The Met Office have today issued their latest piece of warmest propaganda, Forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record.
It includes this graph, showing observations (black), forecast (blue) and previous forecasts (red).
The climate scientists quoted seem to be in denial of the recent cooling shown in their own graph, claiming that the Earth’s average global temperature has ‘remained close’ to the 2015 peak.
But notice that in the graph there is a gap from 2015-2019, with no previous forecast shown there. Why would that be? Is it because the Met Office didn’t make any forecasts for that period?
Well, in fact they did. Here is the Decadal Forecast 2016 (confusingly, published in Jan 2017), which included this graph:
One thing to notice is that the Met Office has done some major goalpost-moving, switching the baseline from 1981-2010 to 1850-1900, which makes comparisons difficult, but if you compare the two you can easily see that the observations line in the 2019 graph (there are two of them, it’s not explained why or what they are) would fall out of the blue region of the 2016 forecast.
With a bit of image blending, it’s fairly easy to confirm this:
Even the upper of the two black lines is outside the blue region of the 2016 prediction, and is likely to get further away from it, since the latter curves up sharply.
HT Rog Tallbloke, who produced his own graph yesterday showing the mismatch between the Met Office forecast and the observations, before the Met Office’s latest graph came out today.