While pondering the hysteria around the heat in late May this year I noticed several claims that Europe is the continent which is heating faster than any other. If you search online, you will find the claim being made in lots of places, but one such will suffice for current purposes:

Europe is the fastest-warming continent, warming more than twice as fast as the global average.

That’s from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, so I suppose we can regard it as a pretty definitive statement.

On reading it, however, I felt confident that I have read numerous similar claims about other parts of the world, and on checking, it seems I was right.

Here’s the United Nations telling us that “Asia is warming twice as fast as the rest of the world”.

WWF assures us that “Warming in Brazil is already higher than the global average”.

Reuters is confident that:

Australia temperatures rising faster than rest of the world: official report.

Back with WWF again we also learn that we have to ask “Why is the Arctic warming faster than the rest of the planet?”

Wikipedia assures us that “Africa is currently warming faster than the rest of the world on average.” Its source for the claim is a WMO report, so I suppose that’s authoritative too.

The Guardian warns that “South pole warming three times faster than rest of the world, our research shows”.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency asserts that “The United States is expected to continue to warm faster than other parts of the world. As average temperatures increase, the risk of extreme heat goes up. Across the contiguous United States, average temperatures have already risen about 60% more than the global average since 1970.” Heating faster than the rest of the world isn’t enough – some parts of the USA have to to heat even faster than that: “The northern and western parts of the country are projected to warm even more.

In case you think I’m cherry-picking here, I’m not. The Canadian Climate Institute says that “Canada is warming twice as fast as the global average, and Canada’s Arctic is warming nearly four times as fast.

Yes, yes, I hear you say, but you’ve cheated by going north of the USA. We already know that the Arctic is heating faster, so Canada was always going to give you that result. Well, maybe, but then again the Mexico News Daily assures us that “Temperatures in Mexico are rising faster than the global average”.

So that’s Europe, Asia, Africa, North and South America, Australia, the Arctic and Antarctica all heating faster than the global average. And it’s not just land where this amazing phenomenon of everywhere heating by more than the average is occurring. It’s true of the oceans too. NOAA tells us that “The North Pacific has warmed significantly faster than any other ocean basin on Earth since 2013”. Meanwhile, the University of Reading assures us that “Since 2016 the Atlantic Ocean has warmed faster than other ocean basins in the top 100 meters of ocean”.

Research published in Nature also advises us that “During 1979–2021, major portions of the Arctic Ocean were warming at least four times as fast as the global average”.

A 2022 study of the Indian Ocean concluded that “Sea-surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean has warmed by approximately 1°C since 1950, among the fastest rate of increase in the global oceans”.

The British Antarctic Survey has found that “the Southern Ocean is gaining heat faster than the rest of the global ocean”.

DW opines that “The average temperature of the North Sea has risen twice as fast as the oceans of the world.

A study in Nature suggests that “Since the early 1980s, the shallow and brackish Baltic Sea, located in northern Europe, has warmed fastest of all the world’s coastal seas.”

Climate change (aka global boiling) is a remarkable phenomenon – everywhere is heating faster than the average. I don’t know about the laws of physics, but it seems that the laws of mathematics have been well and truly overturned. .

16 Comments

  1. In Climate Crisis Cloud Cuckoo Land, everywhere is heating faster than everywhere else and everyone is used to believing as many as six impossible things before breakfast.

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  2. Please don’t buy the arctic “amplication” mantra. There are three good reasons to dismiss claims of the Arctic warming faster than elsewhere.

    1. Arctic Amplification is an artifact of Temperature Anomalies

    https://i0.wp.com/clivebest.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/94-16.gif

    Key Point: GMT Anomalies Are Dominated by the Highest Latitudes

    The main problem with all the existing observational datasets is that they don’t actually measure the global temperature at all. Instead they measure the global average temperature ‘anomaly’. . .The use of anomalies introduces a new bias because they are now dominated by the larger ‘anomalies’ occurring at cold places in high latitudes. The reason for this is obvious, because all extreme seasonal variations in temperature occur in northern continents, with the exception of Antarctica. Increases in anomalies are mainly due to an increase in the minimum winter temperatures, especially near the arctic circle. 

