A place for you to point to climate and related news, introduce yourself to other Cliscep contributors, and suggest topics for new posts.
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A place for you to point to climate and related news, introduce yourself to other Cliscep contributors, and suggest topics for new posts.
Comments are closed.
Continuing from the last comment on the previous thread. The first page in the series, from early May 2021, is here.
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Gosh, the earthquake has passed – moving posts up and down Willy-hilly before settling down, but where have all the people gone?
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“Wikipedia and UK Government move to censor climate debate”
https://unherd.com/thepost/wikipedia-and-uk-government-move-to-censor-climate-debate/
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Mark – If that chart on the left was really in the Lancet, then I agree with – “This is disgraceful for a supposedly scientific journal.”
another example of going for visual effect over presenting the data without bias it seems,
can’t find a link to the Lancet article !!!!!
ps – I gave your comment a heads up over on the “The Summer’s Gonna Get You 2” thread, as it seems relevant.
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Jit – thanks for the link – liked the end quote –
“Meanwhile, Steve Smith, an “expert witness” consulted by the Committee, argued that “traditional broadcasters” such as the BBC “must play an important role as trusted sources in a landscape of disinformation online.” Elsewhere, he suggested the British Government should repurpose communications techniques deployed during the Covid-19 pandemic for the fight against climate change:
Very effective messaging came from Covid and there are lessons that we can learn from it — the sense that, when we really think something is a crisis, the government can change overnight. But with climate change, we are still not doing that, are we?
Smith is a senior staffer at Picture Zero, a film and TV production company specialising in “human climate change stories”. He was one of several “experts” with no environmental science background — including marketing specialists, green activists, and pollsters — whose testimony heavily informed the report’s findings and recommendations. One after another, they urged the committee to “apply lessons of the Covid pandemic for bringing about widespread behaviour change.”
It seems that governments deploying information warfare against their own citizens did not end with the Covid-19 reopening: influencing the public on the climate agenda is the next area of focus.”
the https://www.picturezero.com/ is worth a view
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Issuing modest fines to wealthy middle class protestors won’t work:
“Greta Thunberg carried away by police hours after fine”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-europe-66295035
Rather than fine Greta and her ilk, I have a better idea. Make her do community service in a form that is environmentally useful, such as picking litter.
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I suppose I shouldn’t be surprised that Roger Harrabin has now obtained a berth at the Guardian:
“What frightens me about the climate crisis is we don’t know how bad things really are
Roger Harrabin”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/25/frightens-climate-crisis-do-not-know-how-bad-wildfires-greece
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I have long been of the view that wind farm developers are great recruiting agencies for climate sceptics:
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/it-was-much-warmer-ion-europe-during-earlier-years
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Another major EV fire on a ship:
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9:30pm ITV+1 Prog about activists
(I meant to mention it before original broadcast at 8:30pm, but someone had me doing a job)
@ITVTonight tweeted
“58% of UK adults believe the government are doing too little to limit disruption caused by Just Stop Oil, according to an exclusive poll for ITV Tonight.
Don’t miss: “Direct Action: Should It Be Stopped?”
at 8.30pm tonight. @ITV @ITVTonight @AnushkaAsthana
Earlier I mentioned
Itv local newsPR prog
long item about JSO and policing by Katie Ridley ITV
with an activist child called Emma* , Rupert Reed, Braverman
(* Emma https://twitter.com/emmadesaram/status/1684524631963701248 )
It’s a trailer for their 8:30pm prog
“More than 60% of the public believe the government is not doing enough to stop
Climate Changeto stop Just Stop Oil” (yes they said that)LikeLike
8 mins in Lord Deben givesn opportunity to make his big speech, uncontested
10 mins in Peter Tatchell and his history of 3,000 direct action please protests
Now they have him saying “at first people are against the activists. but eventually they come over”
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13 mins JSO funder Dale Vince
“20 million will be made homeless this year”
mention “Sunak allowing Rosebank a huge new oilfield being opened”
Now mention of laws banning slow walking obstruction technique
Now back to Tatchell
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17 mins in The police apologising to anti monarchist protesters
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22 mins in ex-XR protester Rupert Reed doing a speech
ostensibly cos he has differen
back little Emna
24 min End of prog
26 Advert falsely saying smart meters save energy.
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Checking the tweets 30% for JSO
which is low considering they cultists and tweet a lot
70% against
eg “Nazi brown shirts went around taking direct action attacking the shops of Jewish traders to make Germany a better country for German people.
It wasn’t approved of straight away but gradually the whole country got behind the movement.
They always act for good”
Tweters also complain
“why have you pixelated protesters faces
surely they don’t want to hide themselves”
that is a point
but some reporting may be suppressed due to ongoing court cases.
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An ITV article covers most of the prog
https://www.itv.com/news/2023-07-27/braverman-urges-police-crackdown-as-just-stop-oil-say-they-wont-stop
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“HS2: Rail link rated ‘unachievable’ by infrastructure watchdog”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66352286
You don’t suppose these guys could take a look at net zero, do you?
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“Man bought private jet with borrowed council money”
Thurrock Council sends money to invest in chancer’s solar farms. Chancer spends money on luxury items. No one did anything wrong.
It all makes perfect sense.
Good work by the BBC!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-66340991
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John – from your link – partial quote –
“The Government Major Projects Portfolio
The Government Major Projects Portfolio (GMPP)
ensures robust oversight of the government’s most
complex and strategically significant projects and
programmes. The GMPP comprises the largest, most
innovative and highest risk projects and programmes
delivered by government. GMPP projects are typically
those where approval is required from HMT, either
because the budget exceeds a department’s delegated
authority level and/or because the project is novel,
complex, contentious, or requires primary legislation.
While the GMPP spans many of the government’s most
high profile projects, it represents only a portion of the
projects delivered across government.
Projects on the GMPP receive independent scrutiny
and assurance from the IPA. Expert teams in the
IPA also give specialist project delivery, commercial
and financial advice, deploy practical tools and make
specific recommendations to help improve the
chance of successful delivery.”
so the answer to your question is No, thanks for asking.
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And you thought that the problem with Artificial Intelligence might be something to do with its implications for humankind, perhaps taking on a mind of its own, etc etc? Think again:
“Turns out there’s another problem with AI – its environmental toll
AI uses huge amounts of electricity and water to work, and the problem is only going to get worse – what can be done?”
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/aug/01/techscape-environment-cost-ai-artificial-intelligence
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Thanks to a recent comment by Jit* on an old thread about how SkS created its own Wiki article, I found that SkS’s Baerbel Winkler recently gave a speech at an Erasmus**-funded online conference. It was organised by the Jean Monnet Centre for Excellence on Climate Justice (top tip: nothing with ‘Excellence’ in its name is ever excellent) and called ‘Beyond the Emergency: V [fifth?] International Conference on Climate Justice’.
Winkler’s speech was, frankly, a bit dull (a straightforward if somewhat boastful history of SkS), as were other speeches, but the event itself is worth a look.
For example, the conference’s second day explored ‘Pathways of political ecologies and agroecologies between Europe and Amefrica*** Latina’. How did it do that?
As usual, there’s isn’t a succinct definition of ‘climate justice’. And what’s an ‘abiotic collective’? A cluster of sea shells? Oil itself? ‘Metabolic divide’ probably has something to do with Karl Marx but what does ‘the control of gender and sexuality in the coloniality of patriarchy and the exploitation of bodies’ mean and what is its relevance to climate justice?
Perhaps the speeches themselves will make things clearer. Here’s the first one:
It’s about ‘plural bottom-up paths of Phasing Out’, also described as ‘Plural paths from the bottom of Phasing Out’.
Nope. Couldn’t be arsed.
===
*Jit, Shub’s still out there. See: https://nitter.net/arajand/with_replies
**Erasmus is ‘the EU’s programme to support education, training, youth and sport in Europe’. Annual budget: >€4 billion. The ‘support’ usually means funding students to have a sort of gap year. I’m a bit surprised to find that it also funds guff like this.
***Not a typo. Amefrica Latina (or Amefrica Ladina) is a term applied to Latin American cultures that are strongly influenced by the descendants of black slaves.
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Monday 7:45pm Farage has Tom Burke shouting green dogma at him
as if that is a technique of forcing people to believe.
In reply Farage he says “we can’t believe energy forecasts”
… Well hang on how can we believe Global Warming forecasts ?
8pm Panorama was a green issue too
about Thurrock councils overpriced solar/wind investments that bankrupted the council/
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Wednesday local news
“warmer we weather this last decade is causing the green algae that is choking our waterways”
sure the algae is real
but the cause ?
could be cos of less boats and less pollution
#2 “The daily flights from Denmark to Humberside that serve the in industry
have been suspended due to lack of demand”
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On Monday I made bigger notes about Panorama on bBBC
but I hadn’t copied them over to here cos got waylaid with a barrage of Green being on TV
Panorama ‘Thurrock council is having to cut everything to the bone
It went bankrupt due to investing in solar farms that were way way over valued’
.. now disability support worker is crying”
Prog is now doing emotional blackmail using Down Syndrome people speaking
..that counts as child exploitation in my book.
It’s Tory Council, concealed losses etc.
All blamed on one person Sean Clark who was told in 2018 but carried on
investing £1bn public money with one person Liam Kavanaugh
Evidence suggests he cheated council
Panorama has evidence that one solar farm was significantly overvalued ..so overpaid by £130m
solar farm money ended up funding a private jet and a yacht
CO2 policy is not about CO2 is it ?
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Orcas, like girls, just want to have fun?
The official BBC headline is Atlantic orcas 'learning from adults' to target boats but I thought there was welcome and legitimate contempt for the normal climate doom creep from this scientist:
Quite a dangerous game for the small boats concerned but, other than that, what fun.
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Richard – watched a doc recently on why sharks attack boat engines.
just google “sharks attack boat engines”
quote from 1st search – “Sharks will attack a motorized boat. Boat motors give off electrical impulses that attract sharks. Sharks use electrical impulses to track their prey’s muscle movements, and the pulses of a motor resemble the pulses of muscular contractions. Sharks can detect these electrical impulses thanks to jelly-filled pores at the end of their noses.”
wonder if that applies to Orcas as well?
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EV car ship fire “Feeemantle Highway”
They successfully towed the ship into a port
3:30pm Holland
The freighter Fremantle Highway is now moored at the quay in Eemshaven.
The tug trip to the harbor went without any problems.
The owner of the ship remains responsible for the further handling of the cargo and everything that goes with it. The government dept no longer has a role in the further handling of the incident.
Of course we remain responsible for the water quality.
If necessary, we place an oil-conducting screen around the ship to limit any contamination”
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10:15pm GBnews
left panelist Nigel Nelson
”
shouting “Poll after polly shows Climate Change is one the public’s main priorities.
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Dougie. I don’t believe sharks play with boats as orcas appear to do. Also orcas appear to be taught how to play boat snooker.
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BBC Climate Reporter and Data Team report that “The oceans have hit their hottest ever recorded temperature as they soak up warmth from climate change, with dire implications for our planet’s health.” The BBC desperately need access to a “Geology Reporter and Data Team” who would inform them about the last interglacial. Then temperatures must have been even higher than those today because sea-levels were higher signifying more ice had melted. Marine life, including tropical reefs, flourished then, so why are we worrying about present-day temperatures?
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The window that never quite closes, but always remains just ajar:
“Antarctica’s heatwaves are a warning to humanity – and we have only a narrow window to save the planet
Climate scientists
Antarctica’s sea ice levels are plummeting as extreme weather events happen faster than scientists predicted”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2023/aug/04/antarctica-heatwaves-sea-ice-levels-melting
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Thousands at Scout camp move into hotels after S Korea heatwave
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-66407392?at_medium=RSS
But read on and you get this statement –
“One of the UK team told BBC’s Seoul correspondent Jean Mackenzie the decision to pull out was not based just on the extreme heat but was also down to the facilities and food.
They described the campsite toilets as a “health risk” and said children’s dietary needs were not being met.
The UK team monitored conditions for a number of days, they said, giving the organisers the opportunity to improve them, but had lost confidence they could keep everyone safe.”
tried to get a balanced news article on what really happened/caused this.
but all I get is the repeated headline – this from AP “South Korea Presses on With World Scout Jamboree as Heat Forces Thousands to Leave Early”
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The way MSM news headlines are almost always the same
makes it look like they are organised by a government Nudge Unit
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Item #2 on Countryfile, long windfarm item
It was PRasNews for Argyll’s Renewable Parts Ltd
https://ashden.org/awards/winners/renewable-parts
On Twitter 97% mocked it
“Just tuned in… within three seconds heard “transition to net zero…” just turned off.. #Countryfile #DefundTheBBC”
item #1 was PRasNews for The King’s business
and some kind of therapy woo
#2 PRasNews for the Scottish windfarm industry
“oh aren’t they cool they are trying to throw away less components”
Things prog failed to mention is a long list
Forests cut down for windfarms
– Windfarms lubricating oil etc.
– Most carbon fibre blades don’t get recycled
etc.
#4 Adam “Modern farming methods evil, CHEMICALS, must go regenerativ
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Massive thread of people calling out nudgeUnit stuff in Gardener’s World… quotes a letter to the Telegraph
see the QuoteTweets too
there people often cited Countryfile too
@AlineDobbie tweeted
Unintended humour was provided last night when Monty Don portentously revealed: ‘We are told not to refer to global warming anymore but to climate change instead
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The creator and, for its first year or so, sole editor of the Wikipedia article about misinformation expert Sander van der Linden was eventually blocked by Wiki for his/her activity on that article. He/she was reckoned to have been a dishonest multi-handed sock puppeteer:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Sockpuppet_investigations/Maasuni/Archive
Irony? Synchronicity? Conspiracy? Conspiracy theory?*
It can’t be fake news because it did actually happen, even if the blocking was unfair. Which it probably wasn’t.
===
*He/she did a lot of the edits from computers at Cambridge University, where van der Linden was and is a professor. So did van der Linden write his own Wiki? It seems extremely unlikely. And I say that without ever having been inoculated against believing that people create and edit their own Wiki articles. (They do.) I just don’t think he did it. Too busy puffing inoculation theories.
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9am R4 Jim Al-Kalili show is pushing Wave Power dream
“On an island nation like Britain, that power could well be harnessed to produce clean energy; so why have we barely begun to tap this bountiful resource?
Deborah Greaves is trying to change that. As Professor of Ocean Engineering at the University of Plymouth, she combines physical wave tanks with sophisticated computer modelling to test how well wave power devices respond to stormy seas. And as Director of the Supergen ORE Hub, she brings together researchers in offshore renewable energy to imagine a future of widespread, eco-friendly ocean power
In the real world the sea smashes up the machines
In 1984 my uni showed me the lab with the Salter Ducks
It was some kind of deception cos after that they never allowed us back in the lab, they were probably grant farming.
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short & sweet
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More GreenPRasNews on the way
“ITV News Calendar is looking to film with someone in Yorkshire or Lincolnshire who wants to buy an electric car but only has on-street parking at home.
If you can help please leave us a comment, send us a message or email calendar@itv.com”
I guess they have a magic solution to promote
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“How is sign language adapting to climate change?”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66464437
No comment.
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“Pilot whales at Flamborough monitored over stranding fear”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-66473702
Nothing to do with Hornsea wind farm, of course.
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Seriously?
“Britain’s surging deer population is causing an ecological disaster. I have a solution: wolves
George Monbiot”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/aug/11/britain-deer-population-ecological-disaster-wolves-humans-predators
Any comments, Jit?
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“Global heating likely to hit world food supply before 1.5C, says UN expert”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/12/global-heating-likely-to-hit-world-food-supply-faster-than-expected-says-united-nations-desertification-expert
Who is this expert?
“Alain-Richard Donwahi, a former Ivory Coast defence minister…”.
I stress that I know not whether there is anything in this article:
https://www.theafricareport.com/218379/timber-trafficking-in-cote-divoire-the-case-that-led-to-the-fall-of-alain-richard-donwahi/
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Words fail me:
“Climate change: Lecturer’s day lying in ditch ‘gives soil a voice'”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-66484655
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East Coast whale stranding
A few punters ask “is it windfarms”
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Mark on Friday – I presume he is referring to the effect of deer on regeneration in woodlands. There is a known remedy – exclosures. Wolves aren’t going to work, simply because there is not enough wilderness to establish them in – their effect on deer only viable in such areas. It’s a non-starter, just because humans and wolves have to be kept well apart.
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“Mock COP27: Oxford student among education delegates”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-66502740
The BBC doesn’t elaborate on who/what Mock Cop is/are. They’re easy enough to find, but not so easy to find out about. Here’s a link to the “about” section of their website, which tells us nothing much about who is behind them, who funds them, and why etc:
https://www.mockcop.org/about-us/
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Might I strongly recommend the recent BBC series “Earth” hosted by Chris Packham. Never would I have thought I would be doing this, Chris Packham was anathema to me. But I was very pleasantly surprised. There are I think some glaring errors in his understanding of some elements of the past – not least his view that in the Permian (or parts of it) CO2 in the atmosphere must have been low (to allow glaciation) when much of the coal in southern continents was formed at this time (implying high CO2).
I think that Packham could well be the new Attenborough. Some of his commentary was IMHO truly outstanding particularly in the last episode of the series which dealt with the human influence on the planet. I was expecting much upon global warming, but this was covered in only the last ten minutes. On this last programme I was particularly impressed by the emotive way in which he described his own feelings about ancient cave paintings of animals. Also in this episode was information about the very small percentage of wild animals (<5%) compared with the number of humans, our pets and food animals- something I had not heard of before.
Anyway a series with some questionable content (not sure that past glaciations are caused by low atmospheric CO2)but well presented and full of interest. It should appeal to many a Clisceper.
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Some new/updated stuff from Ed Hoskins:
And I think is particularly worth a read:
And this:
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12pm R4 Call You & Yours: What impact are low emission zones having on you?
BBC phonelines have gatekeeping systems. Your past calls automatically flash up, so you may be listed as a baddie
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Alan, I understand that Packham is just reading an autocue
Just the same as Attenborough does these days.
Likewise Lineker also reads a script written by clever backroom boys.
Scripts are probably customised to the presenter.
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Stew. Oh I’m certain Chris Packham had a script but nevertheless this had new material within it and his reaction to the cave paintings seemed genuine. He seemed impressed and moved by the animal figures, as was I the first time I saw them so many years ago.
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An interesting read, with the BBC for once not shying away from the problems associated with “going green”:
“Can narrowboat owners break up with fossil fuels?”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66370302
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“Mass Panic Over Energy, Yet We Give Up Our Food Security Without a Murmur”
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/08/22/mass-panic-over-energy-yet-we-give-up-our-food-security-without-a-murmur/
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Huge fire at Bridlington RECYCLING CENTRE
“RECYCLING CENTRE” = pile of rubbish on piece of land owned by a person who is PAID £££s by councils and corps to take away waste and RECYCLE it,
but who just leaves it there
until the rubbish is processed by an “accidental” fire
#EcoScam
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“Ministers accused of ‘environmental crime’ over South Downs oil drilling
UK Oil and Gas says work is to resume at Avington site in national park after decision from Planning Inspectorate”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/23/ministers-accused-of-environmental-crime-over-south-downs-oil-drilling
Lots of hypocrisy on delay here. Lib Dem’s and Greenpeace are perfectly happy to destroy wildlife habitat and ruin popular walking routes just to let foreign wind farm companies make a quick buck. The concerns of local people are often ignored when planning decisions for wind farms are made. Community consent counts for nothing then.
