the report.
So what did cause the sudden jump in temperatures that the BBC would have its readers think was the result of our indulgent western lifestyles and our scandalous reliance upon ‘dirty’ industries? It’s almost certain that 2015-19 was warmer than 2011-2015 because of ENSO activity, namely the very strong 2010-12 La Nina (cooling) event and the record breaking 2015-16 El Nino (warming) event – which has so far not seen a very pronounced La Nina following, as was the case in 1999. It also probably largely explains the very fast growth rate of atmospheric CO2. As usual though, the BBC publishes alarmist hype and lies which get read by the public who, whether they really believe it or not, absorb this rubbish not knowing for sure whether it is rubbish or not. Just like we all half-believed the sexed up dodgy dossier which took the country into a catastrophic Middle East war and got Dr David Kelly ‘suicided’. The BBC and UN want us to commit to catastrophic emission reductions to avoid a ‘crisis’ which is not happening.