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Jo Nova on HADCRUT

Jo Nova has a must read article on the first ever audit of the HADCRUT temperature records http://joannenova.com.au/2018/10/first-audit-of-global-temperature-data-finds-freezing-tropical-islands-boiling-towns-boats-on-land/ It’s based on the doctoral thesis of John McLean who found a pile of steaming detritus where the world’s top scientists had been. A month in Romania at -45°C; 3 months in Colombia at 80°C; sea temperature … Continue reading

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Twice as Likely as Not: Attribution of Increased Probability of Discrete Events

We are obsessed by time series, and rightly so. Daily changes in the stock market; monthly movements of unemployment or inflation; annual trends in birthrates or immigration; these graphs are the key to understanding the direction in which our society is heading, and how fast. It is quite impossible to formulate sensible economic or social … Continue reading

Reconciling CO2 Concentrations With Emissions and Energy Consumption
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Reconciling CO2 Concentrations With Emissions and Energy Consumption

According to the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration, in 2016 the world consumed 580.7 quadrillion British Thermal Units, lovingly known as ‘quads.’ In 2010 we consumed 512 quads, a growth rate of about 2% per year. Reported emissions of greenhouse gases have plateaued for the past three years and have not risen much … Continue reading