For the record, although oil and gas drilling have a much smaller footprint and are much less intrusive than wind farms and solar farms, I don’t think they should go ahead in National Parks or AONBs. Unlike many people who claim to be “green”, I hope I’m not such a hypocrite.
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“Why are climate activists so angry?”
https://unherd.com/thepost/why-are-climate-activists-so-angry/
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I regard this as misinformation:
“Early blackberries sign of ‘climate breakdown'”
When you click on the link, the headline becomes:
“Expert forager says early blackberries sign of wider problem”
Where I live, spring was late, very late, and certainly not early this year. It’s been a rubbish summer, with July and August being cool and wet after a good June. Blackberries here have not fruited early. In good years in the past I have started picking them in July. This year (when the weather permitted) we have been picking them from mid-August. We were out just yesterday, and returned with 4lbs of blackberries, thank you very much. But this is later than last year.
There seems to be a symbiotic relationship between Mr Harford’s business and the BBC – he pushes climate breakdown, and the BBC pushes his business:
https://www.eatweeds.co.uk/
(Yes, the lack of capital letters does seem to be intentional).
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Ironically, on the same day as that BBC piece of nonsense about an early blackberry season and “climate breakdown”, the Guardian has this:
“‘They’re huge this year’: UK fruit pickers hail bumper blackberry crop
‘Just about perfect’ weather conditions mean berries are abundant – ideal for bank holiday weekend foraging”
https://www.theguardian.com/food/2023/aug/25/theyre-huge-this-year-uk-fruit-bumper-blackberry-crop
Oops, that doesn’t sound like climate breakdown, and if anyone thought it did, it would be the Guardian!
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I’ve only been in Cumbria for two summers, but this year’s blackberry crop seems to be far more abundant than last year. That’s the main thing. I can’t say for sure whether they’re ‘early’ or ‘late’ but I seem to remember picking them a few weeks earlier last summer. However, wild raspberries are not doing so well this year. I’ve noticed sloes ripening too. Soon be time to make sloe gin ready for Christmas. Sascha and Isla would have welcomed climate breakdown 2023 with waggy tails. They both loved apples and blackberries. We used to call Sascha the Fruit Bat.
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“South-east Australia marine heatwave forecast to be literally off the scale
Patch of Tasman sea expected to warm over spring and summer to temperatures that risk significant losses to sea life”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/27/south-east-australia-marine-heatwave-forecast-to-be-literally-off-the-scale
All very interesting. Read to the end to find this:
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Mark, the Guardian wasn’t happy with this speculation about wind farms and seismic blasting, so they’ve now edited the article:
Little said scientists were examining the extent to which observed changes in in the ecosystem were due to the climate crisis caused mostly by burning fossil fuels and other local factors
“We really can’t make a definitive conclusion at this stage, but I think it’s most likely to be a combination of both,” he said.
“This story was edited on 27 August 2023 to remove speculation about offshore wind farms and seismic blasting.”
More to the point, these are modelled temperatures, forecast 5 or 6 months in advance. What are the assumptions which go into those models? They don’t tell us. El Nino for sure, local weather patterns certainly, but I wonder if they’re factoring in radiative forcing from Hunga Tonga and not telling us about it?
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Jaime – Good catch. So they have decided that “Little” said something earlier, but has changed his mind & now says something else!!!
I notice the article also says –
“Oceanographer Grant Smith said the colour-coded scale the bureau uses to map forecast sea surface temperature anomalies stops at 2.5C.
We didn’t account for anomalies that high when we developed this … it could be 3C, it could be 3.5C, but we can’t see how high it goes,” he said.
Smith said he could be sure that it was the first time forecast temperatures had gone beyond the scale’s upper limit, but it was the first time he had seen it.”
I guess last sentence should read “Smith said he could NOT be sure”
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The two versions of that Graun article side by side:
https://www.newssniffer.co.uk/articles/2531276/diff/0/1
Update by Stew : Screenshot
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Vinny – thanks for the link, it shows we now have 3 versions of that Graun article shown side by side 🙂
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We have extensive blackberries and they were quite early this year
Start of August (instead of typical start of September)
and very large fruit
They are still going strong and have some more weeks
The fruit is almost too soft and drops off
Although they appear to be wild, my mother says the land had special cultivated ones brought to it in the 1950s
Local wild ones tend to come later
We always call them brambles though that may really be the name of the year round bushes rather than the actual blackberry fruit
The “bramble patch” is the land with dense spikey shoots that will fruit in Summer
I have important news for people who claim blackberries are getting ever earlier
eg this fella
“Since at least the 1930s the half-term school holiday early in October in NE England was referred to as “Blackberry Week.”
The season has been getting earlier and earlier.
Climate change related.
This picture appeared in The Northern Echo on September 5, 1939,
when it was captioned: “Boys gathering blackberries near Ferryhill yesterday with their gas masks slung on their shoulders.”
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F4jkq16XwAA-IfM.jpg:small
https://www.thenorthernecho.co.uk/opinion/letters/13616738.blackberry-debate-starts-crumble/
These days as with daffodils nursery cultivated plants have been bred to be much earlier
and such plants escape to the wild.
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Each year generally some crops come good and others not
Some early and some late
Britain has weather not climate
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The updated version introduced a new error
Smith said he could *** be sure that it was the first time forecast temperatures had gone beyond the scale’s upper limit, but it was the first time he had seen it.
*** they missed the “NOT” so had to re-edit
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Readers, my work was published in Saturday’s Daily Mail on page 5
We here are very much concerned with media and PR trickery although here I stick to climate
This was the BBCWalesNews Blacked-up voting hand photoshop story that i broke on 6th May 2022 .. yeh 15 months ago
I spotted they’d missed photoshopping part of it
and I tracked down the original photolibrary image and it had only white hands
on Aug 15th this year I retweeted the same expose
10 days later the Mail version appears , padded out by the way the Mail took the pics to 2 politicians and the BBC and got statements
I don’t think it’s credible that someone in the Mail just randomly decided to do from scratch the research I had retweeted
i first posted my scoop on BiasedBBC here https://biasedbbc.tv/blog/2022/05/01/start-the-week-2-may-2022/comment-page-5/#comment-1180203
Here’s the Aug 15th tweet where I retweeted my old scoops from 15 months earlier
… https://twitter.com/No2BS/status/1691565664555729058
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Now there is something interesting happening this weekend over on the Biased BBC page
People keep turning up and posting the Saturday Daily Mail story as if it is new news
#1 That shows a habit there of people getting excited and coming to post newspaper stories, without bothering to check if someone else has already posted it
#2 They are obviously more excited about it cos their source is a newspaper
than my multiple posts on May 6th 2022 ..which got very few Likes
It’s the same bloody facts !
This is all very weird to me
And to me it shows how our own debunks of dodgy media stories
often get silo-ed by Twitter and don’t cut through to wider public view
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From WUWT, a couple of amateur videos on London’s air quality:
While overlong and repetitive, it’s worth skipping through to pick up the key points. Contrary to ULEZ propaganda, pollution levels on the busiest streets are well below limits. The surprise is the impact of trains and tubes where the levels are dramatically higher.
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The National Museum of Scotland has put a totem pole into a sleeping state so that it can be safely rematriated (sic) to British Columbia:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/28/totem-pole-begins-rematriation-from-edinburgh-to-nisgaa-nation-in-canada
The totem pole was created by the Nisga’a/Nishga/Niska nation in 1860 to honour a high-status warrior who had died in battle.
Fine.
But the Nisga’a used to be slave-owners and their warriors gained status not just through warfare but through the collection of slaves. Did Ts’awit – the totem’s honoree – die while slave-raiding? Dunno. But he almost certainly owned slaves and took part in slave-raiding, so why doesn’t The National Museum of Scotland just throw his totem pole in the sea? Isn’t that what we do with slaver’s monuments these days?
(Climate change? The CO2e emissions from flying one tonne of bulky cargo 4,200 miles in a military plane is… Dunno. A lot.)
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“Children have right to clean environment – report”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-66637499
And with all due respect, the BBC’s summary does make it sound as though children had a significant input.
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“Hurricane Idalia: Florida hunkers down for ‘unprecedented’ storm”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-66641091
In other words this is unusual, but it’s not unprecedented.
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“Cause of Kenya’s longest power outage in memory remains unclear as grid suppliers exchange blame”
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/cause-kenyas-longest-power-outage-060017221.html
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I love Rising. And the rather tense discussion between the hosts is quite funny.
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Here’s an excellent article about privileged climate worriers:
https://astra-mag.com/articles/climate-raves-downtown-plays/
It’s from August 2022 and much of it is about a protest held a month earlier at the UN Ocean Conference in Lisbon. This was the first protest by Rave Revolution, one of the groups involved in blocking the road to Burning Man on Sunday.
RR is a globetrotting druggie dance and activism club founded by Tommy Diacono and Emily Collins, anti-capitalist capitalists (or perhaps ex-capitalists) who flew from Italy to Nevada to take part in Sunday’s climate protest.
RR’s first protest involved a rave and a big jellyfish and was paid for by crowdfunding, a grant from the (Big Oil-funded) Climate Emergency Fund and a large donation from a wealthy Italian family (not named). It didn’t really achieve anything but, unlike Sunday’s protest, it didn’t annoy anyone and the ravers had fun.
The Astra article’s author, Ruby Sutton, found out about the Lisbon protest via Roc Sandford, the non-binary millionaire XRer with a small private island and a big look of lostness. She’s quite nice about him; less so about other posh activists. E.g.:
Diacono and Collins can be seen in this video of Sunday’s blockade, Diacona strutting around acting all macho and Collins being a noisy stoner.
(I thought someone had already linked to that vid at CliScep but I couldn’t find it.)
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Vinny – thanks for the vid link at the end.
if only UK police acted as the Rangers in US did at this protest.
ps – may be wrong, but sure I heard Collins coin a new term (to me) for those she protests against – “your a burner” as she metal (or was it hemp) link chained herself to the flatbed.
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Dougie, there are burners and Burners. Collins was calling someone a Burner, which is what she herself is – she’s definitely not a burner, no siree. She may have flown 6,000 miles to block a road for 35 minutes but that was a Burner’s act of radical honesty, not a burner’s ‘engage[ment] in economic activities and consumerist lifestyles that will lead to the annihilation of the entire Earth, with the poor, BIPOC and Indigenous Peoples of the Global South suffering first and worst’.
Clearer now?
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“UK could quit ‘climate-wrecking’ treaty, minister announces
Graham Stuart says if reforms to energy charter treaty not passed by November, UK would consider exit”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/01/uk-could-quit-energy-charter-treaty-minister-announces
Net zero enthusiasts often complain about the treaty in question, not least as it has been used by fossil fuel companies to obtain what they claim to be their rights. Thus:
So the final sentence in the Guardian article was a bit of a surprise:
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Well I know we’re in the business here of climate scepticism, but one would have to be obtuse not to notice that there are other wholesale shifts in language and meaning that promote a seamless simulacrum of reality that is not actual reality. Climate ideology is but one of a variety of fields where this shift has rapidly occurred.
There’s plenty written on such things. Spiked , Unherd, and Daily Sceptic are great places to keep updated. But I want to give special mention to an article I believe is well above the run of the mill, by Matt Taibbi. It’s a kind of entomological history of a couple of language shifts where once-leftist concepts have become portrayed as stigmata of the “far right”. Who doesn’t like entomology, and this is a great piece:
https://www.racket.news/p/tracking-orwellian-change-new-meanings
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Mark – from your Guardian partial quote above –
“Companies have sued over phasing out coal-fired power stations, ending offshore oil drilling and banning fracking, with some receiving large taxpayer-funded payouts.”
had no link to follow for this statement, which I found odd!!!
so I did a quick search & found –
https://www.dw.com/en/energy-charter-treaty-ect-coal-fossil-fuels-climate-environment-uniper-rwe/a-57221166
which includes this – “Though some 60% of cases have related to renewable energy investments, the most high profile lawsuits have been responses to recent fossil fuel phaseouts — Germany, for instance, agreed to pay Swedish energy giant Vattenfall and several minor claimants 2.6 billion euros in February as compensation for a nuclear power phaseout following ECT arbitration.”
they go on to list “fossil fuel” cases, but no mention of “renewable energy investments” cases, wonder why?
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This one’s for Jaime:
“The Giant Science Lie that Underpins the Entire Collectivist Net Zero Political Project”
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/09/03/the-giant-science-lie-that-underpins-the-entire-collectivist-net-zero-political-project/
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Found this on the Guardian – Readers reply: what would happen to Earth if it were to cool, rather than heat, by 1.5C? – Article cover pic shows hell on earth.
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2023/sep/03/readers-reply-what-would-happen-to-earth-if-it-were-to-cool-rather-than-heat-by-15c
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In response to Mr Monbiot’s plan to reintroduce wolves to deal with a surging deer population: beware the law of unintended consequences (though I should have thought it was pretty obvious in this case):
“EU to rethink conservation status of wolves after numbers surge
Ursula Von der Leyen calls for action as attacks on livestock prompt rise in complaints from farmers”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/04/eu-to-rethink-conservation-status-of-wolves-after-numbers-surge
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Last winter I was in a bar in a ski resort in the French Alps. Chatting to the owner, he had a regular customer who was a full-time shepherd. He had lost 27 sheep to wolves that year. His main complaint was the difficulty of claiming compensation which was a morass of forms and red tape.
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Chickens coming home to roost……
Headline from Energy Voice (article paywalled):
“£100bn of North Sea projects held up as production hits 30-year low”
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If it’s GreenPR BBC will promote it
BTW plastic roads = plastic dust
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test
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Vinny you guys are overthinking it
A Burner = someone who attends the Burning Man festival
.. that’s what the protesters were blocking the road against
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I’m not minded to spend time watching American screeching
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Standard PR tick
Putting out PR
that #1 uses children for emotional blackmail
#2 uses children as shields to protect it from proper criticism
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I think this is potentially very interesting:
“How hole in ozone layer affected summer rainfall in Tibet
Study shows increase and decrease in rain linked to changes in ozone levels in upper atmosphere”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/07/how-hole-ozone-layer-affected-summer-rainfall-tibet
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Mark, So much causation linked to rank association (ozone levels and decreased flooding around Tibetan margins).
Soon we’ll be told that decreased ozone levels caused by so much vaping at the Burning Man festival has caused “unprecedented” rainfall and flooding in Nevada. Those weird Palaeozoic-like shrimps that hatched after the rains, however, testify to the precidented nature of the flooding.
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Alan – thanks for the “shrimp” ref “& prompt to find out more” above.
From – https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-12479407/Hundreds-three-eyed-dinosaur-shrimp-emerge-mud-pits-Burning-Man-70-000-revelers-escaped-flooded-Nevada-festival.html
partial quote – “Burning Man is set on the prehistoric Lake Lahontan, a dry lakebed – known colloquially as the playa. The ground is made up of alkaline dust, which normally leaves people coughing with ‘playa lung.'”
makes you wonder how long (Million yrs?) these little critter have been able to survive in this “dry lakebed”.
https://www.sciencetimes.com/environ-climate also covers this, with a bit more info.
“Also known as Triops, these shrimps awakened by rainwater like at the recent Burning Man festival possess a futuristic appearance with shield-like bodies and a third eye for detecting light changes and infrared waves, despite being one of Earth’s oldest creatures, originating around 550 million years ago during the Gondwana supercontinent era.”
fascinating, thanks for the prompt Alan 🙂
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over on NALOPKT – https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2023/09/09/stonehaven-crash-network-rail-fined-6-7m-over-fatal-derailment/
I found this comment interesting –
“dennisambler
September 9, 2023 4:38 pm
Has to appear in everything they do. Look for the innocuous “albert sustainable production” icon at the end of most programmes, not just BBC. Dramas, quiz shows, you name it, it’s very often there.
“Telling Climate Stories – A practical pocket guide for including sustainability in any genre”
Click to access Albert-Pres-Doc-Pocket-Guide_V4-MSW.pdf
https://wearealbert.org/event/15th-september-pm-news-training/
“Before booking, please note that this training has been developed for journalists and those who work in news production. If you work in other genres please book onto our sustainable production or editorial trainings.
BAFTA’s albert project is supporting the industry in eliminating waste and carbon emissions. Our bespoke news training distils key knowledge, tools and skills required to tell the climate angle of this most pressing issue whilst at the same time covering the story in a sustainable way.”
well worth a look at above websites to see how deeply embedded this is.
no chance this can be reversed/stopped, AC/DC had the right tune for this madness back in the 70s.
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Mark Jacobson is crowing about a legal document that he claims shows that his lawsuit against Christopher Clack has invalidated part of DC’s anti-SLAPP law.
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Thanks for the reference. It sounds like the attorneys will be busy next week.
Dr. Jacobson’s work was referenced here last week-
https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/CNRA/bulletins/36f5443
Docket Number: 23-SB-100
Project Title: SB 100 Joint Agency Report
TN Number: 252204
Title: 350 Bay Area comments on SB 100 2025 Joint Agency Report Kickoff Workshop
Description:
Filer: System
Organization: 350 Bay Area
The afternoon ramp, duck curve, in the CASIO grid and the role of natural gas plants was discussed here-
https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/CNRA/bulletins/36f5421
The following 1 Comment(s) submitted to Docket Number 23-SB-100 have been published:
Docket Number: 23-SB-100
Project Title: SB 100 Joint Agency Report
TN Number: 252202
Title: SoCalGas Comments on the CEC SB 100 Kickoff Workshop
Description:
Filer: System
Organization: Southern California Gas Company
Mark
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SkyNews Oz have always not complied with rest of media who give Greens a free pass
They have put up two different cuts of the same video
– Greens have ‘washed their hands’ of the environmental damage by renewable projects
– Renewable energy projects are ‘destroying’ the environment whilst trying to protect it
The Australian Liberal politician
argues that Their own 2050 Net Zero policy is sensible and pragmatic cos it includes CCS and nuclear
and that Labour governments Net Zero policy is crazy.
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Libya floods: Derna city looks like a tsunami hit it – minister – https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-66785466
This disaster was 1st reported on the BBC as “climate change related” because of storm Daniel on the 1pm news, with a small mention about dams failing in the news report.
But as the 24hr BBC news rolls on, we get –
“Water engineering experts have told the BBC it is likely that the upper dam, around 12km (eight miles) from the city, failed first – its water sweeping down the river valley towards the second dam, which is estimated to be about one kilometre from the low-lying part of Derna, where neighbourhoods were inundated.
Raja Sassi, who survived along with his wife and small daughter, told the Reuters news agency: “At first we just thought it was heavy rain but at midnight we heard a huge explosion and it was the dam bursting.”
