Success in life is about saying what you need to say in order to get what you want without actually lying. It’s called the Art of the Deal, and politicians, lawyers and property developers are particularly good at it, which is why they’re so detested.
Academics don’t do that. They tell politicians and journalists what they want them to say in order to get what they want. (They may tell property developers too, but they don’t listen.) It’s called science, or global studies, or bioethics, or arselicking with tenure.
At the Conversation, Robert Kopp, Professor, Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, and Director, Coastal Climate Risk & Resilience Initiative, Rutgers University, says:
U.S. carbon dioxide emissions peaked in 2007, and Chinese emissions may have peaked in 2014. Solar energy, wind and energy storage are expanding rapidly….Meanwhile, China and Europe appear to be ready to take up the mantle of climate leadership that the U.S. is abdicating.
Wanyun Shao, Assistant Professor of Geography, Auburn University, says:
Chinese leaders are closing coal-fired power plants and ramping up use of renewable energy…. by taking the United States out of the Paris agreement, President Trump has opened up space for China to increase its political and economic influence. China is likely to seize that opportunity.
Henrik Selin, Associate Professor in the Frederick S Pardee School of Global Studies, Boston University, says:
President Trump officially, and entirely voluntarily, ceded hard-won U.S. international leadership. Already, China and the EU are showing signs they are willing to fill the leadership vacuum.
Robert H. Scott III, Associate Professor of Economics, Monmouth University, says:
Many reacted to President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Paris climate accord with understandable dismay, fearful that the U.S. is shirking its global leadership role, will fall behind in green technology and is helping usher in the worst effects of global warming…. After weighing many pros and cons, I believe it’s sensible to conclude it doesn’t really matter. That’s because efforts by cities, states and companies are already underway to keep up the spirit of Paris….
Nives Dolsak, Professor of Environmental Policy, University of Washington and Aseem Prakash, Walker Family Professor and Founding Director, Center for Environmental Politics, University of Washington say:
China has already emerged a leader in several renewable energy areas, particularly solar and wind….a growing percentage of new global electricity generation capacity is based on renewable sources…Thus, China has strong incentives, both commercial and environmental, to continue its focus on renewable energy. A similar logic, to some extent, holds for the EU and India.
Bill Hare, Director, Climate Analytics, Berlin; Adjunct Professor, Murdoch University, Perth; Visiting scientist, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, says:
… the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement …will likely cause other countries to reaffirm their firm commitment to the full implementation of the climate deal…Both China and India are now seizing the future, working to bend their emissions pathways while growing their economies and creating thousands of green jobs through massive investments in renewable energy….the US risks being left further and further behind… employment in the renewable-energy industry is growing rapidly in the United States (and around the world), and far exceeds that in coal mining….The increase in employment in solar energy alone over the past three years is more than twice the total number of jobs in the coal mining industry in the United States (which are declining).
Frederik Dahlmann, Assistant Professor of Global Energy, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, says:
in the US, there are already more than twice as many more people employed in the solar energy sector compared to coal.
Logical argument, a sense of scale, and the meaning of physical constraints are concepts entirely foreign to these people. A close reading of Alice in Wonderland would help them grasp the first two. As for physical constraints, they won’t understand that concept until they’re hauled off in straitjackets.