I first wrote Climate Litigation almost three years ago. In comments below the article I have drawn attention from time to time to the ongoing and increasing number of Court cases around the world seeking to hold companies and/or states responsible in some way for climate change, or for not doing enough about climate change. Recently the comments by me and by others have, not surprisingly, related to the recent decision of the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) that has been wildly celebrated by the BBC and the Guardian among others. The judgment in the case in question (VEREIN KLIMASENIORINNEN SCHWEIZ AND OTHERS v. SWITZERLAND) can be found by those who are determined to read it, via the ECHR website, a press release (which has to be downloaded as a PDF document) and finally here.

The judgment is enormous, running to 657 paragraphs. In addition, a further 70 paragraphs are taken up by the partly concurring, partly dissenting, opinion of Judge Eicke. I will take a (necessarily fairly brief) look at the contents of some of those 727 paragraphs, but first, some comments at Cliscep that illustrate the folly of the majority judgment:

Robin Guenier: “Switzerland is the source of 0.08% of global emissions.

JitL “Nothing the Swiss government can do to affect their local climate at all.

Jaime Jessop: “…this appears to set the precedent that if national governments are not ‘doing their bit to tackle climate change’, even if ‘doing their bit’ makes no meaningful difference whatsoever to climate change because that country’s emissions are swamped by other countries’ contributions, then the citizens of that country can take their government to court for a breach of their human rights incurred due to suffering extreme weather…”.

Me: “On what legal basis can a Court interfere to order a national Government to take measures that will make no positive measurable difference to the lives and health of its residents?

Robin Guenier linked to an article by Francis Menton, whose conclusion is: “In other words, “democracy” means that a handful of unelected judges make the rules for everyone else, in accordance with elite sensibilities and religious cults. Could there be a better word for this than “Orwellian”?

Robin linked to another article, this time by Judith Curry, in which she states: “There will be a continuing need for fossil fuels. Rapid restrictions to fossil fuels before cleaner energy is available interferes with more highly ranked sustainability goals – no poverty, no hunger, affordable and clean energy, and industry-innovation-infrastructure. There is no human right to a safe or stable climate. Apart from the lack of an international agreement, such a “right” contains too many contradictions to be meaningful.

I followed up with another excellent quote from that last article:

The arguments supporting the putative right to a safe climate are significantly weakened once the adverse effects of the policies to bring about a safe climate on food production are understood. In addition, climate and energy policies have significant environmental impacts and cause environmental degradation. For instance, forest biomass-based fuel causes deforestation, and on-shore and off-shore wind turbines and solar parks may (and, in fact, do) harm the social fabric, real estate prices, nature, biodiversity, the scenery, and human health. The mining and manufacturing required for batteries, and other renewable energy-related goods and infrastructure cause adverse environmental and human health impacts, and renewable energy also causes CO2 emissions. Given that European Human Rights Court has taken the position that the right to life also protects against environmental degradation and health risks, these adverse environmental and health impacts associated with any policies to respond to the Court’s judgment would have to be taken into account.

Jaime Jessop again: “Causation cannot be proved beyond any reasonable doubt.

All are excellent points in my opinion. However, the knock-down argument to my mind, which means that the Court should have dismissed the case immediately, without seeking to stretch the law (and effectively make law), is due to the basis on which the Swiss ladies (technically a not-for-profit campaigning organisation which brought the proceedings on their behalf) framed their case (paragraphs 10 and 11 of the judgment):

The first applicant – Verein KlimaSeniorinnen Schweiz – is a non-profit association established under Swiss law (“the applicant association”). According to its Statute, the applicant association was established to promote and implement effective climate protection on behalf of its members. The members of the association are women living in Switzerland, the majority of whom are over the age of 70. The applicant association is committed to reducing greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions in Switzerland and their effects on global warming. The activity of the applicant association is stated to be in the interests of not only its members, but also of the general public and future generations, through effective climate protection. The applicant association pursues its purpose in particular through the provision of information, including educational activities, and by taking legal action in the interests of its members with regard to the effects of climate change. The applicant association has more than 2,000 members whose average age is 73. Close to 650 members are 75 or older.

For the purposes of the proceedings before the Grand Chamber, the applicant association solicited submissions by its members about the effects of climate change on them. The members described how their health and daily routines were affected by heatwaves.

In essence, the claim was to the effect that the lives and health of the elderly are being harmed by heatwaves. Heatwaves are caused by (or, at least, are becoming more extreme because of) climate change. Climate change is in substantial part caused by humankind’s ongoing release of greenhouse gases. Therefore the Swiss Government (being the government of the state where the ladies live) should take active measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

As pointed out in the comments I have mentioned above, there are lots of issues here. Causation is highly problematic in general scientific terms. In addition, the Swiss nation’s contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions is so small as to make no measurable difference to the climate, therefore nothing the Swiss government does can make any difference to the lives and health of the ladies who brought the case. There is no right to protection from the climate (the Court in essence simply made one up).

But most of all, there is more to climate than just heat and heatwaves. There is also extreme cold. And many, many more people die of extreme cold than die of extreme heat – around the world, in Europe, and in Switzerland. For the foreseeable future gentle global warming will have the effect of reducing the number of deaths from extreme temperatures. Declaring that something should be done to reverse that trend (however futile and Canute-like such an order may be) is actually an order to take steps to increase the number of deaths from extreme temperatures. And on any basis (human rights-related or otherwise) that simply cannot be right. Needless to say, I can find no indication to suggest that the Court listened to any evidence regarding the harmful effects of extreme cold on the lives of elderly (or any other) Swiss residents, nor can I find any suggestion that they even considered the matter. The Court’s decision is one made in the darkness of great ignorance of the facts, despite the numerous paragraphs devoted to the IPCC and evidence of climate change. See paragraph 510, where the Court purports to justify interveneing to reduce heat-related deaths:

…the IPCC has found (with medium confidence) that anthropogenic climate change, particularly through increased frequency and severity of extreme events, increases heat-related human mortality. Other scientific studies have also found that heatwaves have caused tens of thousands of premature deaths in Europe since 2000. In this context, the IPCC has also found (with high confidence) that populations at “highest risk” of temperature-related morbidity and mortality include older adults, children, women, those with chronic diseases, and people taking certain medications…

Not a mention of deaths from extreme cold.

