There are probably two facts that define me in my 60s: First, I am a committed leftist, just this side of socialist, in fact. (I acknowledge the truth of Capital, even as I lament and struggle against its excesses.) Second, I am a lukewarmer, accepting of science but lamenting and struggling against the excesses of the Konsensus of NGOs, lobbyists and writers such as Naomi Oreskes and pontificators such as Greta Thunberg.
A Green New Deal has been put forward in America for consideration. I have been considering it on a new blog I started (https://thegreennewwave.com/). As many (most?) of the readers of CliScep are of the Brit persuasion and skeptics to boot, I thought I would present some of my findings here for analysis by some of you who might not be partial to either of my defining characteristics.
At my new blog I do not try to argue the fitness of the Green New Deal–I take the position that if you want a GND, this is what it will look like.
And what it looks like is surprising.
The (rough) annual cost estimates of implementing the Green New Deal range from $2.65 trillion to $5.88 trillion. Almost all of the variance is due to the differences in estimates for healthcare.” (Bernie Sanders’ and Elizabeth Warren’s Medicare For All will cost the government about $3.2 trillion a year, although the public’s bills will be lowered by a similar–some say greater–amount. Medicare for All Who Want It, the position put forward by moderates such as Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, will cost very little and may in fact lower government expenditures by as much as $12 billion a year.)
More surprising, the total annual spend on the non-environmental aspects of the Green New Deal for the high range estimates comes to $4.016 trillion. In other words, 68% of the annual cost of the Green New Deal is non-environmental.
As a Leftist Lukewarmer, this actually makes me more disposed to support the GND. The 40 million Americans living in poverty, the half a million struggling with occasional homelessness, the 200,000 rough sleepers–they need the updated New Deal that is included in the package. If asked for my opinion, I would say that the $1.8 trillion annual spend on the Green part of the Green New Deal would be better repackaged over a 30-year span instead of the 12 years demanded by activists.
But it makes me wonder why the Konsensus is so passionate about promoting the Green New Deal. Perhaps one of you will enlighten me.