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The new Totalitarian Energy Bill
Simon Webb has a new video about it
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Thank goodness for that:
“Experts call for global moratorium on efforts to geoengineer climate
Techniques such as solar radiation management may have unintended consequences, scientists say”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/14/experts-call-for-global-moratorium-on-efforts-to-geoengineer-climate
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John Cadogan on the latest EV fire near an airport control tower:
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@EdmundGemmell leader of the Climate Party is on GBnews
He comes across as a rightly slimey slick salesman
He made me want to eat more meat
and recycle less
and never BUY green gimmicks
The intro mentioned he organised the Millennium Bridge.
“Queue for Climate” protest #Q4ClimateNature
fronted by Chris Packham and Deborah Meaden
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F6E6WkkWMAAbVuP.jpg:small
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“Millennium Bridge: Business people protest with queue for climate”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-66811373
Are they unrepresentative, or has the whole establishment fallen for this (net zero/climate hysteria) hook, line and sinker?
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“People who work from home all the time ‘cut emissions by 54%’ against those in office
Study in US shows one day a week of remote working cuts emissions by just 2% but two or four days lowers them by up to 29%”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/18/people-who-work-from-home-all-the-time-cut-emissions-by-54-against-those-in-office
Another non-justified Guardian headline, even if they do put the “cut emissions by 54% claim in inverted commas. The detail is this:
As is common in the world of climate change and net zero reporting, predictions are now elevated to statements of fact. Also, note this:
And this:
…“People say: ‘I work from home, I’m net zero.’ That’s not true,” said the co-author Fengqi You of Cornell University. “The net benefit for working remotely is positive but a key question is how positive. When people work remotely, they tend to spend more emissions on social activities.”
The study found that remote workers’ non-work travel increased, with more driving and more flying. You said that homes were not always optimised for decarbonisation, in terms of using renewable energy and the efficiency of appliances, and there were some scale-related energy savings. For instance, a small home printer is likely to be less energy efficient than an office printer….
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You don’t say!
“Revealed: top carbon offset projects may not cut planet-heating emissions”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/19/do-carbon-credit-reduce-emissions-greenhouse-gases
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Scunthorpe next Saturday : “A giant whale will be the centrepiece of a free Green Future day packed full of hands-on activities exploring how we can make our corner of the planet cleaner and greener, now and for future generations.”
page full of crazy council PR
https://www.northlincs.gov.uk/news/showstopping-50-foot-whale-the-star-of-scunthorpes-free-family-fun-day
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Scotty Kilmer trashes EV ranges at start, offshore wind at 5 minutes in and old politicians at 8 minutes:
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Oh, for goodness’ sake:
“‘Imagine Westminster under water’: stricter tests needed to see how City copes with climate disasters
Sam Woods, head of the Bank’s financial stability watchdog, says lenders have only shown they can survive ‘slow burn’ changes to temperatures”
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/sep/24/stricter-tests-city-copes-climate-disasters
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Mike D: that presenter needs to brush up on some simple physics. Aiui, drag is a function of speed and it’s a square function. If you square 80/70 you get about 30% – close to the 27% he quoted.
That applies irrespective of the power source.
Didn’t bother with the rest of the rant.
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Behind a paywall, sadly:
“Lego ditches oil-free brick in sustainability setback”
https://www.ft.com/content/6cad1883-f87a-471d-9688-c1a3c5a0b7dc
The gist of it seems to me be that Lego has discovered that its bricks made from recycled plastic have a higher “carbon footprint” than its traditional bricks that are oil byproducts.
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The BBC has caught up with the Lego story now:
“Lego axes plan to make bricks from recycled bottles”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66910573
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Here we go again…
“Brown bear cubs in Japan die of starvation amid salmon shortage
Experts blame rising sea temperatures caused by climate crisis for cub deaths at Unesco heritage site”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/26/brown-bear-cubs-in-japan-die-of-starvation-amid-salmon-shortage
Maybe climate change, maybe not. Read on:
Just a thought – could over-fishing have led to a salmon shortage?
A Tesla battery in Queensland has caught on fire:
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Various NGOs have collaborated to produce the latest State of Nature report, which is a somewhat hard to evaluate (cos v little supporting data is supplied) evaluation of the state of the UK’s wildlife. It’s got lots of press coverage. Here’s the Telegraph’s:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/28/extinction-uk-small-mammals-birds-state-of-nature/
(That might be paywalled. It’s not for me. For some reason – a Firefox UBlock plug-in? – the Telegraph paywall disappeared a few months ago. If it’s paywalled for you, try archive.ph. That has a pirate of it.)
That article is headed by a cute pic of a field vole, which the Telegraph says is one of the species most threatened with extinction in the UK.
Except the authors said no such thing. The report doesn’t mention field voles. Not surprising. They are probably the UK’s most common wild mammal. It does say that water voles are in trouble, but that’s hardly news. (Caged minks freed by animal activists in the 1990s are mostly to blame for the water vole’s decline.)
As far as I can tell, the environmental biologist who gave the Telegraph the quote about field voles had nothing to do with the latest State of Nature report, which does make one wonder why she was interviewed about it.
The report itself? Apparently climate change is the second biggest threat to the UK’s wildlife. The biggest is agriculture, obvz.
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Some new/updated posts from Ed Hoskins that are well worth a read, IMO:
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New method to put out EV fires. Spray with -19 C brine:
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I note that Michael Mann has extended his view of the overarching climate control of carbon dioxide back into geological time making it, and volcanicity (which supplies CO2 and apparently very little else). All this appears in a new book “Our Fragile Moment: How Lessons from Earth’s Past Can Help Us Survive the Climate Crisis”
I shan’t read it but I should like to know where he got some of his past atmospheric values from and why he is not concerned about estimated past very high CO2 concentrations, many, many times present day values.
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Alan, the Guardian’s giving the book a push, naturally:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/30/human-civilisation-climate-scientist-prof-michael-mann
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Local event.. green propaganda pushed in geology
“SAT, OCT 14 AT 1:30 PM
Role of Geology in Achieving the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals
3 people going · University of Hull in Kingston upon Hull”
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Only 3 going, all students I suppose
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Climate change is causing an increase in French marmot parricide and revolution.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/28/they-kill-their-own-parents-children-and-neighbours-now-life-is-even-worse-for-the-vicious-alpine-marmot-aoe
This is because less snow means less insulation for marmots’ burrows, so it’s colder down there when they hibernate. This coldness kills young pups and reduces female fertility, meaning that family groups are smaller.
Now, marmot family groups are very undemocratic. They are led by despotic couples who bully the other group members into submission and celibacy. When the groups are smaller, this weakens the despots’ authority (not sure why) and younger group members are more likely to revolt and either kill their parents and siblings or leave the group to try to start their own, which process is itself somewhat violent.
So you have a smaller population because of colder hibernacula and more mass murder because of this smaller population, meaning an even smaller population. Overall, global heating is apparently shrinking the marmot population in that area by 4% per annum.
Interestingly, the 2013 study that I assume provided most of the info in that recent Graun article said that an earlier study had found that less snow *increased* the size of marmot family groups in North America. I can’t remember the mechanism for that or how the French project explained the difference.
Interestingly, part deux: the French project also found that climate change both increases and decreases the occurrence of (often incestuous) marmot adultery. Adultery is more common when there are a lot of sexually mature males in the family group. Colder hibernation produces smaller family groups, so there are fewer candidates for adulterous liaisons with the matriarch. Earlier springs, however, mean that hibernation ends earlier and this makes more time available for adultery.
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In non-marmot population shrinkage news, a retired psychological consultant wants the world’s agriculture output to be capped so that the human population can shrink. Here he is at MAHB, a Paul Ehrlich outfit:
https://mahb.stanford.edu/blog/a-case-for-limiting-total-food-production-for-human-consumption/
Far out, man. How are you going to do that?
OK. But how?
Mr Salmony, have you thought about making humans live like marmots? That might shrink our population. Though only by 4% per annum. And only in France.
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Aug 6th :
It was on TalkTV
That lead me to an extraordinary TalkTV Facebook post
from a year earlier
That sounds like utter guff to me written a TalkTV junior
The text continues “Gerald Kutney Phd, author of Climate Brawl: The Politics of the Climate Crisis, has reacted strongly”
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“Your luxury beliefs are a threat to our living standards
The anti-fossil-fuel hysteria of the gold-collared superclass threatens to impoverish mankind.”
…Consider the United Nations’ proposal that humanity halt all new fossil-fuel exploration by 2030. This, to be blunt, is batshit insane. Ahead of COP28, the next United Nations Climate Change Conference, the UN has published a report with suggestions for how we might save ourselves from eco-catastrophe. One is that we have a ‘phaseout of all fossil fuels’. We should cease ‘all new oil, gas and coal exploration’ and ‘fossil-fuel production’ by 2030, it proposes. So they warn of catastrophe in one breath, then campaign for it in the next. Make no mistake: if we were to stop all new fossil-fuel production, the suffering caused to humanity would be incalculable. It would be the worst act of conscious impoverishment in history.
Picture the scene. COP28 kicks off in Dubai next month. In unimaginably luxurious surrounds, hilariously paid for by UAE petrodollars, world leaders, Davos Man, self-important NGOs and other members of what Samuel P Huntington memorably called the ‘gold-collar superclass’ will gather to discuss policy ideas that would plunge the rest of us into poverty. In air-conditioned rooms, over glasses of likely alcohol-free wine, they’ll breezily gab about putting every coalminer and oil-driller on Earth out of work and putting an end to the fuels that provide 80 per cent of the world’s energy. They’ll fly in on private jets, recuperate in five-star hotel rooms, and then get ready to tell you and me that if we don’t replace our gas boilers and recycle our rubbish the planet will be consumed by fire and floods. Are you feeling conned yet?…
Perhaps it’s time for a COP28 thread? It will soon be upon us and the media will be ramming it down our throats as usual, I daresay.
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I agree: it’s time for a COP28 thread.
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“New United Nations Report Signals Need for Mud and Grass Huts by 2050”
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/10/10/new-united-nations-report-signals-need-for-mud-and-grass-huts-by-2050/
Meanwhile, Robin, if nobody beats me to it, I’ll do something about a COP28 thread when I return next week from a brief trip to Scotland to climb some hills.
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Have any of you been following the “Causality and Climate” thread on Judith Curry’s “Climate Etc.” blog? The comments have pretty much boiled down to a debate between “Agnostic” and a bunch of challengers. It’s beyond my ability to evaluate who is right, but if Agnostic is correct, then it’s all over for Climate Science. But it really does come down to hard physics. I’d be keen to know what the scientific minds here at Cliscep think.
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Oh you poor sods. I have just read that climate change is changing both the quantity and quality of hops, so predictably the quality of the amber nectar will decline. I never was much of a bitter soul, preferring lagers or “shorts” but I will sympathise.
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Ianalexs,
I have only given the Climate etc. post on causality a quick glance. I have also noted that the ATTP folk have taken a keen interest in it and, unsurprisingly, are unimpressed. Before passing my own judgement I should, of course, at least read the paper carefully but I can’t say I am terribly inclined to do so. I noted that the authors are dismissive of the Pearl approach to causality and are offering instead a ‘statistical’ approach that seems to be basing its causal judgments on examination of data alone. But if I learnt anything from the writings of Judea Pearl it is that such an approach is doomed to fail. No amount of data mining can discern causal relationships on its own. I cannot therefore think that the time invested in reading the paper is likely to be rewarded.
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Alan,
Thank you – sympathy appreciated. I can’t say I’ve noticed a deterioration in my favoured real ales yet, but the Guardian has me deeply worried (sarc).
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A very early member of Extinction Rebellion (Tiana Jacout; she says she was a co-founder) is currently trying to raise £33k so that Colombian shamans can fly to a conference in Iceland and tackle climate change with authentic pre-Columbian Colombian woo-woo. Time is getting short – the shamans will have to fly up north pretty soon – so please donate ASAP:
https://thefountain.earth/2023/10/mamos-of-the-kogi-kaggaba-nation-pagamentos-pilgrimage-to-the-north/
The Kogi (Kogui/Kaggaba etc) seem to have usurped their fellow slash-and-burners the Yanomami as the eco-activist’s Noble Savage of choice. Two long films about the Kogi and their woo-woo are available on YouTube. I streamed one of them last night, expecting to hate it, switch it off and go to bed, but it was too enjoyable to switch off, partly because of the beautiful scenery but mostly because it often seemed more like a piss-take than a celebration of Noble Savage wisdom. For example, the Kogi mamos (male shamans; also known as mamas) are always very obviously off their heads (they continuously plunge sticks up and down into their coca-enabling lime gourds in a very wankish manner that is never explained); and the Kogi women don’t ever get to speak or even smile and are sometimes pushed out of sight. Then there’s the supposed 400 kilometres of supposedly gold thread that the mamos/mamas collect on a trip to London. Very obvious claptrap right from the start when the film-maker records himself supposedly buying it from a pal. But overall the documentary did eventually turn out to be an endorsement of Kogi woo-woo. Still worth a watch, though:
I might stream the 1990 version later tonight:
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Here’s something that might appeal: a take-down of truly appalling “science” about polar bears dressed up as “experts say” Settled Science, to be used for far-reaching political purposes. The site is a US academic affairs blog.
“The Science paper is an exemplar of a common problem with “climate science”: it presents its conclusions as well-established scientific facts, when they are actually chains of statistical inferences, each carrying a burden of uncertainty.”
https://www.mindingthecampus.org/2023/10/05/minding-the-sciences-smarter-than-your-average-bears/
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Woke up to Fake News on the TalkTV newsticker
Now see that all UK MSM are like Pravda as they parrot the same false green PR line
“Up to 1.5 million UK properties face an increased risk of flooding by 2080 because of rising seas triggered by melting Arctic sea ice, MPs have found”
Archimedes debunk is about 2,500 years old
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John Cadogan makes a convincing case that the latest car park fire was started by a hybrid range rover:
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Hi Mark,
I put a comment on the Green Jobs thread a few hours ago….hasn’t surfaced yet….
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Sorry Mike. You had been placed in spam. I don’t know why…
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No worries. Shades of Monty P….
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Apologies to Mike for being AWOL up a hill today, so I missed this, and thanks to Jit for fishing the missing comment out of spam.
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I’m at a loss to know where to put this bizarre piece, so Open Mic it will have to be:
“Drifting crustaceans could slow climate change”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-67135233
Climate models are wrong, shock horror!
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Bizarre indeed!
Strange that this process is only now being recognised. Isn’t it this that, over the ages, forms limestone? Perhaps Alan K could shed some light>
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Ah copepods! A fascinating group with a huge variety of lifestyles. Most are marine but they can be planktonic or benthic. Others are freshwater (you can buy them as aquarium food, there’s even an establishment in my hometown advertising some for sale), live in soils and some even live in trees! Others are parasitic (the largest feed on whales).
However it’s the marine planktic varieties that concern us. Some of these are voracious, eating a million phytoplankton every three days (one each and every second). I have seen it claimed that they are the most abundant multicellular organisms but I believe nematodes are. Nevertheless, copepods must, as they consume phytoplankton and die, their bodies sinking to the depths, be major agents for transferring carbon. I don’t believe their chitinous skeletons contain carbonate, so their remains will have nothing to do with the formation of limestones.
So important and abundant are planktonic copepods that I cannot believe they have been ignored or underestimated in carbon transfer models. So I cannot help you with regard to the new models.
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Thanks Alan – very informative. I went down a bit of a rabbit-hole when I looked up “chitin”!
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More on bad polar bear science, to complement a link I posted here some days ago. This one is just in Daily Sceptic, and I guess everyone at CS checks in there regularly. But hey, for such a signature climate-alarm-meets-furry-animals issue, it’s a complete rout.
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/10/20/polar-bear-shock-vanishing-animals-not-killed-by-climate-change-but-have-just-migrated-says-scientist/
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If you like, you can take copepod supplements:
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JIT I don’t believe Calanus (= krill) are copepods. They are super abundant marine planktonic crustaceans that constitute a major component of Antarctic food chains. Didn’t know they are the basis of an oil consumed by humans and dogs. Will consider buying some for my elderly Scottie.
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Alan, crustacean taxonomy is confusing. But Calanus are definitely copepods, and that goop in the video was definitely Calanus. ?Did it say Calanus finmarchicus? Can’t quite recall.
Krill are in Class Malacostraca, which I always think of as “the shrimps,” but it includes a lot of non-shrimpy things, and shrimps are in a separate order to krill. You can buy krill supplements as well.
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JIT. You are telling me about the complexity of crustacean taxonomy?!!! Consulting my good friend Wiki, I have found all sorts of names that are completely new to me and many that have seemingly changed their meaning since I took zoology so many moons ago. Classifications seem different if relationships are based upon form or biochemistry. I also assumed (illogically and wrongly) that that ship was a krill catcher and therefore Calanus was a variety of this group which I knew weren’t copepods.
Henceforth I’ll leave such matters in your capable hands. In fact when I was replying to Mikehig about copepods I was thinking it might be better if you had been writing it.
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Just watching Planet Earth III. Chris Packham has so far to go to even think of competing with David Attenborough.
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“Billions of snow crabs in Alaska likely vanished due to warm ocean, study says
The crabs starved to death en masse because the change in water temperature increased their caloric needs, according to the NOAA”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/20/alaska-snow-crabs-dead-ocean-temperatures-climate-change
But:
“‘Crabs everywhere’: off Canada’s Pacific coast, Indigenous Haida fight a host of invasive species”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/23/crabs-everywhere-haida-gwaii-canada-wilderness-indigenous-haida-fight-invasive-species
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Not sure where to post this, so Open Mic it is:
“Chris Packham: Glen Coe is broken and needs fixing”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-67204307
Not a word about the industrialisation of Scotland’s landscape via the march of the wind turbines and pylons, and the massive damage this is causing to the environment.
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Now that we are just days away from the clocks going back, and the long cold dark days of winter lie ahead, how are renewables doing in generating electricity? Right now:
Coal: 2.9%
Gas: 46.9%
Solar: 0% (obviously, it’s dark, and will increasingly be so over the next few months)
Wind: 15.8%
Hydro: 1.5%
Nuclear: 12.7%
Biomass: 7.3%
Interconnectors: 11.5%
Pumped Storage: 1.3%
Battery storage: 0%.
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8:58am BBC local radio..
#GreenSupremacist #BlackSupremacist #WokeSupremacist propaganda
The BBC is already very tick box
They engineered to have a black presenter, cos of course all the presenters have always been white.
Then this morning he is interviewing another black guy
about other tick box issues.
I thought there was supposed to be integration, not ghetto-isation
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Bill McKibben’s latest Substack claims the Range Rover in the Luton Airport fire was not a hybrid.
https://billmckibben.substack.com/p/ignore-that-bomb-someone-lit-a-fire
It seems to be based on this tweet which is being hotly disputed in the responses:
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The claim regarding the video in that tweet is that the license plate on the back of that Range Rover is registered to a pre hybrid diesel. Whether the numbers are visible is being hotly debated.
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According to the DVLA website, that reg number belongs to a red, 2014 “Land Rover”, model unspecified.
However it has a 3 litre diesel engine which, afaik, has never been fitted to an Evoque, nor the Discovery Sport for that matter. It was/is used in the bigger cars of which the Range Rover Sport may be the closest fit to the pics.
If it is a 2014 car, that probably does rule out a hybrid but it’s a personal plate so the car may be newer and the records are muddled.
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What’s that just in front of the fire on Andy’s video. Looks like a standing up mongoose.