The other substantial problem, of course, is that the Court has also invented a new law which cannot actually be found in the European Convention of Human Rights. An activist Court of unelected (and unaccountable) Judges has simply made the law up to suit an activist agenda. And activism was very much in evidence in the case. Among the third party interveners who were allowed to have their say were the following:

United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights.

United Nations Special Rapporteurs on toxics and human rights; on human rights and the environment; and the Independent Expert on the enjoyment of all human rights by older persons.

International Commission of Jurists (ICJ) and the ICJ Swiss Section (ICJ-CH).

European Network of National Human Rights Institutions (ENNHRI).

International Network for Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ESCR Net).

The Human Rights Centre of Ghent University.

Professors Evelyne Schmid and Véronique Boillet (University of Lausanne).

Professors Sonia I. Seneviratne and Andreas Fischlin (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich).

Global Justice Clinic, Climate Litigation Accelerator and Professor C. Voigt (University of Oslo).

ClientEarth.

Our Children’s Trust, Oxfam France and Oxfam International and its affiliates (Oxfam).

Group of academics from the University of Bern (Professors Claus Beisbart, Thomas Frölicher, Martin Grosjean, Karin Ingold, Fortunat Joos, Jörg Künzli, C. Christoph Raible, Thomas Stocker, Ralph Winkler and Judith Wyttenbach, and Doctors Ana M. Vicedo Cabrera and Charlotte Blattner).

Center for International Environmental Law and Dr Margaretha Wewerinke Singh.

The Sabin Center for Climate Change Law at Columbia Law School, and:

Germanwatch, Greenpeace Germany and Scientists for Future.

It was certainly the view of Judge Eicke that the other sixteen Judges had made the law up and in doing so have gone too far. Here he sets the scene in the four opening paragraphs of his separate judgment:

To my regret, I am unable to agree with the majority either in relation to the methodology they have adopted or on the conclusions which they have come to both in relation to the admissibility (and, in particular, the question of “victim” status) as well as on the merits. In so far as I have voted for a violation of Article 6, the right of access to court, as I will explain in a little more detail below, my conclusion was reached on the basis of a very different (and, arguably, a more orthodox) approach to the Convention and the case-law thereunder.

Despite a careful and detailed engagement with the arguments advanced both by the parties and interveners in this case…as well as by my colleagues in the course of the deliberations, I find myself in a position where my disagreement goes well beyond a mere difference in the assessment of the evidence or a minor difference as to the law. The disagreement is of a more fundamental nature and, at least in part, goes to the very heart of the role of the Court within the Convention system and, more generally, the role of a court in the context of the unique and unprecedented challenges posed to humanity (including in but also across our societies) by anthropogenic climate change.

It is, of course, perfectly understood and accepted that, under Article 32 of the Convention, the Court’s jurisdiction extends to “all matters concerning the interpretation and application of the Convention” (Article 32 § 1) and that “[i]n the event of dispute as to whether the Court has jurisdiction, the Court shall decide” (Article 32 § 2). However, it is equally clear that this ultimate interpretative authority comes with immense responsibility; a responsibility which, in my view, is reflected in the Court’s normally careful, cautious and gradual approach to the evolutive interpretation of the Convention under what is frequently described as the “living instrument” doctrine. Unfortunately, for the reasons set out in a little more detail below, I have come to the conclusion that the majority in this case has gone well beyond what I consider to be, as a matter of international law, the permissible limits of evolutive interpretation.

In doing so, it has, in particular, unnecessarily expanded the concept of “victim” status/standing under Article 34 of the Convention and has created a new right (under Article 8 and, possibly, Article 2) to “effective protection by the State authorities from serious adverse effects on their life, health, well-being and quality of life arising from the harmful effects and risks caused by climate change” (§§ 519 and 544 of the Judgment) and/or imposed a new “primary duty” on Contracting Parties “to adopt, and to effectively apply in practice, regulations and measures capable of mitigating the existing and potentially irreversible, future effects of climate change” (§ 545, emphasis added), covering both emissions emanating from within their territorial jurisdiction as well as “embedded emissions” (i.e. those generated through the import of goods and their consumption); none of which have any basis in Article 8 or any other provision of or Protocol to the Convention.

Interestingly perhaps, Judge Eicke, although German-born, has dual German and British nationality, and is the UK’s judge on the ECHR.

And its not all bad news. For all the hysteria surrounding the case (whether high fives at the BBC and the Guardian, or great anger and demands that the UK leaves the European Convention of Human Rights, by climate sceptics and others), the Court did have the grace to recognise its own limitations, and to pay lip service to the ongoing roles enjoyed by such concepts as democracy and national sovereignty. Her are the final two paragraphs of the main judgment – a good point on which to end, I think:

The Court further points out that its judgments are essentially declaratory in nature and that, in general, it is primarily for the State concerned to choose, subject to supervision by the Committee of Ministers, the means to be used in its domestic legal order in order to discharge its obligation under Article 46 of the Convention, provided that such means are compatible with the conclusions and spirit of the Court’s judgment. However, in certain special circumstances the Court has found it useful to indicate to a respondent State the type of measure – individual and/or general – that might be taken to put an end to the situation which has given rise to the finding of a violation (ibid., § 294).

In the present case, having regard to the complexity and the nature of the issues involved, the Court is unable to be detailed or prescriptive as regards any measures to be implemented in order to effectively comply with the present judgment. Given the differentiated margin of appreciation accorded to the State in this area (see paragraph 543 above), the Court considers that the respondent State, with the assistance of the Committee of Ministers, is better placed than the Court to assess the specific measures to be taken. It should thus be left to the Committee of Ministers to supervise, on the basis of the information provided by the respondent State, the adoption of measures aimed at ensuring that the domestic authorities comply with Convention requirements, as clarified in the present judgment.

