Following last night’s vote for Brexit, which was a surprise for many, including me, here’s an open thread for discussion. A few thoughts from me below.
The Brexit – Climate sceptic link
One of the most striking things has been the remarkable correlation between views on the EU referendum and views on climate, as discussed previously by Alex Cull. Almost all of the climate sceptics in my twitter feed are Brexit supporters:
While climate activists and climate scientists were all for Remain:
In fact it’s hard to find anyone who is climate-sceptical and pro-remain, or climate-concerned and pro-leave, the two exceptions that prove the rule being Jeremy Clarkson and Jenny Jones.
As Alex suggested in his post, this may illustrate “the age-old antagonism between Freedom and Authority”, with those who have a low regard for the institutional, preachy elite tending towards Brexit and climate scepticism.
Again, the “experts” got it wrong, as they did last May. The final Yougov poll predicted a 52-48 for Remain, getting it exactly the wrong way round. The pound surged last night as the polls closed in anticipation of a Remain win, only to fall back sharply later. The bookies got it wrong too, with odds of Brexit fluctuating around 3/1 to 7/1 yesterday. Irritatingly, I did not take up Warren’s suggestion that it was worth a punt. Clever Roddy Campbell got in at 10/1.
So how did this happen? How did a campaign led by Bumbling Boris and Flaky Farage defeat the massed ranks of the main political parties, business leaders, expert economists, top scientists and David Beckham? Answers below please.