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I thought it looked like a Molotov cocktail and that the square thing on the side of the car looked like a gas can.
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The item in the back is a fire extinguisher. Given the context, the one in front probably is too – albeit a non-standard type for carrying in a car. [Non-standard because they’re all red these days, and that one isn’t.]
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UK licence plates for fancy cars are often personalised
Therefore are not connected to production year
On story going around is that a fancy man parked his smoking car and rushed to get his flight
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that Black climate event
is part of the two week Hul Eco Fest
.. https://www.facebook.com/HumberEcoFest
It is being promoted by BBC local radio,
but unusually both local ITV and local BBC TV are not promoting it
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Fridays event : “CaCo Declares Emergency (CDE).”
CaCo = Creative and Culture Organisation Hull
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Even visiting Argentinian titanosaurs are painted orange by climate activists in London’s Natural History Museum. Strange that, Mesozoic dinosaurs probably inhabited much warmer climes than today.
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Worth a read:
“Climate Change Hurts The Poor: But Not The Way You Think It Does”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/tilakdoshi/2023/10/26/climate-change-hurts-the-poor-but-not-the-way-you-think-it-does/
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Some rather conflicted marketing from British Gas…..one radio ad promotes heat pumps with the promise of “up to £375 savings per year”. Another pushes replacement boilers which can save “up to 22% of your gas bill”.
I haven’t done the maths but I suspect the boiler is a much better deal, especially as it would not require any additional work.
Also the claimed saving seems low, given the relative efficiency of a new, condensing boiler compared to an old unit. I replaced my old Potterton earlier this year. When new it claimed an efficiency of 72%: it was probably more like 65% by the time I binned it. The new machine is rated at 95% which is an improvement of more like 45%.
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The YouTube Challenge result has just been uploaded
John O Groats to Lands End : with @MacMasterThe in his Porche Taycan EV vs GeoffBuysCars in hi crappy diesel BMW he just bought off Facebook, 3 days ago
Salient Part
See after all the turmoil Mac got the EV and the hassle she had the woman was still shouuting “EV’s are effing great !”
“EV folk are CULTISTS” was the conclusion.
The thing was Mac had the real world this of charge stations not working , or being jammed up with people , or too many people so the voltage dropped etc.
So he lost day one by 90 minutes
and lost day 2 by 4 hours
Geoff took Day 1 : 9h15m.. Day 2 6h48m .. call it 16 hours
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There is a video from last year of an EV man doing the 874m in 15 hours 24 mins
but he only had 4% charge left ..and that is a bit risky
but there was a charger in the LE carpark
That’s 57mph average including charging
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“Judge slams Just Stop Oil activist after she asked for delay in trial so she could jet off to India as protester, 28, is charged alongside four others for storming West End performance of Les Miserables”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12709219/Judge-Just-Stop-Oil-activist-delay-trial-jet-India-protester-West-End-Les-Miserables.html
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Climate alarmists have great trouble in calibrating their messages of doom. One moment billions are going to die, the next, panic buying has caused Waitrose in Godalming to run out of bottled water.
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Geoff, I suppose it’s a valiant effort to blame that incident on climate change. Even the BBC, which makes the link to Storm Ciaran (or, in fairness, which reports on the water company seeking to get off the hook by making that link) doesn’t blame climate change in its article:
“‘Major incident’ in Surrey as thousands lose water supply”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4n80lr4gxro
Still, when was JSO ever concerned with facts and reality?
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“Ulez scrappage scheme leaving hard-up households out of pocket
Scores of applicants claim administrative failings have left them facing crippling daily charges”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/05/ulez-scrappage-scheme-leaving-hard-up-households-out-of-pocket
That’s going well, then.
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“UK museums agree to collective action to tackle the climate crisis
UK Museum Cop held at Tate Modern says the sector has a ‘responsibility to speak out about climate and biodiversity crisis’”
https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2023/nov/06/uk-museums-agree-to-collective-action-to-tackle-the-climate-crisis
What a great headline! Museums can tackle (sic) the climate crisis (sic). If only we’d known. No need for all those COPs after all!
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This morning two youngsters from Just Stop Oil smashed the glass covering the Rokeby Venus in London’s National Gallery. One of them (who was out on bail pending a trial for aggravated trespass during a performance of Les Miserables last month*) compared herself to Mary ‘Slasher’ Richardson, who in 1914 slashed the same painting seven times with a meat cleaver in a somewhat hard to understand protest about Emmeline Pankhurst having been arrested in Glasgow a few days earlier.**
The modern ‘Slasher’ Richardson’s somewhat hard to understand statement:
JSO often compares itself to the militant suffragettes (WSPU), whom it believes won women the vote. (I don’t think they did, but never mind.) At its recruitment meetings it tells youngsters that they should join JSO because it is the modern embodiment of ‘the courage, the action, the loyalty, the gift of service and the ability to serve’ exhibited by the militant suffragettes.
Oh, my mistake. Sorry. That was what ‘Slasher’ Richardson said about the British Union of Fascists, of which she was a leading member. She said she had joined the BUF because of its similarities to the suffragette movement.***
Now, just because JSO thinks it’s the new WSPU and several leading suffragettes became fascists doesn’t mean that JSO is a fascist organisation. Despite all its blather about citizens’ assemblies, JSO is a bit authoritarian but that’s a long way from fascism.
There are, however, some undeniable similarities between JSO and the BUF. For example, JSO’s recruitment processes are mostly aimed at youngsters. Here’s an interesting article about why and how the BUF did the same:
https://www.historyextra.com/period/second-world-war/who-were-the-young-people-drawn-to-oswald-mosleys-british-union-of-fascists/
The final paragraph:
I reckon that explains a lot of the JSO phenomenon too.
(Nicola Baldwin is a playwright. At least two of her plays have included bits about Extinction Rebellion.****)
===
*She was the only Les Mis protester whose bail conditions didn’t include a ban on entering the City of Westminster, which is where the National Gallery is. The judge let her off the hook for that because she works at a restaurant in Westminster – although seemingly not on Mondays.
**The Rokeby Venus’s relevance to Emmeline Pankhurst isn’t the only thing that’s a bit hard to understand. Pankhurst had been smuggled into the Glasgow meeting in a laundry hamper because she was then under the constraints of the 1913 Cat & Mouse Act.
***What JSO actually tells youngsters at its recruitment meetings is that our corrupt government and the selfish elites that control it are plotting to murder billions of children by 2025 and you’ll have no future as an astronaut if you don’t drop out of uni, join JSO and vandalize artworks.
****This is my favourite:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v8wp
The plot gets increasingly implausible but it’s still a goodun.
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Thanks Vinny – your history lessons are entertaining and informative!
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New Green PR trickster was just on GBnews
‘Oh Britain doesn’t need to mine more oil and gas, it will all go abroad anyway”
And see how the tweeter copied Simon Evans into the tweet
See how no one Liked or Responded to their tweet
and basically I couldn’t find anyone else tweeting about the item
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I wonder what is the succinct answer to the fallacious line
“UK new oil and gas is no good for the consumer , it will all go for export so won’t lower UK prices” ?
Steve Milloy says
” claims more UK oil production won’t lower prices for years.
I promise you increased UK drilling will lower energy prices
… way before not drilling changes UK weather. “
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Ben Pile points out that there isn’t a magic global gas price that people pay.
Local suppliers purchase at different local prices
eg heap in Texas, high in UK in Winter when our supplies are tight etc.
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Thanks, Jit.
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See Climate Audit has a new post (1st for a long time)
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Thermal runaway in the battery of a handheld radio causes $3m damage on the bridge of a tanker:
https://gcaptain.com/thermal-runaway-of-lithium-ion-battery-destroys-tankers-bridge/?subscriber=true&goal=0_f50174ef03-6bdd51c476-170410014&mc_cid=6bdd51c476&mc_eid=9275323244
If a small battery can do this, it puts an EV battery fire into perspective.
Fortunately this happened in dock. The consequences could have been much more severe at sea.
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Reach plc to cut 450 jobs
That’s the local newspaper operation
by centralised offices which cutNpaste material into 50 newspapers at a time
a lot of PRasNews stuff often GreenDream PR.
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Yesterday XR did an illegal Palestinian protest in Trafalgar Square
Who are XR, Just Stop Oil really and what are their real aims ?
Is it no the same Marxist anti-Capitalists wearing a different T-Shirt ?
I immediately see them as progressed from Occupy London
First JSO turned up in Portland to block migrants from being put on the accommodation barge
Then yesterday video showed Football Lads walking home from their own gathering spotting a guy with a huge Palestinian flag standing on things in Trafalgar Square. They thought that was out of order cos the Palestinian march was supposed to be miles away. And the who of middle London was an official DISPERSAL area where all protesters were forbidden from gathering. Yet this guy was protected by blue-tabard women
As I checked and found a tweet from BBC PaulLewisMoney promoting the event
#1 Why is a BBC journo promoting it ?
#2 Why is XR doing Palestinian politics ?
#3 XR don’t care about Middle East children much, they haven’t had tweets mentioning the kidnapped Israeli children and despite their article mentioning they would read the names of 26 Israeli children killed by Hamas, they did not mention kidnapped Israeli children either.
#4 Videos showed no men chasing the guy, but no actual fisticuffs
#5 It’s a bit much of XR to hijack the 11am 2 minute silence which is supposed to be for the fallen servicemen
and make it about the dead Gaza children instead
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while looking for some other info I came across this National Grid web page –
“4th August 2022 – Journey to net zero
While most of us know that it’s a critical time for us to work on tackling climate change, we still get lots of questions about the real threat that it poses to our world. Here we debunk some of the most common incorrect, yet oft-repeated, climate change myths – to separate fact from fiction.”
“https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/journey-to-net-zero-stories/6-myths-about-climate-change-busted”
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Radio 4 aired a surprisingly balanced drama about a JSO-type protester last week. _Sticking Points_ by Mark Lawson.* Still streamable:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m001s5fk
I quite like this bit:
Jessica Phoebe Leasden-Glean (or summat like that), AKA ‘Skippy’ (an English privately educated non-binary climate protester who affects an Australian accent): ‘No! No! Opinion polls show that most people get what needs to be done.’
Dominic ‘Nic’ Thornditch (the Secretary of State for Education, whose hand is glued to the protester’s hand): ‘A point I have made in Cabinet.’
Snick (Thornditch’s genuinely Ozzie spad): ‘But the numbers are soft. There’s a conviction gap. Asking folk if they favour cutting CO2 levels is like running a focus group on drowning kittens. They know there’s only one acceptable answer but, in the secret darkness of their hearts, they may not give a sprat about cats.’
===
*Yes, that Mark Lawson. I think his radio dramas are always about politics and current affairs these days and I don’t think they are always as balanced as _Sticking Points_, but I can’t find an example, so could be wrong.
His radio adaptations of Zygmunt Miloszewski’s crime thrillers are worth a listen.
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Occasionally I check out the source of our electricity, and I sometimes do so on a late autumn/early winter’s evening, at a time when demand is likely to be high, but it’s after dark. Right now, our electricity is being supplied as follows:
https://grid.iamkate.com/
Gas: 58.8%
Coal: 3.9%
Solar: 0%
Wind: 5.7%
Hydro: 2.1%
Biomass:
8.3%
Nuclear: 8.4%
Interconnectors: 12.8%
Not a great advert for a would-be “renewable energy superpower”. True renewable energy (assuming that energy generated by technology manufactured and installed on site using fossil fuels can be so described), excluding the dubious “biomass”, is currently supplying just 7.8% of our electricity, less than 5/8 of the amount we are importing through interconnectors.
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Interesting article from the Daily Sceptic website on an investigation by Ben Pile into the funding of media by billionaires and the influence that may give them:
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/11/16/billionaire-funds-the-guardian-to-tune-of-116-per-reader-of-print-edition/
It seems the Guardian has been a little economique with the old verite…..
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A positive, optimistic review of the prospects for nuclear power in the UK:
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/UK-should-emulate-France-and-South-Korea-on-new-nu
In reality it’s just wishful thinking.
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BTW did this thread start in July ?
Does that mean it’s very long ?
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Local community volunteers do a lot of good
Then they become ecocultists and use their positions and power to push crap
One local one used the history forum to push this
“Giraffes could go extinct
The five biggest threats to giraffes are habitat loss, insufficient law enforcement, ecological changes, climate change, and lack of awareness. ”
Climate seems to have been tacked on cos it’s against Green religion not to
Climate change from human-caused carbon dioxide pollution is forecast to increase temperatures and rainfall in many African savanna areas. Giraffes are unaffected by the higher temperatures observed so far, but increased seasonal rainfall is associated with lower giraffe survival due to disease and lower food quality.
Over the longer term, more rainfall will create conditions favourable to increased woody plant cover in savannas. This could help giraffes by increasing their food supply, but only if enough natural savanna is preserved from human exploitation.
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Channel4 Alice Roberts show now
just appeared have an anti-nuclear activist as an expert on
She was allowed to make grand sweeping statements about the first Windscale accident
“a huge disaster, a fire they couldn’t put out, only succeeded on fourth attempt, when the manager Tuohy climbed to the top of the reactor
milk was banned for 200 miles , local cancers increased a lot”
No milk was not banned for 200 miles .. it was almost 200 SQUARE MILEs ie a 4.5 mile by 4.5 mile box
.. Did cancer really increase that much ?
Wiki “It is estimated that the radiation leak may have caused 240 additional cancer cases, with 100 to 240 of these being fatal”
“Cancer cases” is a BS metric cos it fails to differentiate between harmless and super harmfull cancer
Deaths is a BS metric cos how many days early did the people die ?
Wiki : ” Later studies on the release of radioactive material due to the Windscale fire revealed that much of the contamination had resulted from such radiation leaks before the fire.
“A 2010 study of workers involved in the cleanup of the accident found no significant long-term health effects from their involvement.
Tuohy lived to the age of 90, despite his exposure
The pile is not scheduled for final decommissioning until 2037.”
The chimney had special scrubbers so although radiation leaks were significant, they were far less that the world’s other 3 big accidents
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stewgreen,
This is indeed quite an old thread, which is burning slowly. Mostly we all seem to be finding articles germane to the subjects we want to comment about and post there, rather than on Open Mic. However, I think Open Mic was nevertheless a valuable innovation and is a useful forum for off-topic comments that don’t have an obvious home anywhere else.
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What happens when there is no floor between the battery of an EV and the passenger compartment!
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200 sq miles is 20 miles by 10 miles.
That would explain why the area where milk was being poured down the drain stretched as far as Wigton where I lived at the time.
I also remember men in white coats with geiger counters coming to the Nelson Thomlinson Grammar school to test us for radiation.
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Tough times for the European petrochemical industry:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-11-20/europe-s-petrochemical-industry-is-heading-for-death-row?mc_cid=bb99da98dd&mc_eid=66c7ca370e&leadSource=uverify%20wall
The closure of Grangemouth is just one straw in the wind….
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Mikehig – can’t read that link, or this other link –
“2024 Is Looking Bleak for Europe’s Petrochemicals Sector
Plastics consumption isn’t going down. Companies are just importing what they need to make stuff.
25 November 2023 at 13:00 GMT”
but can tell from the headline that things don’t look good.
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Here’s an open letter from globetrotting luvvies, climate activists and a few scientists that celebrates nine members of XR and Burning Pink being found not guilty of criminal damage when they smashed windows at HSBC’s HQ, causing £500k of (non-criminal, obvz) damage*:
https://hardart.metalabel.com/
The first signatory is Dr Rowan Williams, which gives me an excuse to link to this fine analysis by – and also, in a very real sense, of – the now former Archbishop of Canterbury:
https://web.archive.org/web/20201030060322/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/craigbrown/3555063/Dr-Rowan-Williams-Cat-Sat-On-The-Mat.html
Much more interesting – and, at the same time, uninteresting – than the open letter, I reckon.
===
*Radio 4’s Law in Action on law inaction and the legality of perverse jury verdicts (plus satellites and treasure):
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m001sd55
Downloadable.
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dfh: that article was linked by Net Zero Watch here:
https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/?tab=wm#trash/FMfcgzGwHpPGSTfcFxnSmlMWdXZJSkMP
Hope that works!
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Alan Partridge on his veganism (Graun, 23/11/23):
Roger Hallam, The Great Oracle of Doom, has received a message* about that (somewhat anaemic) joke:
I think Hallam should have his own sitcom. ‘I’m
Alan PartridgeRoger Hallam’? Or ‘Knowing Me, Knowing You’re All Going To Be Murdered By Our Genocidal Government’?Or how about ‘Hallam-Hallam-A-Ding-Dong’? A crazy bearded prophet in a small English town (Totnes? Stroud?) can’t be kept away from the bells in the local church, which he frequently rings to signal the end of all life on Earth. Paul Kaye to play Hallam. The vicar? Dunno. Dawn French again?
===
*Hallam prefaced a recent pronouncement with these words: ‘This what has come to me:’
Hallamelujah!
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Correction: Hallam’s preface was ‘This is what has come to me:’
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Mikehig – found a link https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2023/11/24/europes-petrochemical-industry-is-heading-for-death-row/
partial quote –
“Petrochemicals are intrinsically energy intensive. In Europe, natural gas is about five times more expensive than in the US. Right now, it’s cheaper to buy ethylene, a building block for plastics, in Texas, and ship it across the Atlantic for further processing in Europe than producing it at home. And that’s precisely what petrochemical companies tell me they’re doing. The net result is loss of economic activity in Europe, an erosion of the bloc’s trade balance in chemical products and, ultimately, the loss of jobs and energy security.”
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Why can’t I post a comment here by copy & pasting? I Get a stupid instruction to “Type/Choose a block” & nothing happens.
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Geoff, I suspect our theme is clashing with a word press update. If it’s working click on the + and you can paste the url.
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Jit
Thanks. It’s working now.
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The mayor of Paris, Anne Hidalgo, has announced, in English & in French, that she’s leaving Twitter. Not a big deal you may think, but she’s a bit of a bellwether in the coalmine. 6 years ago, France had a socialist president. Hidalgo stood as the socialist candidate last time & scored 3%. She’s symptomatic of everything that’s wrong with the left in western democracies.
She gives the usual reasons: Twitter “has in recent years become an impressive tool for destroying our democracies.” And she goes on to mention “vicious attacks on scientists, climatologists, women, environmentalists, liberals and all those of good will who wish to engage in peaceful political debate in an increasingly complex world.”
The main criticism of Hidalgo has been for her obsession with cycle paths in a city that’s already clogged with slow moving traffic. And she’s just announced that, to celebrate the 2024 Paris Olympic Games, the price of a Metro ticket is going up 100%. As for the “vicious attacks,” I doubt whether 1% of French people could even name a climatologist, let alone launch an attack on one.
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Jit: “Geoff, I suspect our theme is clashing with a word press update”
I don’t think it’s that. It’s a more general UX (user experience) mess, based on the comments here
https://wordpress.com/forums/topic/comments-form-woes/
It probably affects all themes equally badly, in other words. It’s probably best to wait a day or two for WordPress.com to make it better!
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From Hidalgo’s Twitter-quitter announcement: ‘This medium has become a gigantic global sewer, and we should continue to wade into it?’