50 Comments

  1. Very good point Mark. In ruling that the state should be obligated to protect the elderly from the effects of extreme heatwaves on the assumption that the state has within its capacity the means to lessen the frequency and severity of heatwaves by contributing to a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, thus reducing global mean surface temperature generally (a HUGELY dubious assumption for many reasons), the ECHR is effectively saying that any far more significant REDUCTION in cold weather related deaths because of warmer winters should be sacrificed in order to lessen the far smaller risk of extreme heat related deaths. So in championing the human rights of one select group of Swiss pensioners they are at the same time trashing the right to life of a far larger second group of pensioners! That fact alone should immediately annul this ridiculous decision.

    Liked by 3 people

  2. The last quoted paragraph in Mark Hodgson’s article here contains the usual non-accountability seen in judicial poking at the Gordian anthropogenic climate knot.

    Paraphrased, it says that the Court waves its’ arms about signalling much virtue but has no idea how any meaningful action may accrue from this. Any useful, practical efforts (if such actually exists) are entirely for somebody else to construct.

    It is this dense stupidity that causes me despair. It cannot be overcome with rational discourse or logic. As one of my colleagues remarked: an irrational position can only be addressed with an irrational reply.

    Judith Curry’s excellent analysis of the real situation is emphasised by an unusual paucity of demurring comments. Most recognise that if CO2 emissions are really to blame, then country borders drawn on a map are completely irrelevant.

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  3. JAIME

    not too sure you are secure in your treatment of Swiss advantaged by warmer winters. I don’t know this for sure but when I lived in Saskatchewan and Alberta the inhabitants (who I believe would have similar climate preferences to the Swiss)much preferred their frigid winters to their grossly overheated summers. Almost all the important sports took place in the winters (except baseball). So I would conclude that if Swiss winters became warmer there would be a greater outcry than from heat stressed old ladies in warmer summers.

    I and my family hated the winters, we joined the “snowbird” exodus by eastern Canadians for parts warmer (Florida, the West Indies and Hawaii). Two weeks of bliss, the rest wearing almost mandatory snowsuits.

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  4. Alan, a big fuss was being made about excess heat deaths in Switzerland during the hot summer of 2015. Academics wrote papers about it. They also published this graph of excess deaths for the whole year. What do you notice? There was a moderate increase in excess deaths in summer 2015, but there was also a huge increase in excess deaths in winter/early spring 2015 which greatly exceeded the summer spike in both absolute and relative terms. The ‘scientific’ literature makes it clear that such extreme cold during winter months will become increasingly rare as the planet warms, thus taking action to prevent it from warming will mean that Swiss residents continue to die in large numbers during the cold season, thus violating their human rights. Ineluctable logic – which now does not apply at the dawning of the European Unenlightenment.

    https://smw.ch/index.php/smw/article/view/2252/3384

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  5. In my view the key question is not whether the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) misunderstood the science or what the implications for UK might be – no, important though these matters are, the overriding question is whether climate change is even a human rights issue. In an article today Ben Pile argues strongly that it’s not and, as I noted yesterday on the ‘Climate Litigation’ thread, Dr David McGrogan (Associate Professor of Law at Northumbria Law School) made what was really the same point when he argued that it’s ‘intolerable’ that ‘unelected, unaccountable judges sitting in the ECtHR’ can, by deciding (in the exercise of so-called ‘evolutive interpretation’) that climate change is covered by the Convention even though, as Mark notes above, it doesn’t make even the slightest mention of it, essentially make law ‘from whole cloth’. This criticism echoed Judge Eicke’s argument in his minority judgement that ‘the majority in this case has gone well beyond what I consider to be, as a matter of international law, the permissible limits of evolutive interpretation.’

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  6. Robin,

    Do we have a quantitative estimate of what the permissible limits of evolutive interpretation are? Because absent that, the billionaire funded Green Blob identified by Ben will surely continue to push judges to go well beyond those ill-defined limits.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Jaime, no we don’t – as is confirmed by an excellent article in the Spectator that asks the same question as Ben Pile: ‘Is climate change really a human rights matter?’ It’s by Andrew Tettenborn, professor of law at Swansea Law School. Some extracts:

    … the Strasbourg judges have simply magicked an entirely new human right out of thin air – as, to his credit, the British judge pointed out in a brave dissent. This will not do. By all means let us have a new treaty on environmental rights if that is what European governments want. What is not right is the imposition of a wide-ranging Europe-wide environmental duty by the fiat of 17 transnational judges taking their cue from the European great and good and extracting environmental rights from a document that makes no reference to them whatsoever.

    Since ECHR rights must be applied irrespective of elected politicians’ views, every one of them comes at the expense of democracy. In extreme cases this is right: however big the majority that wants it, states shouldn’t deliberately murder or torture their citizens, or clamp down on all religious freedom. But outside these areas, every yard gained by a well-meaning extension of the ECHR is a yard lost to the democratic process.

    An elected government that primly tells you to abandon your old car and ditch your boiler for a temperamental and expensive heat-pump can be ejected. But if it’s because of a judgment from Strasbourg, and all parties agree that such judgments must be obeyed whether the voters like them or not, the mood may turn ugly. If you genuinely can’t get a measure past an obstinate electorate, it’s probably wiser not to try. Climate change may well be a classic case. Strasbourg, are you listening?

    Indeed.

    Liked by 3 people

  8. In a most important article in the Telegraph about the ECHR decision – The international Left-wing elites are well on their way to crushing democracy – Allister Heath argues that the UK must now leave the court without delay. He puts it well: ‘The theft of power and influence from ordinary citizens, and its transfer to unelected, unaccountable lawyers and technocrats is accelerating.’

