Some of the more reasonable climate scientists on twitter, such as Steve Forden here (“There seems to be a growing love of vague societal collapse scenarios that if you don’t accept then you are either bad or naive”) and Richard Betts (“no excuse for making up doom stuff. In fact it quite likely puts off a lot of people”) are trying to push back against the fanatical climate doom cult.
Of course, it is truth that should be universally acknowledged that the problem is one of their own making. It is the relentless exaggeration and misleading claims from climate scientists themselves, aided by the media’s love of a good scare story, that has created this monster. They have nobody to blame but themselves. As I’ve said many times before, a relatively small number of high-profile activist climate scientists have misled the public, and have gone almost entirely unchallenged by the climate science community (the exception to prove the rule is that they have criticised Arctic ice “expert” Peter Wadhams, who according to James Annan has predicted 4 of the last 0 ice-free summers). We have all known for ten years now that when talking amongst themselves climate scientists describe Michael Mann’s work as “crap”, but they won’t criticise him publicly and he continues to receive awards and be invited to appear in BBC documentaries.
One of the victims of the cult, who got involved in the discussion with Richard Betts, calls himself “GreenAndRedTed ………….#VoteLabour” and declares in his twitter bio “Internationalist. Green. Left wing. Fight climate disaster & racism”. Another goes by the name of “Climate TRUTH #FBR #JC4PM Mark Cranfield”. Their twitterrhea over the last couple of days includes “The chance that there will be any permanent ice left in the Arctic after 2022 is essentially zero,” (apparently a quote from a Harvard scientist, coincidentally named Anderson), “Well we’re deffo on the brink” (addressed to Richard) and “Kevin Anderson predicts 4° by 2050”. Ted cited an article at “Radio EcoShock”, Kevin Anderson: What They Won’t Tell You About Climate Catastrophe, full of alarmist claims attributed to Anderson, based on a talk he gave at the Cabot Institute.
Another climate scientist queried the 4C by 2050 and doubted whether Kevin Anderson said it. Anderson responded that he had not said 4C was likely by 2060:
So who is right? Did Kevin Anderson say 4C was likely by mid-century, or is he being misrepresented by GreenRedTed and EcoShock? If you can face it, there’s an audio link in the EcoShock article to an hour-long recording of Anderson’s talk. I did listen to the first few minutes, and Anderson says
“This is the conventional wisdom here. We’re on track for a three and a half degrees C temperature rise by 2040, and they’re looking at that compared with today, so compared to pre-industrial times four degrees C or so rise by the middle of the century, that’s what we’re on track for at the moment according to the IEA. When Fatih Birol looks at this data the trend is perfectly in line with a temperature increase of 6 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.”
So he said exactly what he claimed in his tweet he didn’t say. Another falsehood in his tweet is that his comments were based on Richard’s models; they were in fact from alarmist economist Fatih Birol of the IEA. Doesn’t it seem a bit odd for a climate scientist talking about climate science to get his numbers from a non-scientist? The claim of the trend being “perfectly in line” with 6 degrees by the end of the century is total bullshit of course. The trend for the last 20 years is about 0.3C, which is in line with 1 – 2 degrees.
But fortunately, you don’t have to listen to the talk because Anderson has put the slides for Real Clothes for the Emperor: facing the challenges of climate change up on his website. The slides mention the IEA at the start but don’t have the quotes above. But very near the end there is the clear statement that “4°C by 2050-2070 looks ‘likely’ (could be earlier & on the way to 6°C+)”. So what he said he didn’t say is written there, by him, in purple and white.
What could possibly explain Kevin Anderson’s memory lapse and failure to bother to check his slides to see what he actually did say? Perhaps Kev, like Ted, is suffering from a severe case of Climate Derangement Syndrome.
TLDR summary: The members of the deranged doom cult get their misinformation from charlatans in the climate science community.