I wrote Money for Nothing over four years ago. Since then quite a lot has changed (for the worse).
The Renewable Energy Foundation is a great source of information, not least with regard to constraints payments (among other things), and its website helps to keep track of the way in which the situation continues to deteriorate.
My interest in this topic was re-kindled thanks to a post on the Facebook Page of the campaign group “Stop More Windfarms on Shetland”. It told me that “October was the best month so far this year for constraint payments to Viking [Energy Wind Farm on Shetland]. Payments in excess of £1.5 million were made.”
Given the boasts that were made by the owners, SSE, as to how productive this wind farm was to be (“once fully operational [Viking] will be the UK’s most productive onshore wind farm”), due to its extremely windy location, it’s more than a little ironic that it seems to be switched off for so much of the time because the grid can’t cope. On 14th April 2025 Shetland News produced a pretty damning report:
What was promoted as the UK’s “most productive onshore wind farm” is turning out to be one of the country’s most poorly performing.
Rather than producing electricity at a load factor of around 50 per cent, as forecast and promoted by owner SSE Renewables, the Viking Energy wind farm has so far been churning out electricity at a rate of just 17 per cent of what is potentially possible…
…The average load factor for onshore wind farms in the UK currently stands at 26.34 per cent, according to Renewables UK. For offshore projects the average output rises to just over 40 per cent.
The £600 million wind farm in the central mainland of Shetland is standing idle for long periods due to constraints and bottlenecks in the national grid network.
The Viking wind farm ranked third for the highest amount of energy going unused in the UK in 2024…
Sadly, the joke is on electricity users, as we are paying for it to do nothing for so much of the time.
Despite not coming online until August 2024, it made £9,294,018 in constraints payments in just five months last year, including a staggering £2,732,682 in October 2024, a figure which was almost matched in its first month of “operation” (£2,502,479). So far this year, not surpisingly, more MWh have been constrained (897,326 -v- 464,320 last year) but with an average price of £8 per MWh constrained (-v- £20 last year), sitting idle for lengthy periods hasn’t proved to be quite so profitable for SSE so far this year. Still, £7,520,342 to date in 2025, for doing nothing, isn’t to be sniffed at. In each of three months this year so far (June, September and October) SSE has received well over £1 million for its Viking Energy Wind Farm to sit idle.
Constraints payments are higher for those wind farms operating under active Contracts for Difference (CfD). As I understand it, SSE has not yet triggered its CfD for Viking, presumably because it currently making more money by not doing so. If it gets around to triggering it (which I assume it will when it calculates it can maximise its profits by so doing) its constraints payments may well grow – certainly the payment per MWh constrained will probably increase at that point.
Although it’s fun (in an anger-inducing sort of way) to point at the supposedly high factor Shetland wind farm for failing to produce energy, it’s a much bigger picture over the whole of Scotland. The total numbers here dwarf those for Viking Energy. As the number of wind farms grows, so inevitably does the number of wind farms claiming constraints payments, and so, therefore, does the amount paid out in constraints payments. In 2010, just three wind farms in Scotland claimed such payments, receiving £174,128 for constraining 976MWh at an average price of £178 per MWh.
In the following year, the average price for constraints payments increased to the absurd figure of £218 per MWh, and 14 windfarms received these payments for constraining 58,708MWh. Their payments increased to £12,826,576. Fortunately the payment per MWh has declined markedly, and so far this year it averages £36 per MWh. Much less fortunately (for the bill-payers, if not for the renewable energy companies), 90 or more wind farms have been receiving constraints payments in Scotland alone since 2023, and last year (and already this year) more than 8 million Mwhs have been constrained. Thus, last year saw constraints payments of £380,004,457 paid out for wind farms in (or off the shores of) Scotland. Whether or not this year ultimately exceeds that is a moot point, but already £304,994,762 has been paid out.
Add in England and Wales, and of course the position is worse still (the number of wind farms receiving payments rises to 110 or more). Nevertheless, the big problem is caused by the fact that Scottish wind farms (both on- and off-shore) are so far from the main sources of demand, with the consequent inability of the grid to cope. Adding in England and Wales increases the average constraint payment from Scotland’s £36 to £38 per MWh. It also adds £20 million to this year’s constraints bill to date.
Even the BBC acknowledges the problem. In an article written on 9th June 2025 (and updated on 29th October), the facts are laid bare:
The way the system currently works means a company like Ocean Winds gets what are effectively compensation payments if the system can’t take the power its wind turbines are generating and it has to turn down its output.
It means Ocean winds was paid £72,000 not to generate power from its wind farms in the Moray Firth during a half-hour period on 3 June because the system was overloaded – one of a number of occasions output was restricted that day.
At the same time, 44 miles (70km) east of London, the Grain gas-fired power station on the Thames Estuary was paid £43,000 to provide more electricity.
Payments like that happen virtually every day. Seagreen, Scotland’s largest wind farm, was paid £65 million last year to restrict its output 71% of the time, according to analysis by Octopus Energy.
Balancing the grid in this way has already cost the country more than £500 million this year alone, the company’s analysis shows.
These figures are even higher than those supplied by the Renewable Energy Foundation – presumably because they take into account the additional costs of asking gas-fired power stations to ramp up to compensate for the grid’s inability to cope with the electricity that would be generated in remote locations were it not constrained instead. The situation gets worse still:
The total could reach almost £8bn a year by 2030, warns the National Electricity System Operator (NESO), the body in charge of the electricity network.