    An extract:

    This risible decision is bad news for anybody who questions the rush to compulsory electric cars, or heat pumps, or smart meters, or higher taxes on carbon: your views are no longer welcome, and will no longer matter. The judgment was meted out against Switzerland, but will set a precedent to all signatories of the European Convention on Human Rights, including Britain. The heroic Swiss had voted down a set of net zero measures in a referendum: the ECHR has effectively blown up Europe’s most democratic constitution, in a stark warning to the growing band of net zero dissenters in Britain, France, the Netherlands and Germany.

    But here’s the real challenge – this is about much more than climate change:

    The game here is clear. By making everything about “human rights” that cannot be questioned, then the democratic sphere, where we can debate and disagree and vote for different approaches, is drastically curtailed, and the influence of Left-wing lawyers massively increased. What about NHS waiting lists: are they not a violation of our human rights? Shouldn’t the ECHR order the Tories to spend even more on healthcare? Will somebody test this soon? What about the limited supply of housing, which is pushing up prices? Isn’t that a much more obvious rights violation, as it makes it harder to have a family? Should the Court step in here too? And what about too little spending on the military: wouldn’t family life be disrupted in the event of war?

    If you trust the voters, you can get Brexit – horror of horrors – or the Swiss rejecting net zero, which is clearly intolerable. Democracy is the political equivalent of pocket money: it should only hold sway over unimportant matters. The real decisions should be taken by objective judges.

    It’s time to take back control from these anti-democratic, maniacal elitists.

    This is an important article and a few extracts hardly do it justice. If possible, read the whole thing.

    Liked by 3 people

  9. Democracy’s pathology is that it can descend into a tyranny of the majority, and an oppression of the minority. But again this isn’t really what the ECHR is worried about. Its allies want to keep moving us from a minimalist interpretation of the rights that should constrain majoritarian rule – the sorts of negative liberties in the US Bill of Rights – to a Left-wing, maximalist one, where we all have a right to every possible good thing, from cheap housing to two holidays a year to no climate change, and where only the details are left to the politicians and the technocrats. 

    My bold. This goes back to David McGrogan’s article where he argued that the traditional interpretation of a human right is a negative, i.e. something which the state should not do (e.g. murder people, or imprison them in their homes, or coerce them to get ‘vaccinated’ with an experimental injection where fully informed consent could never be realistically obtained). The ECHR is now expanding that remit to include things which the state must do in order not to violate the human rights of citizens.

    The way I see it though, the ECHR is tying itself up in knots here because by legislating that the state must reduce carbon emissions to cool the planet and thus prevent dangerous heatwaves, they are also legislating for an increase in the frequency and severity of cold winters, and it would be quite legitimate therefore for another applicant or applicants to argue that their human rights are being adversely affected by the actions of government – which is the more traditional interpretation of a human right. Left wing lawyers have chosen to go down that rabbit hole and I don’t think it’s going to turn out well for them in the long run.

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  10. I’m not sure we can take too much comfort from the final paragraphs quoted.:

    It should thus be left to the Committee of Ministers to supervise, on the basis of the information provided by the respondent State, the adoption of measures aimed at ensuring that the domestic authorities comply with Convention requirements, as clarified in the present judgment.

    I read that to mean that the court reserves to itself the right to make further rulings if the Swiss government doesn’t follow the instructions of the Owellian sounding Committee of Minister (none of whom, I assume, have been elected by the Swiss voters

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  11. hakinmaster,

    I am a little more optimistic. The Court has clearly massively over-stepped the line, but I suspect the Judges concerned are aware of that. What other Court issues press releases? It is political, and it is assessing the impact before making its next move.  If there is massive push-back with countries walking away from the ECHR, then I envisage a period of retrenchment for the Court. On the other hand, if no country leaves, and in fact countries seek to take note of the judgment and step up their climate policies, then I suspect the Court will become further emboldened.

    For now, though, I think the Court will allow the Swiss government to decide on its next steps, and will watch and wait. None of which is to say that the current state of affairs is remotely satisfactory.

    Liked by 2 people

  12. Mark

    I’m a bit more of a pessimist, myself.
    Pessimist: an optimist with experience.

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  13. Pessimism isn’t necessarily bad – that way you should never be too disappointed. :-)

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  14. “The Overlooked Benefits of a Warmer Planet”

    https://dailysceptic.org/2024/04/11/the-overlooked-benefits-of-a-warmer-planet/

    …a recent study published in the Lancet and done at Monash University showed that today, warmer temperatures save thousands of lives worldwide every year. This study found that “the global heat-related excess death ratio increased by 0·21 percentage points (0.13–0.31), leading to a net reduction in the overall ratio.” Ever since the Crimean War and the continuing research begun by Florence Nightingale, we know that warmth saves lives while cold kills many more people. In other words, the current warming is saving eight lives for every life that is lost due to premature death attributed to temperature.

    Therefore, there is no current need to halt the burning of fossil fuels. The warming associated with climate change is so far saving thousands of lives every year, greening our planet and shrinking our deserts.…”

    Someone among those numerous third party interveners should have told the ECHR.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. Paul Homewood has a piece based on a Telegraph article about a case being brought by a man whose house was lost to coastal erosion:

    The suggestion is that the recent ECHR decision has strengthened his claim. The problem now is (to mix my metaphors) that the Court has crossed the line and has opened Pandora’s Box. What now is to stop people suing for almost anything? Since the old Swiss ladies are to be protected from heatwaves (sic) by forcing the Swiss government to step up its climate change measures, what about my right not to have my life adversely affected by feeling the cold more and more as I age? Perhaps I can sue the ECHR for its decision, which can be used by climate campaigners to force the UK government to spend lots of money vainly trying to slow down the modest warming from which I have been benefiting? Perhaps I can sue the UK government for policies which have damaged my right to home and family life by forcing up my heating bills to unsustainable levels? If a man can sue over the loss of his house to the sea, perhaps home-owners whose lives have been blighted (and homes rendered unsaleable) by the proximity of National Grid infrastructure or wind or solar farms could also sue the Government? Perhaps far right campaigners could sue the Government for spending so much money on foreign aid that they might say should have been spent on UK education or the NHS? Where does it end?