Hidalgo should know quite a lot about sewers. She has long been blamed for not getting Paris’s sewers sorted out and for failing to tackle the proliferation of rats* that inhabit them and sometimes climb out en masse onto Paris’s streets and alarm people with their scurrying, hunch-backed, long-tailed, sniffy-sniffy behaviour.**
===
*It looks like she’s given up. From June 2023:
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/1080154-parisians-must-live-with-rats-mayor
**Why do we hate rats so much? It’s surely not only because they spread human diseases and chew cables. Squirrels do that too, as do some mouse species. Is it something in our DNA?
***Orphaned footnote 1:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/15/the-ratpocalypse-why-paris-is-awash-with-vermin-and-the-mayor-isnt-stepping-in
****Orphaned footnote 2: This is from Roger Hallam’s most recent tweet:
Is sixty is a magic number in the Hallam death cults? Or did he just run out of doom-space?
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A good article about the Grangemouth closure and the broader issues facing the refinery business, especially in Europe:
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Professor Jo Brand is on that silly ITV morning show doing PRasNews for Global Warming PR machine
one reply “Her face is melting so it must be true”
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“Dia Mirza: The biggest climate issue is egotistical men”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-india-67565393
That’s cleared that up, then.
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“Gas network already at maximum capacity as cold snap hits
Growing reliance on renewables means power supplies are increasingly weather dependent”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/11/30/gas-network-maximum-capacity-cold-snap-hits/
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@Mikehig – thanks for that “Grangemouth closure” link.
A sobering read & interesting comments below the article from “It doesn’t add up”
partial quote –
“The Grangemouth complex had long been a target of Lord Deben who had written publicly to the Scottish government to tell them it should shut to achieve Net Zero.
https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/letter-lord-deben-climate-change-committee-to-roseanna-cunningham-msp/
Power station demolition expert Nicola Sturgeon agreed. Now it’s Humzat? A lot of the pressure on UK refineries really comes from net zero impositions limiting fuel choices and tightening regulatory standards at great cost and little benefit, destroying potential competitiveness.”
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ps – just read the Lord Deben link in above comment.
partial quote –
“On the basis of this new analysis, we find that the legislated 2030 target of a 75% reduction in Scottish emissions goes beyond the level of any of our five scenarios on the way to Net Zero in 2045 in Scotland.
We cannot yet calculate the precise shortfall between our scenarios and the 2030 target that was legislated by the Scottish Parliament. Forthcoming decisions will change how emissions are estimated under the Scottish emissions inventory in future.
The 2030 target is a statutory target and must be met. As such, the Committee has identified ways that Scotland could potentially reduce emissions beyond the abatement identified in the five new scenarios in our latest report, which the Scottish Government may wish to consider:
Earlier start to engineered greenhouse gas removals
Early decarbonisation of the Grangemouth cluster
Accelerated scrappage of high-carbon assets
Additional retrofit of hybrid heat pumps
Our analysis indicates that meeting the legislated 2030 target will be extremely challenging but the Committee does not recommend that the target is changed in law.”
I have often thought a target is something you aim for, but may fall short or miss.
so how can “the Committee does not recommend that the target is changed in law.” hold any water?
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dfhunter: Yes, she has produced a string of good articles recently. It’s worth subscribing to her (free) emails. Good stuff from idau as well.
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Mark – but it’s the hottest year ever for humans, maybe we can all wear beaver skin hats now they are back in the UK.
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“Climate change: Saving Uganda’s mountain gorillas”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-africa-67469712
Absolutely no attempt in the brief piece to justify the claim that mountain gorillas are at risk from climate change. As I understand it, they have lots of human-caused problems that will be significantly more problematic than climate change. Needless to say:
So far all of the women I have noticed on this list seem to be bemoaning climate change. Funny that.
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Looks like squeaky bum time for the grid….
Demand over 45 GW; nukes and CCGT almost maxed out; likewise the interconnectors; wind contributing all of 1.0 GW.
No wonder they are paying folk to cut consumption!
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I received an email from my gas and electricity supplier this morning, reminding me that ( as I already knew) the price cap will go up next month, and therefore so will my bills. Of interest is the fact that I am also told that my tariff “will no longer come with 100% renewable electricity as standard and your terms and conditions will be updated.”
Of course, my electricity never was 100% renewable – they lied about that, as did so many of the suppliers. I wonder if Ofcom has finally forced them to tell the truth?
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Perhaps the UN and African climate campaigners might think about this sort of thing, which I believe is hugely more problematic for the environment than climate change. Thank you, Guardian, for drawing attention to it, but no thanks to you for failing to draw some obvious conclusions:
“Hann Bay, Senegal: from coastal idyll to industrial dumping ground – in pictures
Dakar’s nine-mile-long Hann Bay used to be known as one of West Africa’s most beautiful, lined with traditional fishing villages, villas and tourist attractions. But for the last 20 years it has been at the centre of the city’s industrialisation, with 80% of the city’s industry nearby. Today it is one of Dakar’s most polluted areas, with canals spilling raw sewage and chemicals on to the beach and into the sea”
https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/gallery/2023/dec/04/hann-bay-senegal-from-coastal-idyll-to-industrial-dumping-ground-in-pictures
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“Londoners say being green is too expensive – poll”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-67623116
Interesting that Londoners said (in effect) that net zero is unaffordable, while still making the necessary obeisance to climate change.
If interested, the poll results can be down-loaded here:
https://www.londoncouncils.gov.uk/climate-change-poll
How’s this for a non-sequitur?
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Mark – thanks for that London poll results link.
Interesting reading with many bits that I could quote which are not as rosy as the headline “Top findings” would have you swallow.
Only poll point for me was it was only 1001 people for inner & outer London, seems small to me?
as for your above “How’s this for a non-sequitur”.
If you look at the poll page “Transport barriers – 2” just look at the 3 bar charts at the right & end one titled “Staycation or domestic holiday instead of foreign holiday”.
Can you guess what the highest answer was at 33% – “Preference – I don’t think I would like this/I don’t want to do this”
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“Call for action after dip in renewable energy generated in NI”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-67650005
I love the “Analysis”:
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Today’s Times article about Drax Subsidies being extended past 2027 being snuck in under the end of parliament session.
“According to estimates by the think tank Ember, if the subsidies continue to 2035,
Drax’s shareholders will have received in total almost £23 billion since the boondoggle began in 2012.”
unpaywalled https://archive.is/amRmW
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A frankly appalling advert from E.on that I saw elsewhere and sought out on the toob:
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I think “appalling” may, on this occasion, be an understatement.
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Couple of tweets incoming. This I didn’t know about and is great news.
And this oldie from Dilbert is always worth a repeat
Cummins showing the tendency for sceptics in the Covid area to have become so for climate by now. (And thanks to Peter North for a retweet there.)
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Climate canvasses of the Little Ice Age:
https://daily.jstor.org/climate-canvasses-of-the-little-ice-age/
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Jit – thanks for that interesting LIA link above.
As Per it ends with –
“Fortunately, we did get a few flakes this winter,” wrote the Netherlands-based art historian Gary Schwartz on his blog as early as 2007. “But if the warming keeps up and it stops snowing altogether, the country is going to be cut off from its metaphorical identity.” He wonders what the future Dutchman, “sitting in a beach chair,” will think of Bruegel’s and Avercamp’s winter scenes, those “defining images of what Dutchness still means but will mean no longer.”
Wonder how many Dutchmen/women are sitting on the local beach this winter 16yrs later?
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“HotSat-1: UK climate satellite suffers failure in orbit”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-67723524
Given that they’re basically a “for profit” business, I have to ask why this is the case:
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After what seems many weeks of not being able to comment at all on Cliscep, suddenly I am now able to. My first successful attempt was very odd. WordPress informed me, as it had been doing repeatedly that my name was not linked to the password I was currently using (even though only a few minutes previously I had received the same message and as a consequence had changed my password to a new one). My comment had, as previously disappeared into the ether and once again I gave up. Strangely that comment appeared several hours later. But when I tried again later the same message about passwords reappeared and, once again I gave up.
Trying again, I found WordPress most accommodative. It initially disappeared my comment but once again it suddenly appeared. A new comment was immediately accepted and appeared there and then. As did later attempts.
I have no idea what has happened nor any idea what I did differently that caused WordPress to relent. But for any other commenter who might be currently being blocked my advice is to continue trying. With luck and persistence the present WordPress guardian dogs grow tired and give access.
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Thanks for the report Alan. The cumulative impression from many reports is of multiple oddnesses, with some variation between them. My guess is that there was a major upgrade to the WordPress.com software that has begun to ‘settle down’. Great to have you back, anyway.
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The latest from Ed Hoskins:
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We just had the rear brakes of 1999 LX 470 R&R’d so reading about improving air quality hit home for me as back in 1999 MTBE was a “solution” that CA pushed big time.
It seems folks in CA are paying a few cents on every gallon of gasoline sold in the state to deal with the unintended consequences of leaking tanks/gaskets. 1) and 2).
REF-
1) Does Station Competition Drive Gas Prices? – Energy Institute Blog (wordpress.com)
2) https://bobistheoilguy.com/forums/threads/mtbe.52615/post-661225
Mark
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“Junk Science Alert: Met Office Set to Ditch Actual Temperature Data in Favour of Model Predictions”
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/12/23/junk-science-alert-met-office-set-to-ditch-actual-temperature-data-in-favour-of-model-predictions/
I wondered at first if Chris Morrison’s piece in the Daily Sceptic might have exaggerated the situation, based on some selective quotes. I should have known him better and trusted him more. The report on which his article is based can be found here:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03775-z
It certainly includes these jaw-dropping sentences:
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Mark – thanks for that link.
partial quote from the usual suspects paper –
“researchers and the policy community need to agree urgently on a metric for determining the current level of global warming for policy purposes. Once defined, the metric should be formally adopted for use in the context of the Paris agreement. It should be consistent with established IPCC practices, and should allow the crossing of 1.5 °C to be recognized without delay. Here, we propose a starting point for such a metric.”
then –
“Nonetheless, there is broad agreement on some things, such as that warming in 2022 was about 1.24 °C (with an uncertainty range between 1.0 °C and 1.6 °C), and that 1.0 °C warming was exceeded around 2011 or 2012.”
and to end –
“Other technical details remain to be discussed. These include whether the projection of the next ten years should include a specific forecast of natural variability (as in the WMO’s decadal forecasts), or whether the possible outcomes of variability should just be treated statistically.
We recommend that work commence urgently to develop a system to put this definition into use. Researchers must ensure that it is ready well before the controversy begins over whether global warming has exceeded 1.5 °C.”
then go back to the start – partial quote
“That matters because this target is written into the 2015 Paris climate agreement. Breaching it will trigger questions on what needs to be done to meet the agreement’s goal — to curb human-induced climate change. For example, its aim of “pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C” would then mean taking action to reverse global warming, not just stopping it — a much greater demand. A breach will also inevitably prompt assessments of the observed impacts of exceeding 1.5 °C.”
probably not the best quote choice, but note “the policy community need to agree urgently on a metric for determining the current level of global warming for policy purposes”
Take it they mean the developed West again.
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Please help.
My memory is failing (I am 81 in March) and I have forgotten the arguments I used to use regarding climate change. So it seems to me that much of climate science makes a sense. After all, few dispute that 1. carbon dioxide causes temperatures to be higher (without it we would freeze) 2. Humans, by burning fossil fuels, have increased the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, and 3. Temperatures have risen (proven by measurement and changes in biota).
Why then do we sceptics not link these facts? What exactly do we dispute? This is what I have forgotten. I have long since given away my sceptical books so I cannot reconstruct my own scepticism.
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Alan,
Sceptics come in all shapes and sizes. Mostly we accept the science behind global man-made warming, but mostly we recognise that natural factors play a considerable part, as they always have done. We understand that a warming world brings benefits as well as down-sides. Thus we don’t accept the climate crisis narrative.
Some of us (me especially) rail against the stupidity of arrogant virtue -signallers in the developed world who believe in energy policies that are not practicable, that are damaging to the environment, that will make life much worse, and which most of the world (especially the developing world, responsible for most ongoing emissions) is ignoring. We despair at people who believe they can hold back the tide, with no realistic plan, only endless earnest self-assurance and arrogance.
There is plenty about which to be sceptical, including absurd claims to the effect that the world is warmer now than at any time in the last X hundred thousand years.
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Also, Alan, although I know it didn’t satisfy your desire to see arguments against the science of climate change, I did list lots of reasons to be sceptical here:
And Jit supplied some good stuff here:
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Alan, the missing link is the final step to “therefore the world is on course for destruction.”
Carbon dioxide causing warming is not the same as carbon dioxide causing the apocalypse.
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Jit, Mark. thank you both for trying to reinstall my climate-change scepticism. Unfortunately I wasn’t clear enough regarding my need. The three main planks of climate change are I believe unchallengable. It undoubtedly is happening and we are causing it. As you note JIT the bone of contention between us sceptics and climate change worriers is whether or not the amount of change caused by our emissions is serious or not. The arguments I require, and which I seem to have forgotten, are those that demonstrate that any changes will not cause serious harms. I must have had them in my armoury once, in order to win my arguments with a proportion of undergraduates in the past, but recently I seem not to remember them. I strongly suspect that I used my geological knowledge that high atmospheric CO2 was not a cause of unusual events, but today I now wonder if it is the RAPID change in CO2, and therefore of changing climates that are to be feared.
At my stage in life I recognise that I personally have very little to worry about (apart from unjustifiable changes caused by phobias resulting from fossil fuel use).
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Alan,
Sometimes we go round in a circle and end up back at the hockey stick. Much depends on the view one takes of its validity. That is why alarmists always circle the wagons when it comes under attack.
If temperatures are rising at an unprecedented rate to unprecedented levels, then maybe that should be a cause for concern. But if the increase in temperature is less dramatic than the alarmists claim (e.g. because the urban heat island effect is distorting the figures) and current temperatures are not higher than they were during the MWP or the Roman Climate Optimum (both periods when humanity flourished), then it’s difficult to see why we should be alarmed.
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Almost all the harms allegedly to be caused by CO2 are in the human domain. Only where humans have laid down roots does sea level rise matter. The corollary is that any civilisation worthy of the name can deal with such things – and far more easily than reducing carbon dioxide emissions.
The key is of course the far higher levels in the past, which were rich in life. That makes the very notion of a climate apocalypse a ludicrous one. We also note that the many advantages of climate change are not to be spoken of (a good example being the higher productivity of plants under elevated CO2).
If the rapidity of change was so important, then humans could translocate species to higher latitudes, and do so very easily.
You know my theory about this: that we have life so easy now that we begin to worry about the most banal problems and magnify them out of all proportion.
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Alan – Only other point I would add. some seem to think they know what the ideal/optimal global temperature should be for our planet in today’s world.
yes carbon dioxide causes temperatures to be higher & has warmed the planet, but is it really boiling the planet!!!
anyway Merry Xmas & Happy New Year to all.
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I briefly thought about writing an article on this, but quickly decided against, as it seems highly distasteful to make political points regarding climate change based on death and suffering. No such qualms affect the BBC, however:
“Bangladesh sees dramatic rise in lightning deaths linked to climate change”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-67779223
Because I find this distasteful, I confine myself to a few simple observations:
1. Living patterns are also listed as a factor. I imagine massive population growth inevitably means that more people die from every possible cause, lightning included. Per capita figures don’t seem to form part of the equation for the BBC.
2. The article also says this:
I suppose deforestation might be said to be one of the factors other than climate change that the BBC mentions so causally and so briefly.
3. Wikipedia says this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lightning
Which is rather different from the impression the BBC seeks to create.
Also from Wikipedia is an effective debunk of the attempt by the BBC to create a false comparison between numbers of deaths from lightning in Bangladesh and in the USA:
Once again, shame on you BBC.
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More propaganda from the BBC:
“Climate change: How Christmas tree growers are responding”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-67649989
I can’t be bothered to debunk it, but I notice two things:
That claim is randomly thrown in without justification.
Also, the article was written by two people, one of whom provided “analysis”- “Analysis by Paul Hudson, BBC Look North’s climate correspondent”.
Think about that for a moment. A single BBC programme covering a small regional news area has its own climate change correspondent. How many of these people are embedded in the BBC? I suppose they all have to write something to justify their salaries. No wonder the propaganda is so relentless.
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Mark,
I too was highly annoyed to read the BBC article on lightning deaths in Bangladesh. I am getting sick and tired of reading headlines from the BBC linking climate change to an increase in whatever, only to read in the bowels of the article a throwaway reference to a number of other factors that failed to gain headline attention. No attempt is made to quantify the relative strengths of causation to determine which factors are the more significant. All that matters to the BBC is that climate change is amongst them and so they have the glorious opportunity to push the climate doom narrative one more time. This is how NASA reports upon the increase in the article cited by the BBC:
“Lightning experts cite a variety of reasons for the apparent increases in deadly strikes, including population growth, better reporting, and increasing storminess due to climate change. Though the cause is not clear, the timing is quite clear.”
So the BBC headline should have been: “Bangladesh sees dramatic rise in lightning deaths although cause is unclear”.
As you say, and for the umpteenth time, shame on you BBC.
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Bangladeshi lightning. I read the BBC report and found it informative. It gives information that a significant number of people are killed from these events and a significantly higher proportion than in the USA. It informs me that there has been a marked increase in people killed and the number of lightning strikes. It is authored by a number of people all with potentially Bangladeshi names so I presume that these claims are likely to be well informed.
The BBC report also states that an increasing number of lightning strikes is a consequence of climate change is reported by NASA, The U.N, and the Bangladeshi Government. So the BBC is acting as a reporter of other people’s opinions. To criticise we would need to demonstrate that there are alternative opinions. If there has indeed been an increase in lightning strikes, surely this in itself constitutes some form of climate change?
As I have written many times before, I believe the climate has changed and is changing, even that our introduction of more CO2 into the atmosphere has some effect upon this. What I don’t necessarily accept is that these changes will be catastrophic (but for families affected directly by increased lightning activity this might be hard to accept).
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Alan,
With all due respect, I believe you are completely missing the point here. No one is denying that the article was interesting, nor that the BBC was reporting what reliable authorities had said. The problem is the editorial choices taken in order to maintain a narrative. As always, the BBC chose to promote the causative role of climate change, particularly by mentioning it in the title. There is nothing in its source material that justifies this – this was purely an editorial decision. They could just as easily have presented it as an article highlighting one of the unexpected side-effects of deforestation. After all, there is nothing in the statements they quote that would have precluded such an editorial decision. For all we know, there isn’t actually any increase in fatal strikes, only an increase in the reporting of them — even NASA was keen to maintain such open-mindedness by referring to an ‘apparent increase’. So why didn’t the BBC lead with that angle, i.e. that there is just a growing awareness of the risk of lightning strike mortality in Bangladesh?
The bottom line is that NASA says ‘cause unknown’ but the BBC prefers to go with ‘linked to climate change’. It has an agenda and it is reflected in its editorialising.
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John. Also with respect, perhaps you are seeing what you want to see in BBC reporting. What I see is that without the BBC and its presumed Bangladeshi authors I would not have known anything about increased lightning strikes (and it is increased strikes not just fatal ones). I repeat my question – if lightning strikes are increasing noticeably, is that not itself a form of changed climate?