Depending on who you believe, constraints costs might or might not begin to fall rapidly after 2030 (with the expansion of the grid and its capacity to cope). Even NESO doesn’t seem to have great confidence about this. In its 2025 Annual Balancing Costs Report it offers two alternative visions of the future in boxes side by side at the foot of page 31 and again at the foot of page 55:
Constraint costs will fall significantly after 2030 following the delivery of network reinforcement.
Or:
Constraint costs rise again in some scenarios beyond 2030, as further generation connects to the system, which is later balanced by additional network build.
It will be good to reduce constraints payments (by significant sums ideally) but, ironically, at what cost? According to the Guardian:
Energy companies have promised to spend up to £77bn over five years to help rewire to Great Britain’s electricity infrastructure…
My cynicism may be unjustified, but as with all major infrastructure projects, my money is on the final bill being higher than “up to £77bn”. Even if I’m wrong, however, that’s still an enormous amount of money, which wouldn’t need to be spent, were it not for the building of vast numbers of renewable energy projects in far-flung locations. It’s also something over £3,000 per UK household. And that’s before we talk about the environmental cost of building the pylons, sub-stations and associated infrastructure, to which opposition is building from the far north of Scotland to the English border (and over it) and all places in-between.
This is no way to organise the UK’s electricity generation and distribution. Common sense seems to be in short supply in the administrations in both Westminster and Holyrood (and in Cardiff too, for that matter). We were promised that the grown-ups were back in charge. I’m still waiting for some evidence to support that claim.
I spend quite a lot of each day reading about the activities of the ” Three Drones “…who are, in no particular order: Mark Carney, Anthony Albanese, and Sir Keir Starmer…
Their indolence is unmatched…they are overseeing the rundown of their respective nations, so that the barbarians can walk in and take over…
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Meanwhile, some minor good news re: the announcement of the SMR to be built at Wylfa. But we need twelve, not one. And as the constraint payments show, they need to be where the demand is, thus sparing the countryside and the expense of all the new infrastructure.
Liz Kendall was on PM talking about how the announcement represented “delivery.” Fail. An announcement is an announcement. Delivery is the SMR turned on and supplying juice to the grid – which will happen long after the present shower are in the showers.
BBC link, including the obligatory nay nay nay from the Green imbecile.
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What a expensive mess “green” energy via turbines in far-flung UK locations is proving to be.
Another scandal that won’t be touched by you know who & the Guardian. But maybe they are waiting for the right moment.
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Jit,
Aiui the plan is to install 3 SMRs at Wylfa with provision for a further 5 elsewhere. Despite its remote-ish location, Wylfa actually has good connections to the main grid from its days when 2 Magnox reactors were running there. It also has plenty of space and other infrastucture.
In a sign of the progress in plant design, each “small” modular reactor has the same capacity as the Magnox design installed there. World Nuclear News covered this:
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/articles/uk-selects-wylfa-for-at%20-least-three-rolls-royce-smrs?cid=64412&ut
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Talking of Scottish wind farms, the Scottish Government is inviting comments (by 29/1/26) on its latest Draft Plan for Scotland Net Zero. The 31-page Draft Plan is available here with supporting documents here.
It’s a shocker and the ministerial foreword is especially good for a laugh. I’m currently polishing my 2000-word draft response which they aren’t going to like at all. I‘m hoping that one or more of my publishing colleagues will post it online.
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Doug B,
I am slowly ploughing my way through the Scotland Net Zero plan, and have started writing about it. The foreword, as you say, is especially amusing.
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An enlightening article, Mark, save for one point. It includes several references to money ‘spent’ when surely the correct term is ‘invested’. Surely, when it comes to energy generation, we must invest in more idleness — it’s the future!
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“Almost 80 per cent of energy from Viking was discarded in October”
https://www.shetlandtimes.co.uk/news/almost-80-per-cent-of-energy-from-viking-was-discarded-in-oc-419384/
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dougbrodie1 -thanks for the link, partial quote from the foreword by Gillian Martin MSP Cabinet Secretary for Climate Action and Energy –
“In doing so, together, we can send a powerful message not just about the need, but
also the positive case for urgent climate action both to countries around the world
and here at home. Raising awareness of this issue has never been so important –
particularly at a time when we are witnessing a concerning rise in anti-climate
rhetoric. By taking strong action now, we can further reduce our emissions and play
our part in tackling climate change.”
Wonder what Gillian means by this word salad statement – “a concerning rise in anti-climate rhetoric”?
As for the rest, will let yourself or Mark comment about “the positive case for urgent climate action both to countries around the world and here at home” bit 🙂
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Mark – “Almost 80 per cent of energy from Viking was discarded in October”
“SSE said the National Electricity System operators are the ones who “decides who gets constrained when the grid is at capacity”. The energy giant stressed the solution to this problem was faster grid upgrades. “That’s why SSE has this week announced a transformational £33 billion investment plan, 80 per cent of which is directed at our networks, which will help eliminate constraints within SSE’s transmission network and help deliver more clean, homegrown energy across the UK,” it added.”
“£33 billion investment plan, 80 per cent of which is directed at our networks”. So that’s £26.4 billion on networks!!! what am I missing, can SSE have that amount of cash to spend, even if it’s over 5yrs as a guess.
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dfhunter, there’s plenty of news about this “investment”. E.g. here:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr7mk5np141o
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I talked about opposition on the south side of the Scottish border to grid expansion plans (at great expense). Here’s the bit about Kershope Forest:
https://www.nationalgrid.com/electricity-transmission/network-and-infrastructure/infrastructure-projects/cross-border-connection/have-your-say
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