    Liked by 1 person

  16. Another day, another article about the ECHR decision. This time it’s Chris Morrison in the Daily Sceptic taking a look at the real winners –‘the elite billionaire paymasters behind lawfare activists such as Greenpeace and Client Earth’.

    An extract – on the somewhat broader issue of the frightening and unacceptable objective of lawfare:

    Jessica Simor KC represented the Swiss women and frequently acts for Client Earth. After the verdict she noted: “In Switzerland it’s particularly problematic because they have referendums… the people decided they didn’t want it. This is something that comes up all the time… the conflict between this idea of democracy as entailing… rights which matter irrespective of what the majority decides.”

    An interesting read.

    Liked by 2 people

  17. That man suing for the government not acting to prevent climate change, sea-level rise and coastal erosion devouring his house doesn’t seem to remember the message of Cnut. Education these days is so lacking.

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  18. Robin,

    Chris Morrison also says:

    Washington D.C.-based Environmental Law Institute is backed by billionaire foundation money and, according to Influence Watch, it received $500,000 from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation to set up the Climate Judiciary Project (CJP). According to Influence Watch, by May 2023 more than 1,000 judges have participated in the CJP program, which includes 13 curriculum modules. According to the CJP website, the goal is to provide “neutral, objective information” to the judiciary about the science of climate change as it is understood by the expert scientific community and relevant to current and future litigation”.

    Needless to say, neutral and objective are not words that spring immediately to mind when examining some of the detailed curriculum notes. Misinformation is particularly rife in a module that suggests individual weather events can be attributed to longer term changes in the climate. The judges are told that it is now possible to use attributions techniques to link individual human-caused weather events to climate change. It is not, it is junk science from computer models and since any ‘results’ are unfalsifiable, they fail the first test of the true scientific process. The best known ‘attribution’ service is called World Weather Attribution and is partly funded by Jeremy Grantham. Despite this, CJP claims bizarrely that the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change couldn’t hold the view that human influence has warmed the planet without the many attribution analyses that are said to underpin it.

    This suggests to me that it is not enough for green billionaires to use money alone as a lever to undermine democracy on the imposition of Net Zero, they must also attempt to brainwash judges using their own brand of pseudoscience and ‘alternative facts’. Particularly in the case of extreme weather attribution, they are uniquely vulnerable to being exposed as the Snake Oil salesmen which they are.

    Liked by 2 people

  19. And today brings yet another articleWhat has climate change got to do with the ECHR? –on the ECHR ruling. Its author Luke Gittos, a Spiked columnist, describes it, quite correctly in my opinion, as ‘a deeply troubling ruling’. He notes how it:

    allows the ECHR, at the behest of activist groups, to further intervene in a nation’s internal affairs. It allows the ECHR to ‘resolve’ what ought to be political questions. Indeed, it means that a democratically elected government could now be hauled before the court if its policies do not accord with the green agenda. No wonder Greta Thunberg joined a gathering of climate activists outside the court to celebrate the ruling.

    His conclusion:

    These judges are unelected. We have no power over them and no way to call them to account. For that reason alone, we need to kick them out of politics. The question of how to respond to climate change must be resolved democratically, through public, political arguments. Not through legal arguments in the increasingly activist chambers of Strasbourg.

    Amen to that.

    Liked by 3 people

  20. To further drive home my point above, they know that they are uniquely vulnerable on ‘the Science’, which is why the WHO in their ‘climate toolkit’ aimed at medical professionals says this:

    Don’t debate the science. Don’t get caught up in conversations that question climate science. It’s not up for debate. If conversation veers into this territory, redirect it back to your professional expertise and the links between climate change and health.

    If that’s not running scared I don’t know what is. From Ben’s excellent article at DS:

    https://dailysceptic.org/2024/04/12/why-is-the-who-asking-doctors-to-lie-to-promote-climate-alarm/

    Liked by 3 people

  21. Agreed, a beautifully written and argued essay, but it treats health professionals as near passive recipients of WHO messaging. In my limited experience most are not such sponges. If they find the time they will argue incessantly and upon all sorts of subjects. Most are also knowledgeable about those subjects. I wonder if this is an old fashioned view of mine that is now-past. I keep reading that they are grossly overworked in the U.K. and don’t have the time, but those I have interacted with over the past few years (rather too many) seem to have the time for pleasantries. Perhaps WHO will get a surprise.

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  22. Mark: I’m about to use this thread to ask for advice. I hope that’s acceptable.

    I’m a founder member of OxCAN (‘Oxford Climate Alumni Network’), a website set up in 2020 for Oxford University alumni interested in matters related to climate change. When we started, it hosted a vigorous debate about climate change – but did so via an email system that was so popular it was soon overwhelmed. So the organisers tried and failed to find a better way of encouraging debate and ended up using the ‘discussion-board’ at Slack – a clumsy and not very satisfactory system. As a result and as far as I can see, any other sceptical members have lost interest and the organisation has become yet another that believes without question that we face a climate emergency and that all that matters is what we’re doing to ‘tackle’ it. Here’s the current website: https://www.oxfordclimatealumni.com. Note the dreary objectives referred to in ‘About Us’.

    Well, I suggested to them recently that they really should try to persuade members to recreate the 2020 spirit by organising a debate. And, after trying half-heartedly to find a way of so doing, they thought that the simplest solution was to use Slack’s ‘thread’ feature. It was suggested that, as I had started this, I might be willing to draft an invitation to members; and that the subject for discussion might be the ECHR decision. Not a bad idea – although they thought a discussion should be based on references to Guardian and BBC articles on the topic. Obviously, I cannot agree to that. But perhaps it might make sense to refer to the Guardian (or BBC) piece and to one of the articles we’ve been discussing here. But which one? Ideally, I’d like it to be either Andrew Tettenborn’s article in the Spectator or, best of all, Allister Heath’s in the Telegraph. But both are behind a paywall so must I think be ruled out. That leaves Francis Menton (Manhattan Contrarian), Judith Curry (Climate Etc.), David McGrogan (Daily Sceptic), Ben Pile (Daily Sceptic), Chris Morrison (Daily Sceptic) and Luke Gittos (Spiked).

