I have adopted the title to this article quite deliberately, and in doing so I must give full credit to John Steinbeck’s marvellous book (as well as acknowledging that under US law, copyright in the work may still subsist). It’s worth reminding ourselves of aspects of the book’s plot, and in doing so I save myself much effort by reproducing sections of the relevant Wikipedia pagei:

Set during the Great Depression, the novel focuses on the Joads, a poor family of tenant farmers driven from their Oklahoma home by drought, economic hardship, agricultural industry changes, and bank foreclosures forcing tenant farmers out of work. Due to their nearly hopeless situation, and in part because they are trapped in the Dust Bowl, the Joads set out for California along with thousands of other “Okies” seeking jobs, land, dignity, and a future.

I suspect that today the climate-concerned would be labelling them climate refugees. Later in the book, they make it to California, which for them does not turn in to a land of milk of honey:

With the winter rains, the Joads’ dwelling is flooded and the car disabled, and they move to higher ground.

Those floods would probably be the fault of climate change too, if they happened 80-90 years later. Of course, all this dramatic weather happened shortly after the Great Mississippi Flood of 1927 which, as Wikipedia tells usii:

was the most destructive river flood in the history of the United States, with 27,000 square miles (70,000 km2) inundated in depths of up to 30 feet (9m) over the course of several months in early 1927. The uninflated cost of the damage has been estimated to be between 246 million and 1 billion dollars.

Over 630,000 people were directly affected, most (94%) in Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana, especially in the Mississippi Delta. More than 200,000 African Americans were displaced from their homes along the Lower Mississippi River and had to live for lengthy periods in relief camps.

If it happened now, no doubt the media would call it climate chaos or climate weirding or something, and it would all be our fault. But I digress. I don’t want to talk about climate chaos in the USA in the 1920s and 1930s. Instead I want to talk about wine production in 2021.

Record Wine Production in the Southern Hemisphere Thanks to Perfect Weather

Funny, you might think, I don’t remember seeing any headlines along those lines. Well, you wouldn’t (not at the BBC or the Guardian, anyway), because they don’t fit the scary climate chaos narrative that has been building all year in the run-up to COP 26. In fact, it’s worse than that, as it isn’t just the Guardian and the BBC who are reluctant to acknowledge the massive success of wine growers in the southern hemisphere this year. A lengthy internet search using various search terms yielded only gloomy headlines about global wine production being down this year (which it is, due to the northern hemisphere having suffered poor grape-growing weather).

Well, what’s the story down south? It’s rather good in fact, as the new.in-24 website tells usiii:

As for the southern hemisphere, it can have a smile. 2021 was “very positive” for its vineyards, after a bad year 2020. Wine production should reach a record level of 59 million hectoliters (+ 19%).

In South America, Chile produced 13.4 million hectoliters (+ 30% over one year), the highest for 20 years. Argentina follows, with 12.5 million hectoliters (+ 16%). Brazil posted a 60% jump to 3.6 million hectoliters.

On the Oceania side, Australia saw its harvest increase by 30% to 14.2 million hectoliters, the highest since 2006.

Presumably that’s a benefit (even if only for 2021) of climate change – or perhaps not; it’s just been a good weather year for wine-makers in the southern hemisphere. At least, I’ve not seen anyone claiming “Very positive year for wine-makers in Chile, Argentina, Brazil and Australia thanks to climate change.

Warning over ‘extremely low’ wine production in Europe due to bad weather

Industry body head warns there is ‘no vaccine’ against climate change and winemakers must adapt with ‘urgent necessity’

Ah, that’s more like it – a Guardian headlineiv to reflect the prevailing narrative. And sure enough, the Guardian article commences as one might expect:

World wine production is expected to fall to one of its lowest levels on record after harsh weather battered vineyards in Europe’s major wine-producing regions.

The conditions “severely impacted” production in Italy, Spain and France, resulting in “extremely low” production volumes, an international wine body has said.

The Guardian does acknowledge what a great year for wine the southern hemisphere has had, but remains markedly tight-lipped about whether climate change has anything to do with it:

A drop in production in Italy, Spain and France, the world’s largest wine producers, would outweigh what is forecast to be the highest-ever volume in the southern hemisphere, the OIV [Organisation of Vine and Wine] said…

In the southern hemisphere, favourable weather should allow high output in major producing countries, except for New Zealand, the OIV said. Total output for the southern hemisphere was projected at a record 59 mhl, up 19% from last year.

When it’s good news, it’s favourable weather – not a hint of climate change in sight. When it’s bad news, well that’s a different story entirely:

If wine growers adapted relatively well to the Covid-19 crisis last year, they were now “confronting a much greater problem than the pandemic: climate change,” Roca said.

He said adverse weather events were occurring more and more frequently.

While “there is no vaccine” against climate change, he said “there are long-term solutions which will require major efforts in terms of sustainable practices for cultivating vines and producing wine”. He said adaptation was an “urgent necessity” for the industry.

