From Euractiv, the European Union’s House Magazine – Not Just Another Climate Article. This one is guaranteed to make you throw up your Brexit.
Climate change will kill more Italians and Greeks than Syrians in 2050, as soaring temperatures destroy crops and disrupt food supplies, new research published in medical journal The Lancet has found.
About 124 Greeks will die for every million of its population in 2050, making it the third worst hit country per capita globally behind China and Vietnam, according to the report published yesterday (3 March).
Italy is 12th in the study’s analysis of 155 countries with 4,630 deaths in total. Syria, in contrast, will lose just 320 people, 840 fewer than Greece.
Other EU countries including the UK, France, Germany and Italy will also suffer greater death tolls both in numbers and per capita than Syria in 2050.
The Lancet article, available free here, is a normal, run-of the-mill computer modelling exercise – which is to say a statistical slime pool of completely groundless speculation by a bunch of repressed psychotics who like fantasising about mass death but lack the social skills required to play on-line computer games. However, the text doesn’t mention Syria. That bit was added by Euractiv journalist James Crisp. Somehow he forgot the photo of the dead baby.
The Lancet article estimates that by 2050 half a million people per year will be dying from changes in dietary and weight-related risk factors caused by climate change.
James Crisp quotes the Lancet article’s lead author:
Dr Springmann said “Changes in food availability and intake also affect dietary and weight-related risk factors such as low fruit and vegetable intake, high red meat consumption, and high bodyweight.
“These all increase the incidence of non-communicable diseases such as heart disease, stroke, and cancer, as well as death from those diseases.”
France is 23rd in the list of total deaths with 1,960, the UK 26th with 1,510 fatalities, Romania 30th with 1,330 deaths, Germany 34th on 1,200, and Greece 36th with 1, 160 deaths.
Crops in the Mediterranean will be badly hit by climate change. But non-Mediterranean countries will also suffer because they import from those and other climate vulnerable nations.
Yes, wherever you live, in 2050 you’ll be eating food from somewhere with a climate that’s changing. Eat too much of it and you’ll get obese and risk heart disease. Eat too little and you’ll starve to death. And it’ll be worse in Greece than in Syria, and serves them right for letting all those Syrians in.
A UK citizen can expect to die once every 78.1 years, on average. That’s nearly a million deaths a year. But in 2050 that figure will be up 0.15% because of dietary changes provoked by climate change. And that’s not counting all the other causes of death provoked by climate change, such as being eaten by hippos while competing in the Oxford & Cambridge boat race.
But it’s the mention of Syria that wins Crisp this month’s Oreskes Death Cult Award. Has Crisp been taking lessons in Making Climate Stories Relevant from George Marshall?
I don’t mean to turn this article into a geopolitical rant about the Middle East, but I suppose I should explain my position, which is that expressed by the well-known left-wing philosopher Jeremy Clarkson when he stated that he couldn’t understand all the moral soul-searching about the refugee crisis; when your neighbour’s house burns down you put him up on your couch, even if you don’t like him very much.
Which is perhaps why an article like this one by Crisp, making an eyecatching headline by linking bonkers fantasy climate megadeath speculations to real life tragedy, makes me want to punch someone in the face.