    2. Arctic Surface Stations Records Show Ordinary Warming

    Locations of 118 arctic stations examined in this study and compared to observations at 50 European stations whose records averaged 200 years and in a few cases extend to the early 1700s

    3. Arctic Warmth Comes from Meridional Heat Transport, not CO2

      Key Point: More Atmospheric Heat means Warming in the Coldest Places

      Temperatures at the poles during 6 months of darkness would fall well below -150C if there was no atmosphere, similar to the moon. Instead heat is constantly being transported from lower latitudes by the atmosphere and ocean and so that temperatures never fall much below -43C. If more heat is transported northwards than previously, then minimum temperatures must rise, and this is what we observe in individual measurements.

      https://rclutz.com/2023/08/19/arctic-amplication-not-what-you-think/

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    1. Mark – how you pull all these links/facts together is amazing. I would give you the title “Climate Scepticism Verify Guru”

      Liked by 2 people

    2. Good sleuthing! All of the claims might be both true and very misleading. What is the time span of the measurement and comparison? By cherry picking the time span, you might find some period of years that has warmed faster than anywhere else for that same time span. Most agencies you cited are complicit is this deception. Most journalists who report the deception are more like gossip reporters than investigative reporters.

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    3. Douglass Allen,

      In fairness, the cherry picking of time scales can work both way – some of the claims I have noted may well cover different time scales from others. However, the basic point stands. Pretty much everywhere in the world seems to be subject to the claim, not only yhat it is heating because of climate change, but that it is heating by more than the average. The corolloraries are that the language is used to scare people everywhere into net zero policies; and that poorer countries use these “above average” data to claim victimhood and demand compensation. It’s a racket.

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    4. Certainly any land area or country is warming faster than the global average because the global numbers include the oceans which make up 70% of the world.

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    5. Robert Pollock,

      That’s a good point. Most of the claims of “warming faster” make comparison with the rest of the world, not with other countries or continents.

      Is it lazy reportage or deliberate legerdemain? Either way, it creates a profoundly misleading impression, that seems calculated to ramp up the fear factor.

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    6. It’s no wonder that every place is warming faster than every other place, because the very concept of a global mean/avg. surface temperature (GAT) is poppycock, involving the averaging of averages, which can be made to come out to any number they want just by changing the order of the averaging.

      The jig has long been up on the global Marxist politician-run U.N. IPCC octopus that’s hijacked climate science to weaponize it against capitalism and has scammed trillions with no end in sight. Even hero Pres. Trump, who can smell communism a mile away and instinctively rejects their Net Zero/Green New Deal scam, has yet to get serious in killing the head of the snake by hiring real experts like moi, leaving me preaching on a soapbox in a wilderness of apathy. But I’ll fight for the truth no matter the odds.

      Here’s my free condensed course on thermal physics and climate science arming you with the killer disproofs of the IPCC lie package: http://www.historyscoper.com/thebiglieaboutco2.html

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    7. Historyscoper,

      Apologies for the temporary disappearance of your comment into spam – for some reason that I don’t understand, including links seems to have this effect sometimes.

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    8. By the way, we’ll have to disagree about the “hero” status of President Trump, but I do agree that the concept of a meaningful average global termperature is more than a little dubious.

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    9. Mark,

      Yours is an excellent observation, but I’m afraid you may be employing the rather naïve form of mathematics taught only in schools and universities, in which ordinality can be derived purely from cardinal values. If you are hoping to get anywhere in climate science you have to up your game and recognise that a number gains its magnitude, and hence ordinality, through a combination of numeric value and political importance. Consequently, the warming in the arctic regions is greater than the global average because that is where the greatest impact on sea levels is to be found. Warming in Africa is greater than the average because that is where the greatest injustice is to be found. Asian warming is greater than the average because that is where a lot of the low-lying communities are to be found. And European warming is greater than the average because that is where the greatest potential for de-industrialisation can be found. In fact, pick any geographical area and you will be able to construct an argument for its politico-environmental importance and hence a reason for augmenting numerical values with an appropriate climate science coefficient to alter its ordinality. The result is an apparent paradox in which delta x can be simultaneously greater and less than itself but never equal to itself. I know it takes some getting used to, but not everything in life is intuitively true.

      I first came across this odd feature in climate change mathematics here:

      https://cliscep.com/2024/06/05/is-3-0-really-greater-than-0-85/

      Liked by 2 people

    10. John Ridgway

      Your description of the apparent paradox of delta x is really very funny. Sort of an academic version of a John Cleese Fawlty Towers viewpoint.

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