Yes you can accuse the BBC of biased reporting by slanting the message, but so long as the basic message remains, I can discount that and do what you and Mark have done, extract the essentials and discount the slant.
The BBC might also suggest that their slant is appropriate. They might argue that the majority of their readers want to be informed about how Bangladeshi weather changes might lodge within an overall climate story – something of more direct interest to them.
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Alan,
The point I’m making is not dissimilar to that made by Patrick Brown when he complained about the simplified narrative in science journals. In his case, the simplifications related to the causation of wildfires, in which non-climatic factors are downplayed. The same thing happens in other subject areas and within other genres of journalism. And that is what the BBC is doing here.
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It’s early hours of a new year and I can see 15 items under Open Mic on the Cliscep home page.
I’ll take it as a good omen.
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It was down to nine items at 12:35am, going to ten as this comment hit. I will report further in Tech Notes in due course. Sorry for the interrupt. Normal service will be better understood shortly. (Mark and Jit, I’m expecting to prove you right. But not quite yet.)
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There was a short time in December when there were no items – the only time I recall this happening. Large number of items usually signify a controversy is occurring ( or in the case of December , two controversies).
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Alan, thanks, I didn’t know about (or spot) that no item phase. My hunch is that WordPress isn’t able to measure controversy and use that in determining how many items to show us! Something simpler and deterministic. I hope.
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It was as good as you imagine.
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i had a number of recent points to make but instead of making them here I made them on NotAlot hoping he would open up a new post on them
One was the Bangladesh lightening story
It’s fishy .. there is huge scope for observation bias, and sample bias,
Before farmer died in storm ..not much detail logged
Now everyone has a mobile phone and government is super interested in logging as many lightening deaths
There may well be LESS than there used to be, but more reach official tallies
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On Notalot some people seem interested in exposing that Jim Dale has no academic qualifications despite him closing down other people by questioning theirs
However I find that on GBnews he comes across as so raving, that he is a huge asset to skeptics
Just like Dr Shola is on race
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Stew – I find it infuriating that Jim Dale never shows any charts/evidence for his claims, yet the other guy always has them (IPPC & others) to hand, but they are not shown on screen.
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It never ceases to amaze me how ready the Guardian is to print letters from consumers ripped off by “green cr*p”, yet nothing dents their enthusiasm for it. Here’s the latest:
“E.ON is too dim to get our promised solar panels to work
We’ve been struggling for 21 months after paying £3,000 deposit”
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2024/jan/04/eon-is-too-dim-to-get-our-promised-solar-panels-to-work
It’s an appalling story, and an appalling indictment of much that is wrong with the UK at the moment. The irony in the first two lines of the Guardian’s response is almost off the scale:
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Earlier this week, on this Open Mic thread, we discussed the BBC’s arguably dishonest reporting of lightning strikes and deaths in Bangladesh. The Daily Sceptic is on the case, and IMO it’s well worth a read:
“BBC Claims Climate Change is Behind Increased Lightning Deaths in Bangladesh – But It’s Utter Nonsense”
https://dailysceptic.org/2024/01/04/bbc-claims-climate-change-is-behind-increased-lightning-deaths-in-bangladesh-but-its-utter-nonsense/
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Mark – as usual you seem to find relevant & interesting links.
after reading the above link, I found this comment below the post interesting –
“varmint 11 hours ago
Mike Hulme in a new book called “Climate Change Isn’t Everything” calls out what he refers to as “Climatism”. —-This is the ideology that the explanation for all social. economic and ecological phenomena is human changes to the climate. The only way to solve all the political social and ethical problems of the world is by addressing “climate change”. It is an ideology that sees everything through the prism of climate change and is how the “climate left” frame their political agenda. ——The “Climate left” includes ofcourse the BBC. If their is a storm, flood, or drought anywhere in the world, the climatists at the BBC will by default assume those to be caused by humans and no other explanation will be sought. ——–The dangers of assuming everything that happens is due to humans is that we will end up with very bad policies eg Net Zero, and that is what is happening all over the western world where governments insist that if we only get rid of fossil fuels none of those weather events will happen.”
not sure if this book has already been covered here, but partial quote from Amazon https://www.amazon.co.uk/Climate-Change-isnt-Everything-Liberating/dp/150955615X
“In this far-sighted analysis, Mike Hulme reveals how climatism has taken hold in recent years, becoming so pervasive and embedded in public life that it is increasingly hard to resist it without being written off as a climate denier. He confronts this dangerously myopic view that reduces the condition of the world to the fate of global temperature or the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide to the detriment of tackling serious issues as varied as poverty, liberty, biodiversity loss, inequality and international diplomacy. We must not live as though climate alone determines our present and our future.”
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As usual, after reading above links, found this link – https://iai.tv/articles/the-dangerous-obsession-with-net-zero-matt-hulme-auid-2693
partial quote from Mike Hulme – “I believe collapsing global policymaking for the future around this singular goal is both misguided and dangerous: misguided because ‘net-zero’ obscures many important welfare and ecological goals; and dangerous because such a narrow policy focus creates unwelcome secondary consequences.”
maybe move this to a Net Zero thread if deemed relevant.
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I met Mike Hume when I joined the School of Environmental Sciences at UEA, a rather quiet man who, eventually I recognised, did not exactly fit with his social science colleagues. Now I wish I had made more effort to discuss matter’s climatique with him. Eventually he left UEA for pastures new. Good to learn he still ploughs deeply and straight.
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Not, perhaps, the sharpest tools in the box:
“Electric car vandalised by climate activists in Bristol”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-67893216
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“Refunds after delays on UK’s first battery-powered trains”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-merseyside-67917719
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Some positive news on the UK nuclear front for a change:
https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/?tab=wm#inbox/FMfcgzGwJchvfdnrgjBNJFTmHtbjmNvd?projector=1
EdF do seem justified in blowing their own trumpet.
If they can extend the lives of the last couple of AGRs, it will improve the dispatchable resource situation a bit and help with issues like inertia.
The last line of this para caught my eye:
“Sizewell B power station in Suffolk has so far generated over 250TWh in its 29 years of operation and has the potential to generate for at least a further 20 years beyond its current end of generation date of 2035. EDF is investing in the station to allow a final investment decision to be taken on this during 2025; securing a sustainable commercial model is necessary to enable such a decision.”
That sounds like they are pressuring the govt, following the lead set by the wind merchants.
They also mention achieving an “average realised price at £90 per MWh”. That seems high for plants which must be fully amortised by now but I haven’t got a clue how the power market works.
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Essential viewing tonight? Billed as “Murder meets climate change!” Goodness me. the programme is “After the flood.” Geeze!!!!
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A very sad story. Pity the Guardian doesn’t get the irony:
“‘It’s so cold’: leaseholders left without central heating in London block
Man in 80s and mother of baby among residents hit by cold conditions amid dispute over who is responsible for repair”
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2024/jan/11/its-so-cold-leaseholders-left-without-central-heating-in-london-block
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Anyone in Barrow ?
IET does a lot of free talks these days
Thu 18th : Tidal energy and Morecambe Bay (Barrow in Furness)
We welcome George Aggidis back to speak to us on an untapped Green energy resource.
https://events.theiet.org/events/tidal-energy-and-morecambe-bay-barrow-in-furness/
LIST : https://events.theiet.org/search/
================
25 Jan 2024 / 5:00pm – 9:00pm
Wings over Windermere The Only Replica Seaplane
@Castle Green Hotel, Kendal, United Kingdom
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Cheshire 30 Jan 2024 / 6:00pm – 8:30pm
Towards Net Zero – Domestic Heating Now and in the Future
Most buildings will have to become zero carbon.
… Professor Counsell will review what are the approaches needed in the domestic heating area to achieve Net Zero by 2050 and present a case for the immediate need for accurate temperature controlled heat pump systems and battery storage assisted Heat Pumps in the longer term.”
FFS !
Leatherhead : 07 Feb 2024 / 10:00am – 12:00pm
Towards Net Zero
“Peter Carson will describe a number of scenarios leading to “Net Zero” Greenhouse Gas emissions by 2050.”
Falmer 2oth Feb
Is Hydrogen THE energy vector for Net Zero?
Hydrogen is being hyped as THE energy vector for the transition to net zero. However, whilst it will be essential for the decarbonisation …
5th March Online event
Revolutionising Steel: The Future of Hydrogen-Based Steel and Its Applications
by the guy from the Swedish firm aiming set up a project
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Our self-esteemed global leader* Roger Hallam thinks that if 40% of experts think that something is possible in the next ten years then that means that the experts think that there is a 40% chance of it happening in the next ten years:
Also, he implies that the alleged 40% chance of the thing happening is due to climate change even though more than 80% of the experts who think that the thing is possible think that it would most likely be caused by distribution problems. Some of the experts think that such problems could be caused by extreme weather but that’s a long way from saying that they would be due to climate change.
Eight hours after that tweet, Hallam tweeted something about ‘the horrific collapse of analytical intelligence of the political and administrative classes’. Perhaps his subconscious had been trying to tell him something. (In the same tweet, he said that ‘Climate is not the #climate – it is to everything being fucked up forever’. My analytical intelligence isn’t capable of working out what he might have meant by that.)
The misrepresented paper** is open-access:
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/20/14783
===
*Hallam is holding a ‘global leadership formation’ event tomorrow on Zoom.
**I think the paper misrepresented by Hallam misrepresents itself. Its abstract says something that’s not mentioned in the Results section – that some of the experts reckon that there is a >80% chance of UK food supply disruption causing social unrest that will see 30k people injured in one of the next ten years. The Results section says only that 38% of the 58 experts reckon that there is a 20-50% chance of that and 3% reckon that there is a 50-80% chance. (Note the overlap. Surely that’s dodgy too. Should it not have been 51-80%? And aren’t those groups rather large? There’s a big difference between a 20% chance and a 50% chance. I haven’t looked at the spreadsheet linked from the SI section but given the tinyness of the 50-80% support – 3%, or only two of the 58 experts – it seems likely that most of the 20-50% supporters support the low end of that range.)
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The latest updates from Ed Hoskins:
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Oh dear. Really?
“‘Her waters break and the flood comes’: author behind new Jodie Comer film on motherhood in an apocalyptic London”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/14/the-end-we-start-from-megan-hunter-jodie-comer-film-flooded-london-climate-crisis
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Is Azerbaijani climate science sexist? The Guardian reports an all male organising committee (28 men) for COP 29. This compares with 63% of the COP 28 committee who were women
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More from universities keen to establish that climate change is always bad, but without really explaining how it works:
“Global heating pushes mountain goats into more nocturnal lifestyle
University of Sassari research suggests change in habits might expose animals to more predators”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/17/global-heating-pushes-mountain-goats-into-more-nocturnal-lifestyle
Well, knock me down with a feather. Yet they also say this, which doesn’t really give me much confidence in their findings:
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A week or two back there was some discussion of a study which looked at the impact of offshore wind farm structures causing disturbances in the water which could affect marine species (can’t remember the thread).
At the time I thought “poppycock”, to put it politely.
However tonight’s Springwatch had a feature on seals which explained the extraordinary sensitivity of their whiskers to underwater turbulence. The claim was that they can detect the disturbance caused by a fish at up to 180 metres! That may be an exaggeration but, even if it only 10% of that, the turbulence around windfarm stuctures must drown out all other signals over a huge area – like trying to hear a bird’s song while standing next to a jet engine.
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“Is the EU dropping Net Zero?”
Well, no, but the elected parts are beginning to notice that it’s a vote loser.
https://unherd.com/thepost/european-union-dropping-net-zero/
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COUNTRYFILE Minute 9 to past minute 21 was a anti-local ONSHORE oil/gas extraction CAMPAIGN by Tom Heap
Most of it was activist talk with pro oil getting 3 mins
1 min each from Egdon exec, villagers happy with oil site, government statement
The anti Biscathorpe oil people got a chunk near the beginning then the final say too
The CPRE guy was on then court protesters, then CPRE guy
One of the oilfields featured is tucked away in quiet corner of a village in my region
and at 663 barrels per day probably generates more than £1m every 2 weeks before costs/taxes
from a site which is about 2 bungalow plots
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Interesting they claim here
Heap “All of these plans to drill for fossil fuels are in England ONLY
cos the govs of WSNi don’t want any new onshore” (see map)
Surely truth is , that there is no easy ONSHORE oil/gas to extract in WSNi
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I have a lot more notes
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This portrait of Roger ‘Che’ Hallam was used in a recent opinion piece in de Volkskrant, the third-largest Dutch daily newspaper:
To balance things a bit*, here is Hallam himself in April 2018** declaring that he is a ‘numbers man’***:
===
*OK, not really.
**Hallam’s KCL lecture was effectively the foundation of XR, IB, JSO and many other similar
cultsgroups around the world. So it had a huge impact. Well done, Roger. But that doesn’t mean that it wasn’t wrong in many, many ways. (A trivial example: Hallam got his Mitfords in a twist.)***He really, really isn’t. Is there a way of making that YouTube snippet play in a loop on YouTube or must you resample it and upload it elsewhere?
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Mann v Steyn is making some scientific waves. Roger Pielke Jr. has a substack about how trial documents show Mann blocking a paper he did with Steve McIntyre:
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/climate-science-gatekeeping?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=119454&post_id=140928221&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=kv1q8&utm_medium=email
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Remarkable, thanks Mike. As Roger says in the first footnote:
This one goes back to 2007 and neither Steve nor Roger knew about Mann’s baleful intervention.
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Jeff Bezos talking about the benefit to humanity of increasing energy usage per capita indefinitely.
Published by Lex Fridman a month ago but I was only just pointed to it. I don’t know the moment we need to go and live in space but he seems bang on in his attitude to energy and human flourishing. (Just going on the first 12 minutes.)
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Required viewing IMHO:
Apologies if this has already been posted.
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Michel Forst, the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe’s Special Rapporteur on Environmental Defenders under the Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-making and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters, is extremely worried about recent British legislation that restricts the right to peaceful protest.
Click to access Aarhus_SR_Env_Defenders_statement_following_visit_to_UK_10-12_Jan_2024.pdf
He is also…
I see. Don’t deride people who think that Britain can get to Net Zero by 2025 and that that would be a good idea; who think that drilling for oil and gas is genocide; who think that unless Britain is run by citizens’ assemblies it will be taken over by fascists; who think that in a decade or so (presumably when Britain is run by citizens’ assemblies) many of today’s Tory and Labour politicians will be convicted of treason and hanged; who sit in the middle of a major road to protest against the mass death of plankton that’ll mean that we’ll run out of oxygen soon; who think that the correct spelling of ‘consistency’ is ‘consistence’, with the second E pronounced like the Y in the first spelling, and that ‘jurisprudence’ should sound like ‘juropedence’; who think that when scientists use the word ‘could’ rather than ‘will’ they are exhibiting signs of bourgeois repression; who say that Labour winning the next election would certainly lead to mass murder on a scale unknown in human history; who say that climate change will make boys gang-rape your mother on the kitchen table then burn your eyes out with a cigarette; who fly halfway around the world for some jolly holibobs then fly back to Britain to block a road and stop people getting to work, thereby highlighting the importance of reducing greenhouse gas emissions; who compare themselves to Gandhi and their political opponents to Hitler; who call themselves conscientious protectors; who get their tits out in the middle of a London bridge to stop coal-mining in South America; who march in a circle in someone’s cosy living room badly singing ‘people gonna rise like the water, climate justice now’; et cetera ad infinitum.
Please don’t do that or you’ll distress the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe’s Special Rapporteur on Environmental Defenders under the Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-making and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters.
Thanks, Michel. I’ll bear that in mind.
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Vinny,
Needless to say, the good people at the Guardian share his distress:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/23/un-expert-condemns-uk-crackdown-on-environmental-protest
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John: I was just pointing again to that ‘brilliant’ interview to a friend over a meal this evening.
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Have just learned that the “Doomsday Clock” (for as long as I can remember being a few minutes to midnight) has a component relating to climate change. Gosh!!
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Alan,
The problem with the doomsday clock is that it takes many existential threats into account and some are bound to be much more relevant than others. For example, the German military’s current working assumption that World War III will start no later than 2025, renders thoughts of climate Armageddon somewhat irrelevant to the clock’s mechanism.
To stay focused, however, you always have the option of the Climate Clock, and its countdown to the point when the depletion of the so-called carbon budget will lead to the breach of the 1.5 deg C warming limit:
https://climateclock.world
And the best thing is that you can buy one to put on your own desk:
“Perfect for schools, universities and offices, this clock is portable and built for action.”
Built for action, indeed! And not only that, it is the perfect gift:
“Want to put a clock on the desk of your favorite climate-champion? Know a climate denier who needs to get ‘clocked’?”
Ha ha! I see what they did there. It’s funny because it implies violence.
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There’s a climate clock Global Ambassador too. Just one of the many green jobs, I suppose.
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Meet the team:
https://climateclock.world/team
I see their CEO is co-founder of Beautiful Trouble. Now there is an organisation to behold:
https://beautifultrouble.org/
“We believe in people power and the game-changing role that creativity, humor, joy, and mischief can play in the struggle for a better world.”
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I was going to ask who on earth funds these people (and more to the point, why?). Then I looked at the list of their “organizational (sic) partners” and found the answer – it’s the usual list of the usual suspects.
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So Hinckley Point C is going to be late into service and cost (even) more than previously forecast.
There’s a surprise – not!!
Gory details here:
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/EDF-announces-Hinkley-Point-C-delay-and-big-rise-i
One particularly disappointing para:
“He said that 70% of equipment had now been delivered for unit 1, and “many risks are behind us, like the unique British instrument and control system which has been designed and manufactured, with testing under way”. He added: “We had to substantially adapt the EPR design to satisfy British regulations, requiring 7000 changes, adding 35% more steel and 25% more concrete. This adaptation and approval process is the same for other developers bringing new designs into Britain. Now the design of our UK plant is complete in detail meaning contractors have certainty over exactly what is needed to build the plant.”
What on earth are they doing designing a “unique British I&C system”? That reeks of not-invented-here conceit/arrogance.
Then why were so many changes required? Do the French really know so little about designing and building nuclear power plants? The nuclear industry really needs to get a grip on this insularity and learn to accept other countries’ standards.
This looks so woeful when contrasted with Kepco building nearly twice the capacity (4 x 1400 MW) for significantly less money.
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Mark, I’m a bit iffy about some of the same legal stuff that alarms Forst but I’m also a bit iffy about Forst himself. Take this bit:
That almost makes sense* but he continues with this:
Which seems to say that defendants have a greater right to explain their motives if their pals are making a lot of legal noise about something, which is surely bollocks, law-wise.