The only problem with blaming “adverse weather” on climate change, is that by adverse weather in this case, they mean things like cold, frost and rain – and that wasn’t in the script. Climate Change Post’s websitev, last updated on 7th November 2021, talks about things like more heat waves, higher mean temperatures and more droughts and less rainfall, thanks to climate change. Of course, a one-off event that contradicts the models doesn’t mean the models are wrong, but when it’s an event that is the opposite of the predictions, I don’t see how it can be prayed in aid of the climate change script. According to Climate Change Post, “there is a spatially consistent warming trend in summer over France and a clear trend to fewer cool nights and more hot days.” Also, “Research results, based on projections for seven climate models, point at +0.4 to -14% change in annual precipitation in 2050 (A1B emissions scenario) and +4 to -24% change in annual precipitation in 2080 (A2 and A1B emissions scenarios), compared to the present day (1971-2000).”

The claim that climate change is responsible for European wines’ ills in 2021 is arguably worse than simply blaming bad weather that wasn’t predicted by climate models on climate change, in my opinion.

Best loved wines at risk from climate change

That was the heading to an article on the BBC websitevi from 20th October 2010, more than 11 years ago. The thrust of the article was about how wine-making would suffer, not only in Europe, but around the world, from rising temperatures – not from cold and bad weather. Somewhat ironically, given the wonderful season enjoyed in Chile and Argentina this year, we were warned that “Argentina and Chile are moving wine production higher into the cool Andes – as climate change threatens the world’s wines.”

The article actually acknowledged that some wines might benefit from warmer temperatures, but that couldn’t be allowed to pass without adverse comment:

But while Rioja is thriving, Mr Campo warns that this will be a “very short golden age” if climate change is not combated.

“Temperatures will continue to rise, and the question is how far they are going to go and how long is this period of benefit going to last. That’s my biggest concern,” he says.

So it’s more than a little ironic that Spain’s wine production this year has, like France’s, been harmed by cold temperatures, not by heat. The comments eleven years ago about German wine-making are also, in the circumstances, a little ironic:

In Germany, winemakers are also starting to question the long-term effects of higher temperatures.

“It’s now easy to get decent ripeness, but it definitely doesn’t bring the quality to the wine,” says Florian Busch, a Riesling grower in the Mosel Valley.

“Since 2004 we’ve had the black rot fungus, which used to live just in more southerly regions.

“Something is happening. Something is coming from the south,” he says.

Fellow Mosel winemaker, Ernst Loosen, also fears that changing weather patterns will cause long term damage.

And yet in 2021, we learn from the new.in-24 website cited above, that, despite the summer’s floods, “Germany, the fourth European producer [i.e. behind France, Spain and Italy], fared well, with production up 4% to 8.8 million hectoliters”.

By the way, we’ve now come full circle – that BBC article from 2010 was titled “Costing the Earth, Grapes of Wrath” (I don’t think Steinbeck got any credit). Unfortunately for them, things haven’t worked out as they expected.

One last point, despite all the tales we have had of “unprecedented” wild fires in the USA in 2021, and of the havoc being wrought there by climate change, we also learn from new.in-24 that “In the United States, production is estimated at 24.1 million hectoliters, up 6% from 2020, a year marked by fires.”Weren’t we told that 2021 was also a year marked by fires in the United States?

Conclusion

Wine-making has always been a business that can see success or failure, depending on the weather, and also on other factors, such as the phylloxera blight that caused such devastation to French wines in the 19th century. It may well be that long-term climatic trends are in evidence and that they may have an impact on wine-making in various regions. In some regions, warmer weather may be helpful, in others it may be unhelpful. Growers may need to contemplate different grape varieties. Climate change may need to be studied and taken into account if wine-making is to continue to thrive in a number of traditional vine-growing regions. All of that I accept.

What I struggle to accept is the almost complete failure on the part of the mainstream media to say much if anything at all about the successful season just enjoyed by wine-makers in the southern hemisphere, thanks to beneficial weather. Their willingness to blame climate change for the problems encountered this year by wine-makers in France, Spain and Italy, due to cold weather of the sort that climate models didn’t predict is equally annoying. We now live in an era where if anything bad happens and it’s weather-related, then it’s evidence of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (or climate chaos or whatever), but if something good happens, thanks to some good weather, that’s just weather, it’s quietly ignored, and it certainly doesn’t – and mustn’t be allowed to – undermine the catastrophic message.

Anyway, never mind all that – where’s the corkscrew? Cheers!

Endnotes

i https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Grapes_of_Wrath

ii https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Mississippi_Flood_of_1927

iii https://new.in-24.com/business/293784.html

iv https://www.theguardian.com/food/2021/nov/05/warning-over-extremely-low-wine-production-in-europe-due-to-bad-weather

v https://www.climatechangepost.com/france/climate-change/

vi https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-11573553

40 Comments

  1. It is amazing. There were never bad wine years or crop failures before St. Hansen prophesied Climate Doom and his Apostle, the beatified Al Gore, proclaimed the prophecy as Holy Writ.