    I tend to favour Luke Gittos. What do others think?

    PS: if a debate happens I hope any Oxford alumnus at Cliscep will be able to join in.

    Like

  23. Perfectly acceptable , Robin, and as a fellow Oxford alumnus, I should be happy to join in.

    Unusually I disagree with you (a rare event). Of all the articles you mention (all of which I have read) I thought that the Gittos one, worthy though it’s was, brought the least to the party. My choices would probably be Chris Morrison, Ben Pile, or maybe Francis Menton.

    Like

  24. The Spectator has published another articleThe courts can’t solve climate change – by Andrew Tettenborn. It’s little more than a rehash of his (excellent) earlier piece – although I have doubts about his comment that ‘nearly everyone accepts that we need to take steps to deal with climate change‘.

    His concluding paragraph:

    The just-about-managing, for whom revised net zero plans mean being told to lug home their week’s shopping on the bus, replace their runabout cars with pricey electric ones and supplant their trusty gas boilers with temperamental and expensive heat pumps, deserve their say. Instead, powers of decision are transferred from elected governments which people can kick out, to a congeries of lawyers, courts and human rights experts. And when ordinary people lose faith in democracy things can turn ugly. Environmentalists and their well-meaning supporters seeking an ever-expanding judicialisation of environmental law would do well to bear this in mind.

    True. But will they?

    Liked by 2 people

  25. Mark, the reason I favour Gittos is that he maintains a tight focus on what I believe is the main issue: that the ECHR is a deadly threat to democracy. Neither Pile nor Morrison – for all good stuff in their articles – do that. Here for example is an extract from Gittos’s article:

    Tim Eicke KC, the UK’s judge in the court, delivered a blistering dissenting statement. He said that the court had, in effect, created a brand new right – a right to be protected from the harmful effects of climate change. This is a significant trespass of the court into the political domain and sets a dangerous precedent, Eicke said.

    That – to my mind – is what needs to be said. Loudly and persistently.

    Liked by 1 person

  26. Thanks Ron. Dominic Raab made some compelling points. The problem is he made them nearly three years ago and the promised ‘overhaul’ of the U.K.’s Human Rights Act didn’t happen.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Mark: might I have persuaded you about Gittos? Don’t forget that, in a debate (if we have one), I should be able to raise many of the points referred to by, for example, Andrew Tettenborn and Allister Heath as well as Ben and Chris. BTW I dropped Menton because his article, although excellent, was largely concerned with the US.

    I’m anxious to have a simple message – and, for me, that’s how the ECHR threatens democracy.

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  28. Robin,

    The extent to which I’m persuaded depends on the purpose of the debate you hope to have. If it’s one step at a time and persuade the others that the ECHR decision is a step too far, a danger to democracy, then yes, I suppose I am persuaded that the Gittos article is the one to go with.

    On the other hand, if it’s to be a full-on debate about climate change generally, with the recent ECHR decision being simply the peg on which to hang it, then no, I don’t think it does the job. Chris Morrison’s or Ben Pile’s articles would serve better in that scenario.

    Sorry to be equivocal about it!

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  29. Mark, the plan is to discuss the ECHR ruling. That’s all. Of course, if that gets a lot of people involved and interested, it may lead to a wider discussion about climate change. But I’m dubious about even the initial objective being achieved as OxCAN has deteriorated to a pretty hopeless organisation. So, if the debate goes ahead (a big if) I’ll stick with Gittos.

    Like

  30. OK, that being the plan, I’m convinced. Let me know how I can get involved, as and when.

    Like

  31. Well, I’ve just registered, and have messaged you via that website to check that I am up and running.

    Like

  32. And I’ve just had a look at the discussion board. I see what you’re up against, but as usual, I am impressed at how calm and polite you always are. I shall endeavour to follow suit.

    Like

  33. Irony at the Guardian, especially in the wake of all the third party interveners, many with opaque funding, all with lawyers, who were involved in the recent ECHR decision. The Guardian often tries to persuade me to donate to them by claiming that “This is what we’re up against”. And what are they up against?

    Teams of lawyers from the rich and powerful trying to stop us publishing stories they don’t want you to see. 

    Lobby groups with opaque funding who are determined to undermine facts about the climate emergency and other established science.

    Sound like a conspiracy theory to me. And if it’s true, how come none of them intervened in the recent ECHR case to put the other side of the case?

    Liked by 2 people

  34. “Strasbourg court’s Swiss climate ruling could have global impact, say experts

    Decision by European court of human rights around vulnerability of older women to heatwaves marks significant shift”

    https://www.theguardian.com/law/2024/apr/13/swiss-climate-ruling-global-impact-european-court-human-rights

    “…The ruling opens the way for several climate-related lawsuits that had been adjourned at the court. One brought by Greenpeace Nordic against the Norwegian government seeks to prevent the expansion of fossil fuel extraction in the Arctic. Another is being brought by an Austrian man with a temperature-dependent form of multiple sclerosis who argues, like the Swiss women, that this makes him particularly vulnerable to heatwaves.

    It is also expected to bolster ongoing lawsuits around Europe.

    The UK’s high court recently allowed Friends of the Earth and two individuals affected by the impacts of climate change to challenge what they describe as the government’s “inadequate” climate protection strategy. A two-day hearing into the national adaptation plan will take place in June.

    Will Rundle, head of legal for Friends of the Earth, said it had similarities with the Swiss lawsuit “not least because our case also deals with deficient state action on climate and its adverse impact on health and human rights”.

    In previous decisions, UK judges noted that the European convention had not yet been applied to climate change, suggesting they will now have to consider the issue in a fresh light.

    Experts believe the latest ruling opens the floodgates for future litigation around Europe.