===
*It is sometimes not very difficult at all to understand why judges might put restrictions on what protesters are allowed to say. For example, last year a jury trial had to be abandoned because the defendant (Gail Bradbrook) kept insisting that she should be allowed to read out 75 pages of waffle about, amongst many other things, billionaire media moguls deciding who gets elected; a new law she wants to introduce; Pacha Mama, Rosa Parks, Oscar Wilde, Alan Turing, Jolyon Maugham, David Attenborough, Rupert Murdoch, Hannah Arendt, Gandhi, MLK Jr, Nelson Mandela, Thomas Hobbes, John Locke and Emmeline Pankhurst (including a ‘noble art of window smashing’ Pankhurst quote that’s prolly fake); Ecuador, France, Poland, Hungary, South Africa, Ghana, Portugal, Spain, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Belgium, Pakistan, Somalia, Nigeria, the Cayman Islands, Holland, Slovenia, Colombia, Russia, Iran, Egypt, El Salvador, Liberia, Jamaica, Suriname, Namibia, Latvia and Liechtenstein; her unfolding sacred battle; how the Vatican enabled the colonisation of the Americas; slavery; rolling a large ball up a hill; how jet streams are actually ocean currents; breadbasket failures; how our current mass extinction is the sixth because there were actually five earlier ones and people only know about one of them; a pathway to human extinction; plastic in breast milk; the UK’s Climate Change Committee, which was established in 2021; cognitive misers; how new licences for coal mines and North Sea oil and gas are genocide; Heathrow’s CO2 emissions; tax havens; the Nuremberg Trials; police protecting the killers who drive climate breakdown; GB News; a journalist not photographing the defendant’s solar panels; air pollution; the super-rich building bunkers; cargo bikes and shared EVs; HS2; voles and bats; the defendant’s humility; the defendant’s achievements; more humility (plus peace, love and respect); solastalgia, eco-grief and biophilia; how the defendant is legally a trustee of the entire planet; and anger, grief and despair.
Bradbrook wasn’t allowed to read all 75 pages in her second trial for breaking the bank’s window but she was allowed to read some of it. She was found guilty but spared jail.
Godnose why.
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Just read a news headline indicating the heatwave currently affecting the Costa coasts of Spain is a result of climate heating (or the climate crisis). Can we have some in deepest, darkest Norfolk?
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Does anyone know why Ian Fry, the first and so far only Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights’s Special Rapporteur on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights in the Context of Climate Change, has resigned? I think he resigned on 8th December last year and was only halfway through his mandate. I’ve found a colleague saying that the resignation was unexpected but can’t find an explanation anywhere.
Fry is the Australian (and Tuvaluan) bloke who wrote to the British government last August saying that he was gravely concerned about the length of the prison terms handed to the two Just Stop Oil protesters who climbed the QEII Bridge (where one of them, a German, ranted about ‘our genocidal government). He gave a lecture at KCL on Wednesday via a video-link, presumably from Oz, and didn’t look unwell. He said that he is no longer a Special Rapporteur but didn’t say why.
Incidentally, the deadline for applying to be the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights’s second Special Rapporteur on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights in the Context of Climate Change was 19th Jan. Oh well.
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“UWA silent as judge rules academic lied and subverted science”
An interesting read.
https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/uwa-silent-judge-rules-academic-lied-and-subverted-science
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after been directed to the Guardian website by Mark on another post, I noticed on left side of articles they have this link “Supported by theguardian.org” – About this content – links to partial quote –
“The only restriction to the Guardian’s coverage on this site is where the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is prohibited under US law from directly funding or earmarking funds to: (a) influence the outcome of any domestic or foreign election for public office; or (b) support lobbying or other attempts to influence legislation (local, state, federal, or foreign). This means any communications to the public in which a view is expressed about a specific legislative proposal, and the recipients of the communications are urged through a ‘call to action’ to contact government officials, must provide a reasoned, objective consideration of facts and issues in a full and fair manner that enables third parties to develop their own positions on any legislation that may be discussed.
Unless otherwise stated, all statements and materials posted on the website, including any statements regarding specific legislation, reflect the views of the individual contributors and not those of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, theguardian.org, or the Guardian.
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‘Death of Africans Good for Planet’, says The Atlantic (or so some say):
https://africanarguments.org/2024/01/the-grim-realities-of-western-climate-change-discourse-on-africa/
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I think someone mentioned Bill McGuire in a recent post or comment at CliScep or perhaps they linked to an article that did mention him. I can’t refind what I’m thinking of but here he is with Charlie Gardner (who certainly was mentioned here recently: he’s the probably formerly bigly globetrotting climate activist who prompted Jit’s opinion piece in EDP*), Vicki Hird and Rupert Read calling for people to ‘walk the talk’ (Read) when it comes to GHG emissions:
The walls behind McGuire looked almost as bad as my own, climate-wise, so I did a bit of googling… And indeed his house has (or had – its EPC has expired) an energy rating of F, which is the second worst band and is prolly where my house belongs. (His house is apparently worth £1.4 million. Mine? You can have it for half that if you promise not to come and look at it first. That deal ends in six days. OK, 600 days. OK, six years. Look, it’s yours for fourpence halfpenny as long as you pay me in advance.)
A random quote from the ever-doomy Professor Emeritus McGuire in that video:
Right. But ‘our bit’ doesn’t include insulating our houses, obvz.
Oops! My mistake. McGuire is a supporter of Insulate Britain.
So of course he does think that we should insulate our houses.
Or some of us.
===
*See my comment in that thread for info about a v recent response to Jit’s piece.
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“Bats have a unique superpower. Climate change is turning it into a liability.”
That ability being flying. Clicking on this story in Vox I was prepared to be disappointed. And I was. But I was also surprised.
They were half-way there with the comment about the bat kills – and then let themselves down by not realising that wind turbines are far from necessary.
https://www.vox.com/down-to-earth/24048465/bats-endangered-climate-change
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The other mistake was the claim that wind turbines don’t involve “carbon” emissions.
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“EU mulls emergency aid for collapsing solar producers
The European Commission will make a statement Monday as state-backed Chinese competition fuels a wave of bankruptcies in Europe.”
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-mulls-emergency-aid-for-collapsing-solar-producers/
Nothing to do with expensive electricity in the EU, thanks to a high penetration of renewables? Nothing to do with the fact that China can make then cheap, partly because they rely on slave labour, and partly because they generate electricity using cheap coal? Oversupply of panels doesn’t imply low demand for their product? I thought the EU was supposed to be all about market competition and the banning of state subsidies.
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A question : Burning coal is evil, cos coal is made from hundreds of years of dead trees
so you are releasing all that carbon at once.
but was there a balance at the start ?
If fossil fuels contain trillions of tonnes of carbon that is no longer in the soil ,surely the soil and surface biology are deprived of lots of carbon that they used to have .
Am I missing something
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Stew, plants evolved under much higher levels of CO2 than they have recently had to live with. This was stripped out of the atmosphere in a variety of ways, including the formation of the coal measures. Plants have been half-starved for a long time, leading to the evolution of C4 photosynthesis, which is more competitive at low CO2 levels.
There is no question that plants would thrive at higher levels of CO2.
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Plants thriving at higher concentrations of CO2 is amply demonstrated by its use in greenhouses to improve growth rates and yields.
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Greens don’t debate they run away
but yesterday I took on one and he doesn’t run away
He comes up with gotcha replies ..which actually don’t stand close analysis
eg I said “What would be the surface area if you made all of the UK’s energy from solar and wind ?
Mega It’s in David MacKay’s book”
he replies that h’s dead and Osford Uni have updated his work
And gives a a screenshot
highlighteing the words
The tweeters claim is bold , and bound to be flawed
I track down the article , search it on Twitter and find 80% of comments call it out
Firstly many say it’s NOT all energy it’s electricity only
That far from it being an authoritative anaylysis by Oxford University it’s rather PR by an Oxford GreenDream academic
respun and promoted by GreenDream activist Hannah Ritchie
and that she provided that line at the start for my guy to cherrypick
although her own article ends
“To be clear: this does not mean that this is the ‘optimal’ electricity mix in 2050. Not least because energy storage costs would be very high.
The report reduced surface area by saying much windpower would be floating ,
(but we know that is an unproven technology)
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Stew, the floating wind turbines will take up surface area and will be responsible for killing birds and displacing them from foraging areas. Also, if you google news on Hywind, you’ll see that it is having to be shut down for maintenance, the turbines transported to Norway to be serviced.
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A rather ironic bit of news…
A study shows that using ammonia as an alternative fuel for shipping because ” if, and when, we make a shift to ammonia, it is to solve the problem of using fossil fuels, and at the moment it seems like we might end up creating more problems instead,” to quote the last line of this article:
https://gcaptain.com/ammonia-marine-fuel-switch-may-cause-new-environmental-issues-warns-study/?subscriber=true&goal=0_f50174ef03-104a176e39-170410014&mc_cid=104a176e39&mc_eid=9275323244
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This evening the BBC 1 news began, as expected with more than a ten minute session upon the King’s cancer. In stark contrast, Channel 4’s news did not (and hasn’t for now more than 20 mins). When I commented upon this unexpected absence ‘she who should be listened to’ commented that channel 4’s news was like the Guardian (I.e. not the BBC) and the Guardian is not overly interested in the Monarchy (This despite the lead story in today’s Guardian being the King’s cancer).
Given Cliscept’s almost universal linkage of The Guardian and the BBC mentalities, I am now somewhat confused. My wife obviously doesn’t agree with you all.
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Then in my response to my point that granny taxpayer should not go in subsidies to the wind powered grid ..he’s got another screenshot gotcha
Look here’s a Guardian article saying that Fossil Fuels have had loads of subsidies
For a a start that is mere whataboutery
but when I check the article it’s research for the LibDems ..ie its reallyPRasNews FROM the Libdems
saying that when an oil corp pays £100m in tax and claims £3m in site clean up costs against tax
that is a £3m subsidy .. which it isn’t
I point that out …https://twitter.com/No2BS/status/1754552020512489635
His response is to ..not respond but rather open up a new attack in another part of the thread
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Alan – I am also somewhat confused, what was the question again?
ps – I agree with She –
“After receiving honorable discharges from the British Army in Palestine in 1918, Professor Holly, young Leo Vincey and their orderly Job embark on an expedition into a previously unexplored region of central-east Africa. They discover the lost city of Kuma after Leo receives a mysterious map revealing the city’s whereabouts.
This lost realm is ruled by Ayesha, who is also known as “She-Who-Waits” and “She-Who-Must-Be-Obeyed.” Ayesha is a beautiful, immortal queen, who believes Leo is the reincarnation of her former lover, the priest Kallikratees, whom she had killed two thousand years before when she found him in the intimate embrace of another woman. It was she who met with Leo in Palestine, giving him the map to Kuma, and urging him to travel there. Leo is filled with a dogged determination to do so, as he sees visions of Ayesha beckoning to him with outstretched arms.”
Funny how you remember odd trivia.
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Do you mean Tuesday or Monday ?
We didnt have any local ITV news Monday , we had ITV news speculating for an hour instead
I find Channel 4 news so Guardian it’s highly offensive
endless sneering at Trump and Boris etc.
BBCnews is garbage but it’s not as hatey
The BBC is LondonSupremacist, WokeSupremacist, GreenSupremacist
so is lefty but is not actually Labour supporting
It does hate Trump and hate Tories
However it depends on establishment for it’s money
so is ken to show it’ supports the king ..he is a Green Supremacist (and hypocrite too)
It’s politics was strongly in favour of hard lockdowns and Covid doom
So it played along when the government was like that
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Stew, why shouldn’t we sneer at Boris and Trump. I do!
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em, cos that is what playground bullies do
“Oh look at that kid over there he smells” the bully kids point
and coerce the other kids to join in to make a lynch mob
Surely we tackle arguments not the man
Libmob seem to monster their political opponents, and use that as licence to behave like monsters to that person
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From the Knowledge:
“Russia is in the grip of an “unusually cold winter”, says Business Insider, with Siberia reaching –56C in December. The country’s crumbling, Soviet-era infrastructure can’t cope: there have been a “spate of breakdowns in central heating systems” in recent months, with burst pipes and power cuts even in comparatively wealthy regions around St Petersburg and Moscow.”
Any mention by the BBC?
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The guy had started out the thread by stepping in
Someone had said the windfarms wouldn’t get recycled
He replied with a screenshot saying 96% of wind turbine components were recycclable
I pointed out that was a cherrypick, cos the same article pointed out that in practice they weren’t
He then rooted up an article saying that a company had tech to recycle glass fibre blades into pelletts
I rooted up th point that that company is subsequently being sued by GE for failing to deliver recylce promises
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Throughout the thread the guy kept strawmanning and I resisted
so he made a final strawman “trying to make out you’re an expert at everything”
I had never waved an expert flag
and then blocked me
..proving when you hold greens to account they run away
He probably got cognitive dissonance as he realised his holy religion is not sound.
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breaking news ..when one area of the world is unusually WARM
another area of the world is unusually COLD
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“A powerful message through song’: the UK’s Climate Choir Movement is growing
Founded in Bristol in 2022, ‘the moderate flank of protest’ has 600 members in 11 choirs”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/07/a-powerful-message-through-song-the-uks-climate-choir-movement-is-growing
Oh well, each to their own.
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A surprising headline from the BBC:
“Chocolate: Cocoa price hits record high as El Niño hurts crops”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-68248145
Only one reference to climate change, and by and large it’s not blamed for the drought. Curious, but refreshing. Even then, as Jaime would opine, it’s still a simplistic narrative, with no curiosity as to how a modest El Nino event can, so early in its cycle, be causing such an increase in temperatures (and other weather-related issues). Still, never mind. One step at a time.
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“We are a cross-party All Party Parliamentary Group of MPs and Peers, focusing on issues of racial justice.
Chaired by @labourlewis, secretariat @runnymedetrust ”
.
Peter North is highlighting their September RACIST tweet where they called for ACTIVISTS of colour to give evidence
… https://twitter.com/appg_race/status/1704162532968038816
Now in Feb they have praised the contributors and got just 8 LIkes for their Twitter thread.
.. https://twitter.com/appg_race/status/1753391714302132353
·
They also had a tweet Aug 31, 2023
Join our fantastic lineup of speakers and co-chairs for an online panel event exploring the intersections of systemic racism and the climate crisis to launch our join inquiry with @greennewdealgrp’s APPG on the Green New Deal!
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The German anti-Green MEP who has to live in hiding cos of the threats
very good performance on the Neil Oliver show
(Christine Anderson)
“The EU is just doing a tactical retreat and will turn course after Jun 9th election”
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“Atmospheric river storms are getting stronger, and deadlier. The race to understand them is on”
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/feb/11/atmospheric-river-pacific-storms-climate-crisis
The race to understand them is on? But the science is settled:
Except that it isn’t:
Then there’s this stunning Guardian headline:
“The world is reducing its reliance on fossil fuels – except for in three key sectors”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/09/biggest-fossil-fuel-emissions-shipping-plane-manufacturing
So the world isn’t actually reducing its reliance on fossil fuels after all:
You can always trust the Guardian!
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There’s a green-on-green clash building in California, with a dash of minority interest. It’s wind farm development versus plans for a marine sanctuary area, pushed by a local indigenous group:
https://gcaptain.com/clean-energy-and-conservation-collide-in-california-coastal-waters/?subscriber=true&goal=0_f50174ef03-9f88fa848a-170410014&mc_cid=9f88fa848a&mc_eid=9275323244
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Mike,
I would describe that as a clash between real greens and faux greens. One of the things that is guaranteed to annoy me is when the media describe groups who want to destroy our countryside and wild places as green or environmentalists. There isn’t much green or environmentally friendly about net zero.
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Mark,
Agreed! The renewables industry is only interested in “green” in the sense of funding and subsidies.
Like the controversy over whale deaths, this sort of thing needs more publicity. There are some straws in the wind with certain projects facing resistance but they need to be pulled together into an overall story. How to get that to happen with the present media crew is a challenge.
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Mark, regarding flattening fossil fuel use: yesterday in the WSJ it was alleged that the IEA’s forecasts of decreasing consumption of oil and gas are based on them having caved to green interests who were angry about baseline forecasts showing no decline. “As a result, IEA’s influential demand forecasts now reflect wishful thinking about the timing and cost of a peak in oil and gas consumption.”
Sorry no link – I read it on the Pressreader app.
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From CourtnewsUK
13FEB2024 @ SOLAR PANEL SALESMEN WERE SWINDLERS
(It’s actualy a minor update on an old case)
A serial fraudster who helped run a sham investment company that defrauded 1,500 elderly customers out of £17m breached his licence when he was let out of jail by changing his name.
David Black, 40, was previously jailed along with five others, including brother Ludovic Black, for selling solar panels to their victims, through their Manchester company.
Father-of-two Black, also known by the surnames Hardie, Diaz and Stark, was part of a gang of fraudsters who used misleading sales techniques…
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My maths on what BBC Verify call “Methane mega-leak exposed in Kazakhstan”
Their mega is one 44,000th of world annual gas production
That Kazakh leak was “It is estimated that 127,000 tonnes of the gas escaped”
IS THAT A BIG NUMBER ?
Annual world LNG is 400 million, so the leak is less than a 3,000th of LNG alone
“global production of natural gas is forecast to increase by approximately two percent in 2023 to reach 4.1 trillion cubic meters.”
each billion is 1.36million tonnes
so 4100x 1.36= 5576 million tonnes
So the leak is one 44,000th of world annual gas production
That’s not mega
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That’s the value of BBC Verify, stewgreen. You can always rely on them to provide context.
The irony is that the BBC sees the Verify brand as an indicator of particular trustworthiness, whereas whenever I see it now, I am immediately suspicious.
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You can always rely on them to OMIT context.
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Sorry stewgreen, but it’s methane that’s being released in Kazakhstan and there’s a lot of it. You are comparing this with worldwide methane production, most of which is burnt (so not released as methane).
This occurrence reminds me of the past when global atmospheric values were much higher and some attributed their decline as due to improvement of leakages associated with Russian gas pipelines.
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The Guardian ran an article the other day pointing to allegedly huge methane emissions in Spain, South America (Brazil, iirc) and India – especially India. At this rate, Indian and Chinese GHG emissions are going to be over half of the world’s emissions, and growing. Yet it’s the UK that has to cripple itself in order to save the planet, apparently.
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Talking of context, whenever CO2, methane, etc are mentioned there is never any reference to water vapour which, as everyone here knows, is responsible for 70 – 80% of the greenhouse effect.
Equally, while much fuss is made of methane’s warming potential being 30, 50, even 80 times greater than CO2, nobody ever points out that those figures were obtained in lab tests in dry air. I have not seen any explanation of how methane can have any significant effect in the real world when its absorption spectrum is almost completely blanketed by water vapour which is typically present at 10 – 20,000 times the concentration. (If anyone is aware of an explanation, please post it up as I bang this drum quite often and would like to know of any counter-arguments.)
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Alan do you think you have a gotcha ?
The whole BBC article is about how the methane is on fire as it exits
ie the release is CO2
“a blowout started a fire that raged for over six months. “
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Have you ever seen a gas well on fire Stew? I’ve only seen small ones in Alberta, but even those released methane. The rates of methane release from the wells were faster than oxygen could be supplied and much of the gas escapes the flames. I would imagine that for a major disaster like that in Kazakhstan the loss of unburnt methane would greater still. But you are correct, I don’t actually know this to be a fact.
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Reread BBC report on Kazakhstan methane release. This comes with areal photograph or satellite images of plumes of identified methane releases from a single well. Methane itself is transparent (as is carbon dioxide) so the visible plumes must be water vapour – another product of the oxidation of methane. But methane was first, and then continuously, identified from satellites equipped with methane detectors. Comparison was also made with a leaking gas main in south Wales where methane was also detected using satellite imagery. It’s methane being released and detected, not just carbon dioxide and water vapour. But it’s difficult to determine how much methane has been released to the atmosphere as the gas compared with how much was initially released from the well, part of which burnt to form carbon dioxide and water vapour. Given how tempting it must be to “big up”any potential “climate disaster” I would wager that the BBC Verify estimate is the later.
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Talking about methane release –
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p0h9zgvq?at_mid=lHtDK20sVP&at_campaign=The_Global_Story_Taylor_Swift&at_medium=display_ad&at_campaign_type=owned&at_link_origin=promo_box&at_audience_id=TV&at_product=sounds&at_brand=w13xtvsd&at_ptr_name=bbc&at_ptr_type=media&at_format=image&at_objective=consumption&at_link_title=The_Global_Story_Taylor_Swift&at_bbc_team=BBC
“Released On: 09 Feb 2024Available for over a year
Taylor Swift is the world’s biggest pop star and an economic powerhouse. She has become so popular that allies of the likely Republican nominee Donald Trump are worried about her political influence if she publicly endorses Joe Biden. But does the singer really have the sway to decide the outcome of the US election? The BBC’s North America Business Correspondent Erin Delmore looks at the evidence.”
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ps – Is it just me or is the UK BBC TV licence Fee a joke as it we now fund IPlayer, Sounds etc?
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dfhunter,
The BBC and the Guardian seem to be obsessed with Taylor Swift. If it wasn’t for them, I wouldn’t have heard of her. She does seem to have rather a large “carbon footprint”, but that does nothing to dull their obsession with her.
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An alarmist spells out a possible downside of AI
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Not sure about that – if humans are the problem, they are also the victims. It would not make sense to save humans from rising sea levels etc etc by killing them.
Somebody will have asked an AI that question, and the reply was probably gibberish. Giant rat ‘nads or Spanglish or a prescription for more renewable energy.
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“It would not make sense”
None of alarmism makes sense. Nor any genocide, for any reason, at any time.
Like Elon Musk and his close friend David Sacks (who I’ve just quoted elsewhere), Yishan Wong is listed as one of the PayPal Mafia by Wikipedia, albeit at 22nd out of 23. I thought his appreciation of the dangers was noteworthy. I’m agnostic on whether applications of AI will turn out to be that dangerous.
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Mark H., I seem to remember that you have written in the past that you, on occasion, have access to a TV. If this is correct, may I recommend a Channel 4 series that started last night and will be continued each night until Thursday. It’s about a reenactment of a murder trial before two juries (isolated from each other) in an attempt to examine our jury system (I suspect the two juries will come to different conclusions). If you are interested and manage to watch it, would you grace us with your thoughts. I, for one, would be most interested to hear them ( as l’m sure will others here be).
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Alan,
I’m very busy with other stuff just now, but despite not having a TV licence, I can watch Channel 4 perfectly legally, so long as I restrict my viewing to catch-up on iplayer. I can’t make any promises in view of my current busy schedule, but if I get the chance, I will watch it. Can you give me the name of the programme, please, to make it easier for me to find it?
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The programme is “The Jury: Murder Trial “. In total it will be 4 hours long and is being broadcast Monday to Thursday this week. It has gathered high praise, even from a former U.K. Chief Prosecutor.
Monday’s episode covered the essential details of the crime, whether it be murder or manslaughter. Tuesday’s gave the defence case, arguing that the accused “lost control”. Tonight’s episode treats the prosecution’s arguments arguing for a murder conviction. Thursday’s episode will cover the two juries’ deliberations and verdicts.
What is fascinating are the comments and discussions of and between jury members. Even before the defence some jury members were deciding upon murder convictions. Many of these people, after hearing the nature of the murdered woman switched, arguing for a manslaughter verdict. I expect renewed murder verdicts after they have heard from the prosecution in tonight’s episode. Another most interesting facet is how jurors life experience influences their verdicts. It makes me even more in favour of the American practices of jury selection, weeding out potential jurors the prosecution and defence believe might be prejudiced.
Anyway I hope you get a chance to see it. I fully expect that you would find it of great interest.
P.S. I hadn’t given it any thought before, but I wasn’t aware the British jurors were forbidden to discuss jury matters even long after the trial. Does this mean, as the programme maintains, that this regulation applies everywhere that jury trials like those in Britain have similar regulations: in other words we know little about jury deliberations anywhere?
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Swaths of land in Alberta will be barred from hosting renewable power projects under sweeping new rules that will govern the industry:
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-alberta-to-ban-renewables-on-prime-land-declare-no-build-zones-for/
Alberta has recently elected a right wing government which is cracking down on the renewables industry despite Alberta being the leader in Canada in renewable energy development (excluding hydropower) I particularly approve of the emphasis on protecting cropland and visual impacts.
Some extracts:
“Under the changes, Alberta will ban renewable electricity projects from private property deemed to have excellent or good irrigation capability according to the province’s land classification system, and land deemed “fair” if it can host specific specialty crops.
When it comes to reclamation, developers will be responsible for eventual clean-up costs via a bond or security, paid to the government.
Buffer zones of a minimum of 35 kilometres will be introduced around protected areas, or whatever the government deems “pristine viewscapes.” New wind projects will not be permitted within those zones, and other forms of renewables may be subject to a so-called “visual impact statement” before approval.
While many municipalities have welcomed the windfall to their coffers, some have also raised concerns about friction between using land for crops versus massive solar installations or wind farms.
And there were worries that – much like what has happened with oil and gas – they would be left dealing with the remnants of wind turbines or solar panels if projects failed or companies went bankrupt.”
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Fireworks greet the historic breakthrough of HS2’s longest tunnel:
Hurrah! Another thirty seconds knocked off future London to Brum train journeys.
The tunnelling machine was named after Florence Nightingale. The reason for that?
‘She was a nurse who campaigned her whole life for funding for her charity which provided health care and hospitals for poor people before we had the NHS.’
Right. No arguing with that, then.
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Alan K at 4.10pm.
Thanks, I will watch it if time permits. I have sat on a jury only once, and I was very impressed by the seriousness with which the jury undertook its task. But I don’t think I’m allowed to say any more than that about the experience!
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Youtube fed me this about a Stockport guy Steve Hatton pushing back in a council meeting
#1 He starts with a lecture as a question
which I dislike , even from our side
#2 However the councillors reply is to call him Climate Illiterate
#smear
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Our neighbour is involved in charity and he’s always saying there is actually too much charity money sloshing around in Britain so that leads to huge waste and jobs for the girls
He just forwarded me an example
“We administer community funds (CF) on behalf of Local Authorities, large scale renewable energy developers including wind farms and solar farms, landfill operators (through the Landfill Communities Fund), and other renewable energy plants.”
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BBC radio Humberside has a very close relationship with green PR
9am news ending line
“It’s thought to be the wettest February EVER”
What in 6 billion years of Earth’s history ?
… I don’t think so
The third Radio Humberside headline was “A government minister has said the Humber region has world leading area potential to start achieving net zero industry
Climate Minister Graham Stuart made the comments whilst being shown around Phillips 66 refinery.. which is moving to greener tech*
.. produces 20%$of UK motor vehicle fuel and also batterycoke which is used in EV batteries.”
Nothing on Twitter except he visited their stand 10 months ago
..https://twitter.com/Phillips66UK/status/1661720539835117569
#1 what is battery coke ?
The only mention on Google is on the Philli[ps website
except for a paper which says the product is not used in the UK but rather sent to China
* By greener tech .. they mean the plant is trying to escape oil taxes by arranging a CCS programme
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Graham Stuart put up his own Twitter thread 8 hours later
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Alan K,
I haven’t watched that Chann6le 4 programme yet, but I spotted this in the Guardian and thought you might be interested in what Simon Jenkins has to say:
“Like a pub argument on Love Island – The Jury TV series shows all that’s wrong with Britain’s judicial system”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/mar/01/pub-argument-love-island-the-jury-britain
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Many thanks Mark. I had not seen this review. It sums up much of what I concluded about the British jury system from viewing this series of programs. The programs clearly illustrate many of the major failings of our judicial system. The article ends with a hope that the failings exposed by the programs might, like those dealing with the postmasters’ scandal, bring about outrage and possible changes. I don’t think it will.
The program ends with the result of the real-life trial. Interestingly I would have strongly disagreed with it. I believe the judge had the same view given the high tariff imposed.
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Stewgreen; “battery coke” is better known as petcoke. That refinery exports its petcoke to China where it is processed into synthetic graphite for EV battery anodes. It is one more material controlled by China which is crucial to modern technology.
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An interesting essay by Matt Feeney on UnHerd:
https://unherd.com/2024/03/big-tech-has-stolen-our-children/
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FooC : Peter Oborne is coming up
Will he say something nutty ?
“Al Shabaab withdrew from the Somalian capital Mogadishu
… there is an even greater menace in the country: climate change ..”
Peter Oborne “the short term reason for the drought then flood is EL NINO, but the real long term reason is Climate Change”
that seems like contradiction and heavy spin
His line ” there is an even greater menace in the country: climate change ..”
is contrived
.. he asked one bloke, he disagreed
he asked one more and he agreed , but that was the takeaway end line of the item.
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prog has another more sceptical green item
Peter Yeung in Ecuador
“a fleet of solar-powered boats run by Indigenous communities to provide a sustainable model of transport for the future. This has been met with a mixed response by some indigenous leaders.”
Cheeky man his item was him reading his old NPR article from December 2nd almost word for word.
which starts with immense hype,
In Ecuador’s Amazon rainforest, solar-powered boats are a boon for the trees
but tucked away near the bottom
“Kara Solar is also working against the currents of convenience. The solar boats are considerably slower than gasoline-powered boats, meaning that many still prefer the latter for important or urgent matters. And given the new technology, breakdowns and technological hiccups are still an issue.”
He also mentions the second problem. Tat the tribes want to develop , so are OK with some roads and Chinese investment.
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At the risk of slowing down the loading of this page:
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context : Founding Trustee Niall Ferguson on why the time to found the University of Austin is now.
“Individual freedom is the sine qua non for the pursuit of truth.
This is why we won’t fail.
This is why we must succeed.
A hundred intrepid young people will be in the founding class.
We are in the midst of hiring the world-class faculty to teach them, and to teach them to the highest possible pedagogical standard.”
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I see that Geoff C has liked one of my posts from 6 years ago.
Why’d he open that old page ?
Ah see suddenly after all these years a new comment was made.
Alex Westberg
Feb 10, 2020
Conservative elected officials politicized this as a hoax. The scientific community says otherwise. I’m not sure how this is still debatable
That sounds like a bot programmed to visit skeptic sites
not like a real human
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A good piece at WUWT by Jim Steel about prehistoric CO2 levels, end Permian extinction, etc.
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Probably covered on another post – Net zero costs to hit poorest households hardest, warns Ofgem (msn.com)
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So much for the “just transition”.
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Jit: Thanks for posting the Niall Ferguson talk at the Univ of Austin inaugural thingie. Interesting that nowadays he does mention climate extremism, wanting to set aside democracy and other safeguards, as part of how the academy has gone horribly wrong. But he does immediately say that such ‘woke’ ideology is what the new axis of evil, including China, believe. And that is bunk. The Chinese are using climate extremism for their own advantage and don’t believe a word of it.
But a very stirring talk, thanks.
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Was going to comment on Bananas, but NALOPKT beat me to it.
Yes, We Have No Bananas! We Have No Bananas Today! | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)
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Jit, interesting article you recommended about CO2 variation in the geologic past and extinctions. However it contains a major error. It indicates a massive reduction of forests during the Permian and so an absence of coals. This shows the authors are focussed on the northern hemisphere because they seem to be unaware of the Karoo coals of Australia and Southern Africa which are extensive and definitely Permian and must indicate high atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide. This is also indicated by the abundance of marine calcareous algae in the Permian, that form reefs in the U.K. and the U.S.A.
This error throws into question much of the unsupported conclusions in the article about CO2 levels in the distant past.
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Alan/Jit: What great use of Open Mic and the Socratic method, thank you.
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It would be better if Jim Steel referenced his figures – it would be interesting to know whether the figure representing coal deposition is global in scale (it shows a very low level of coal production in the Permian).
It seems natural to suppose that CO2 was stripped out of the atmosphere to a large extent in the Carboniferous. However, there are those who insist that the rainforest collapse was due, not to starvation of the plants, but to climate change.
My own understanding of ecology and the importance of fungi, leads me to think that the digestion of wood before it is buried results in a low level of coal formation in such situations nowadays.
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Jit, what do think prevented the wood digesting fungi from removing wood from Pennsylvanian and Permian coal swamps (and to a lesser extent the Cretaceous)? The absence/rarity of Triassic and Jurassic coals suggests they may have operated at those times – as they do now. This in turn indicates wood consuming fungi must have evolved before the Cretaceous and should have been operating by then. There are also plentiful Tertiary lignites world-wide, also indicating the ineffectiveness of those fungi at certain times and/or places.
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Well, I guess it’s like fossils. Most animals do not become fossilized, but there are always some that do, based on circumstances. If you can get large bits of tree into anoxic conditions fast enough, fungal decay is completely halted.
An interesting question for me is what killed trees in the absence of fungi? There are the natural hazards of waterlogging, strong winds, fires, but I wonder whether there were any biological mechanisms? There are of course wood-boring insects, but these days it is usually the access they give to fungi that causes the trouble.
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As of 9:00 total electricity demand is 29.3 GW with 9.5 GW of that being supplied by the interconnectors – that’s the highest I have ever seen. Must be windy on the continent!
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MikeH,
We seem to be increasingly dependent on the interconnectors. As David Turver has demonstrated, we sell electricity to Europe cheap and buy it from them expensively. So much for cheap energy. So much for energy security. 😕
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Mark; I have absolutely no idea how the commercial side of the grid works. I assume the driver for high levels of imports is low prices on the continent. Presumably that drives down our own CCGT output, further undermining the economics of those plants. Their utilisation rates – as opposed to availability – must be woeful.
Also, what impact, if any, does such a high level of imports have on grid stability? Aiui, the interconnectors are DC so cannot help with balancing.
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The last week I have tried finding something I wrote on Bishop Hill discussions. Ploughing through multiple pages* I found innumerable instances where I was a lone voice (especially defending UEA or the BBC) where it became most acrimonious. Insults and names were sometimes viciously spewed (by me as well).
Then I turned to Cliscep: what a contrast! Heated and strong opinions vented perhaps on occasion but absolutely no comparison with what occurred in that other place. I’m so glad I shifted.
* is there an easy way of navigating around, other than starting at either the beginning or end and ploughing towards the centre, two pages at a time.
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Alan, it depends if you know what you’re looking for. You can search for words or phrases thusly. Type into the [Google or whatever] search box:
site:bishophill.squarespace.com supertroll
And you should find all mentions of “supertroll” at Bishop Hill. [Having just tried that out, and read one of the threads, perhaps I should have chosen something else! I know what you mean about the vitriol]
Typing in my own name I only see 2 links. Did I really only comment twice at BH, in 2013? Seems unlikely. But the method I show is a start.
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Does anyone want to write flash fiction for a competition that’s being run by XR’s Writers Rebel offshoot?
https://writersrebel.com/flash-fiction-competition/
You have only 500 words. Your themes are Earth, Air, Fire, Water and Power and it would be good if you could also explore ‘the ongoing impacts of colonialism, wealth extraction and oppression.’ Deadline: 1st April. (No, really.)
Here’s a possible first half:
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Jacob Graham the Green Party terrorist
: Some leftists often claim there are no leftwing terrorists
Reporting restrictions have been lifted after the trial of the Liverpool guy self describing as “A left-wing anarchist”
https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-graham-left-wing-anarchist-jailed-for-13-years-over-terror-offences-after-declaring-he-wanted-to-kill-at-least-50-people-13097584
IMHO the guy is a mental case who wouldn’t have got to kill he plotted to, even though he had filmed his bomb making experiments
But key thing is there are more of them out there unless they are all undercover police.
… “On another platform called Telegram, he exchanged messages with others who shared his hatred of government in groups called Earth Militia, Total Earth Liberation and Neo Luddite Action
Graham was the administrator for a number of chatrooms on the encrypted Telegram app, including one called Total Earth Liberation Group, with 150 members, into which he shared his bomb-making manual.
Graham told police he was “left-wing” but “more like an anarchist”, adding: “I don’t like the idea of a central control and I don’t really like the monarchy.”
His ideal government would be the size of “Merseyside or Liverpool”,
he said, adding he supported the Green Party and was an “environmentalist” who did not like the way “corporations act and how they damage the Earth”.
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Jit searching BH Unthreaded is a bit difficult cos the page name doesn’t stay fixed, cos yesterday’s page 1 , becomes page 2 today etc
So when Google tells you something was on page 2311 you have to guess that 50 pages have passed since Google crawled the page
so look at page 2361
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I am looking at Cambridge Science Festival
(Free and 3 weeks and this weekend is mainly for kids)
A bit of Climate brainwashing
Over the festival 50 events are marked as Environment for children. That’s a lot
A further 28 in that category are targeted at adults
I checked this weekend
Climate Research Happenings is marked as EVENT CANCELLED
why’s that ?
9:00am daily from Wednesday 13 March until Thursday 28 March Online
Different short videos and documentaries will be running in a continuous loop at location.
Kids activity
11:00am-1:00pm 2:00pm-4:00pm on Saturday 23 March
Join us for a fun and educational day of discovery about how to protect the Earth from global warming.
You will have the chance to try out some exciting experiments with researchers from the Centre for Climate Repair,
Sustain/Education presents: The Sustainability Quest
10:00am-4:00pm on Saturday 23 March
11:00am-4:00pm on Sunday 24 March
2:00pm-4:00pm on Sunday 24 March
Climate Café with Abbey People
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Oh I missed last week’s
– Islamic approaches to the natural world and the natural sciences
at the Cambridge Central Mosque, which is the first eco-Mosque in Europe and hosts a permanent exhibition on ‘Islam & Science’.
2 academics from the Centre of Islamic Studies introduce members of the public to how Muslims have traditionally approached the natural world and the natural sciences.
also
– How can we prepare students for a different future? Getting climate and sustainability education into the classroom
6:00pm-7:30pm on Thursday 21 March (on Youtube too)
Mike Hulme and supervisee Madeleine Ary Hahne
published book – Climate Change Isn’t Everything: Liberating Climate Politics from Alarmism – and Madeleine’s new climate action platform, Rootd Earth https://www.rootd.earth/
– How to become a young climate leader with ActNowFilm
5:30pm-7:00pm on Friday 22 March
=======================
Coming up
– Creating a liveable future: positive action to avert climate catastrophe
8:00pm-9:00pm on Thursday 28 March
Enviro items list
https://www.festival.cam.ac.uk/events/theme/environment?page=6
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The legendary Feargal Sharkey was on The World at One, calling out the abysmal efforts of the water industry / Environment Agency / Ofwat to curtail sewage spills into rivers. He was incandescent about the EA spokesperson’s shruggist attitude. Following on from Feargal we had someone on from the industry who tried to play the climate card.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001xmc6
[First item after headlines. Feargal from 9.30]
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