    Although the judgment applies directly only to Switzerland, it has clear implications for other states within the Council of Europe that have not set ambitious emission reduction targets or put in place good climate governance…

    …The ruling will make international waves if it is cited in forthcoming advisory opinions on climate change from the international court of justice and the inter-American court of human rights.

    And it may even influence litigation outside European borders, because courts are increasingly having to handle questions of state responsibility beyond national borders and are looking at other jurisdictions for guidance in how to handle climate lawsuits.

    Kelly Matheson, deputy director of global climate litigation at Our Children’s Trust, said: “Courts in the US are trying to dismiss these sorts of cases. Or they’re saying this is not our job, this is the job of the other two branches of government. So I think that statement will have influence in US litigation.”

    Our Children’s Trust, a non-profit organisation, has orchestrated many high-profile youth-led lawsuits across the US including last year’s successful case in Montana and submitted third-party scientific briefs in the cases before the Strasbourg court….

    Liked by 1 person

  35. Another article (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/13/finish-work-of-brexit-finally-bring-control-to-parliament/) about the ECHR – this time by Daniel Hannan in the Sunday Telegraph:

    It’s time to finish the work of Brexit, and finally bring control back to our sovereign Parliament
    A ludicrous decision in Strasbourg proves that we must leave the ECHR or be governed by the whims of judges

    I liked this bit:

    Those who fought this case – on paper, some old ladies claiming to have been personally affected by climate change, supported by Big Green – have made no secret of where they stand. One of the advocates representing them was a British KC called Jessica Simor, a lawyer who sometimes appears to talk more like a student activist than a barrister.

    Responding to the verdict on German television, she gave the game away: “In Switzerland it’s particularly problematic because they have referendums. And one of the defences run by the government was, ‘We had a referendum on this, and the people decided they didn’t want it.’ ”

    Hannan’s comment:

    And there, ladies and gentlemen, is what is really going on. Votes are “problematic”. Leftist elites fear that, left to themselves, electorates might vote for all sorts of alarming things. They might want to control their borders. They might want prisons to be punitive. They might want climate change to be addressed in an affordable and proportionate way. These things will never do!

    Liked by 2 people

  36. “Sunak criticises ‘complete overreach’ of ‘illegitimate’ ECHR ruling

    Downing Street’s intervention over court’s decision to make net zero a human right comes ahead of Rwanda votes”

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/04/13/rishi-sunak-criticises-echr-illegitimate-ruling-net-zero/

    Rishi Sunak has hit out at the “complete overreach” of an “illegitimate” ruling by the European Court of Human Rights that imposes a duty on governments to achieve net zero…

    The rest is behind a paywall. However, I suspect the ECHR decision is manna from heaven for the Tories. Attacking the ECHR over its unpopular Rwanda plan has proven to offer thin gruel for Tory electoral prospects, but the recent decision is – I would suggest – rightly much more controversial, and offers considerable scope for a Tory government that looks as if it is about to go down with all hands on deck. 

    I wouldn’t be surprised to find a commitment to leave the ECHR featuring in the Tory manifesto at the general election. The interesting question is the extent to which that would also lead into policies attacking (or at least seriously watering down) net zero. As things stand that would seem to be the best option for causing Labour serious problems at the polls.

    Not that I wish to offer advice to help the Tories, but as Churchill said about Stalin, my enemy’s enemy is my friend (or words to that effect). Labour’s net zero plans threaten us with total ruin. Anything that can stop that gets my (very reluctant, if the only thing that can stop it is the Tories) support.

    Liked by 1 person

  37. Text of that article via my magical new found ability to read beyond the Telegraph paywall:

    Rishi Sunak has hit out at the “complete overreach” of an “illegitimate” ruling by the European Court of Human Rights that imposes a duty on governments to achieve net zero.

    The intervention from Downing Street comes ahead of a final round of votes on the Rwanda Bill, which could pass by the end of this week, allowing the Government to press ahead with plans for deportation flights. However, there are fears among Tory MPs that the long-awaited flights could yet be thwarted by judges in Strasbourg.

    Mr Sunak’s comments will fuel speculation that Mr Sunak is considering including a pledge in the Conservative Party’s manifesto to pull out of the ECHR, with sources saying this has not been ruled out.

    On Saturday night, a No 10 source said: “The PM’s view was that this judgment is a complete overreach and an illegitimate interpretation of the ECHR text. No doubt about that.”

    In the first judgment of its kind, the court ruled that the human rights of a group of elderly Swiss women had been violated by the failure of their government to act quickly enough to tackle climate change. The ruling also applies to the UK.

    Two more Cabinet ministers have made known their dissatisfaction with Britain’s involvement in the ECHR, adding their voices to that of Claire Coutinho, the Energy Secretary.

    A source close to Steve Barclay, the Environment Secretary, said human rights in Britain “did not begin with the ECHR and won’t end with it either”.

    They added: “The Government was democratically elected on a mandate to deliver tougher border control and stop small-boat crossings. It is a fundamental threat to our democracy if an unelected overseas court is stopping that delivery and Steve has been clear to successive prime ministers for several years that leaving the ECHR must be on the table if it is the only option to uphold that promise to the British people.”Revolt spreading to top of Government

    Another Cabinet minister told The Telegraph they would be “perfectly relaxed about pulling out” of the ECHR, adding: “I don’t think the public would be sorry to see the back of it”.

    Ms Coutinho has already expressed “concern” that Strasbourg judges were taking decisions best made by elected politicians.

    Earlier this week, Strasbourg judges issued a landmark ruling that governments have a duty to protect people from climate change.

    Aided by Friends of the Earth, some 2,000 elderly women claimed that the Swiss state was exposing them to an increased risk of death from extreme heat.

    A British judge, Tim Eicke, issued the sole dissent, writing: “I fear that in this judgment the majority has gone beyond what it is legitimate and permissible for this court to do, and unfortunately, in doing so, may well have achieved exactly the opposite effect to what was intended”.

    The ruling prompted a Tory backlash, with several senior MPs urging Mr Sunak to take Britain out of the ECHR in the wake of the ruling.

    The revolt is spreading to the top of the Government, with Cabinet ministers breaking ranks to call for Mr Sunak to bow out of the convention, particularly given the difficulties it may also pose for implementing the Rwanda policy. 

    Other MPs, including Robert Jenrick, the former Home Office minister, and Danny Kruger, the co-chairman of the New Conservatives group of MPs, have accused the court of acting in a “profoundly undemocratic” way and being “bent out of shape” by “progressive” activists and politicians.

    However, the Cabinet ministers opposed to leaving the ECHR are believed to outnumber those in favour by two to one. The remainder are said to be either undecided or to have not disclosed their position to colleagues.

    The European Court found the Swiss state had breached Article Eight of the ECHR, which guarantees the “right to respect for private and family life”.

    The ruling is binding to states that are signatories to the convention, like the UK, and will trickle down to influence the law in 46 countries in Europe, including Britain.

    It means individuals and groups could sue for a breach of their human rights if the UK Government fails to meet its net zero or environmental targets.

    In the UK, attempts to make such cases on the basis of the European Convention on Human Rights have, until now, not succeeded. However, in a landmark net zero case last year, the High Court suggested UK courts would “keep pace with Strasbourg jurisprudence” as it continued to evolve.

    This month, Mr Sunak raised the possibility of the UK leaving it if the Strasbourg court continued to block his delayed plans to deport illegal migrants to Rwanda.

    He said controlling immigration is “more important” than membership of the convention. Polling found that half of Conservative voters believe Britain should quit the ECHR. Mr Sunak said “enough is enough” and vowed to ignore the Strasbourg court if it tried to ground deportation flights.

    He signalled that he would go ahead with the flights even if the court issued a Rule 39 injunction in an attempt to prevent their departure.

    There’s a poll at the end. 91% of readers think we should leave the ECHR.

    Liked by 1 person

  38. Robin Guenier

    There is no doubt the Swiss system of referenda (and recall) is very irritating to authoritative governments and myriad supporters. I applaud that and would quite like to have my own Govts constrained so, even when referenda results are not those I may have preferred.

    My question here though is how could a referendum result be overturned by some court (irrespective of what, which, where) without a further recall referendum ? In short, where are the Constitutional loopholes to allow these eels to wriggle ?

    Like

  39. ianl: the answer, at least so far as the ECHR is concerned, is that by signing up to the Convention a country agrees to be bound by its rulings irrespective of any ‘internal’ position, democratic or otherwise.

    Liked by 1 person

  40. The leftwaffe are increasingly using left leaning Courts to gain something – science and law & order have been corrupted

    Like

  41. Jaime – thanks for the full link (top paywall dodger :-).

    Just started to read Article 8 of the Convention –

    “I. The structure of Article 8.

    Right to respect for private and family life
    “1. Everyone has the right to respect for his private and family life, his home and his correspondence.

    2 There shall be no interference by a public authority with the exercise of this right except such as is in accordance with the law and is necessary in a democratic society in the interests of national security, public safety or the economic wellbeing of the country, for the prevention of disorder or crime, for the protection of health or morals, or for the protection of the rights and freedoms of others.”
    HUDOC keywords
    Expulsion (8) – Extradition (8) – Positive obligations (8) Respect for private life (81) – Respect for family life (81) – Respect for home (81) – Respect for correspondence (81) Public authority (82) – Interference (82) – In accordance with the law (82) – Accessibility (82) – Foreseeability (82) – Safeguards against abuse (82) – Necessary in a democratic society (82) – National security (82) – Public safety (82) – Economic wellbeing of the country (82) – Prevention of disorder (82) –Prevention of crime (82) – Protection of health (82) – Protection of morals (82) – Protection of the rights and freedoms of others (82)”

    So from the start they seem to say/include this – “There shall be no interference by a public authority with the exercise of this right except such as is in accordance with the law and is necessary in a democratic society in the interests of the economic wellbeing of the country”

    Is that not a get out clause for the Swiss, UK & others?

    PS – maybe I need to read further, but not now, it’s wineoclock 🙂

    Liked by 1 person

  42. dfhunter, I don’t think that failing to comply with a judgment of the ECHR could be said to be “in accordance with the law” for so long as Switzerland (or any other country – including the UK) is a member of the Convention.

    Like

  43. Here’s another Court, whose activities may also soon be in the headlines:

    “‘Children won’t be able to survive’: inter-American court to hear from climate victims

    Historic hearing will receive submissions from people whose human rights have been affected by climate change”

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/22/inter-american-court-climate-hearing-hear-from-victims-barbados

    “...Medina will be telling his story this week to a panel of judges in Barbados during the first part of a historic hearing on climate change by the inter-American court of human rights.

    The inquiry was instigated by Colombia and Chile, which together asked the court to set out what legal responsibilities states have to tackle climate change and to stop it breaching people’s human rights…

    …The Costa Rica-based court was set up in 1979 to interpret and apply the US convention on human rights, a treaty ratified by members of the Organization of American States. Twenty states have accepted its jurisdiction, including most Latin American countries and several Caribbean islands. Neither the US nor Canada have done so.

    It is the third international court tasked with providing an advisory opinion on climate change, alongside the international court of justice and the international tribunal for the law of the aea. Such opinions are highly influential and set the framework for future legal action.

    However, the inter-American court is the only one focusing on human rights….

    Like

  44. Another good post by Francis Menton:

    Even Stupider Than The Stupidest Litigation In The Country https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2024-5-11-even-stupider-than-the-stupidest-litigation-in-the-country

    He quotes this comment:

    What happens if the fossil fuels companies decide to leave? How does the government itself operate without fossil fuels? How do many heat their homes? Get to work? Operate their boats? Do visitors want to deal with high costs, or, just go elsewhere? How do truck bring goods in if there are no gas stations? How do planes get fuels?

    Liked by 2 people

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