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  2. As a young lad, who had barely tasted grape juice let alone the fermented varieties, I was told that superior wines always came from vines grown in barely climatically suitable locations (hence the superiority of German wines). Thus those vineyards suffered more often from “bad years” but the smaller volumes were commonly prized more. Thus, if areas of European viniculture have suffered from climate disruption involving increased temperatures, then it might be supposed that volumes of wine produced should increase, but quality should decrease.

    I have also head that in bad (=good) years when there is overproduction, the unwanted surplus would be thrown away in order to maintain prices.

    Mark. What has happened to British wine production?

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  3. Alan, I think “British” wine production is mostly English and Welsh, for climatic reasons (though I note that there are Scottish wines too). The English & Welsh wines seem to have suffered from less helpful weather, just as in France. The irony is, of course, that warmer, drier seasons (what we are warned is part of climate chaos) would benefit them, but this year in the south of England & Wales, alas, it was not to be (unlike in the north of England and Scotland, which enjoyed a pretty good summer).

    “2021 English harvest proves challenging for growers”

    thedrinksbusiness.com/2021/11/english-wine-harvest/

    “Grape pickers across England and Wales have now hung up their coats. To the relief of many, the 2021 harvest in England and Wales is complete. After a string of warm years, the wetter and cooler 2021 vintage has proved challenging. Reports indicate difficult ripening conditions, reduced yields, and a shortage of workers.

    The summer of 2021 was cooler, wetter, and less sunny than the previous years on average. Other than some peaks in May, July and September, temperatures hovered several degrees below the previous three-year average (2018-20).

    “It was a really challenging summer. We had frost in Spring and rain at flowering. Then it was overcast and there was quite a serious lack of sun hours, even though it was warm”, said Simon Roberts, Head winemaker at Ridgeview Wine Estate in Sussex.

    At Ridgeview’s estate vineyards, harvest started on October 17th, three weeks later than in 2020. This followed a slow start to the season. Budburst was just five days later than last year, but flowering didn’t begin until July 6th, over three behind 2020. Veraison, which started on September 7th, was two weeks behind.

    Despite this, he says that the juice still shows high quality: “It has been a really long growing season. There is still complexity, but the juice is more linear – less tropical and more citrus.”

    Rainfall during summer was up significantly on previous years, contributing to disease pressure in the vineyards. A late harvest also paved the way for bird damage and further disease.

    Ian Kellett, owner of Hambledon Vineyard, didn’t mince his words: “It was the worst year for Downey Mildew I have seen since I started in viticulture.”

    This meant that keeping on top of spray schedules and summer pruning was critical for grape health.

    Over in Somerset, a change in vineyard management saved Aldwick Estate from the worst of the problems. It began to change its pruning system last year, arching the canes (using the pendelbogan method) and lowering the fruiting cane. The canopy became more even and received more sunlight – good for growing clean and ripe grapes.

    Managing Director Sandy Luck suggests that this was largely responsible for the estate’s “huge crop” this year, which included record yields of Bacchus, and sugar and acidity levels close to 2020.

    This appears to have been a rare exception. “Yields were awful”, said Kellett – a common sentiment among growers.”

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  4. This is all very well (actually it seems it wasn’t) but what we sceptical bastards are so desperate to find out is whether the poor grape growing season in England is being blamed upon climate chaos. Then we can drown our sorrows with bottles of antipodean booze and regret the ‘food’-miles.

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  5. Alan, that report I cited was dated 5th November 2021, so there’s lots of time yet for a lengthy Guardian article catching up with the poor grape harvest in England & Wales this year, and blaming it on climate chaos. If and when they do run such an article, my money would be on them ignoring the good harvests in 2018, 2019 and 2020 (which, if they do mention them, will be down to weather, not climate).

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  6. They’re still at it:

    “Frosts, heatwaves and wildfires: the climate crisis is hitting the wine industry hard”

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/09/climate-crisis-wine-industry

    “Grapes for wine making are grown across the world including countries in Europe, South America and Africa. But as the climate crisis intensifies – bringing increasingly severe wildfires, warmer summers, milder winters as well as unpredictable frosts and rainfall – it is changing wine production.

    Grapes are among the most sensitive crops to climate changes. For some producers, warming temperatures have been advantageous, at least in the short term. Changing rain patterns, earlier springs and droughts are starting to push wine production towards the poles. There are vineyards as far north as Norway’s Flatdal region. And vineyards in countries such as England have been thriving as Europe experiences warming temperatures.

    However, for many wine growers the climate crisis is making life much harder. If temperatures rise too quickly, grapes will ripen faster than usual affecting the flavor of the wine. If temperatures plunge, it can devastate vineyards – destroying buds, reducing yield and even killing the vines. Premium grapes for high end wine, in particular, flourish in a very narrow range of weather conditions.”

    At least the story wasn’t completely negative, which makes a refreshing change, though the main thrust is of course “climate change =catastrophe”.

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  7. “The California storms were great for wine”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-64338378

    …But the rain also provided a desperately needed gift to California’s famed wineries, which have endured three years of drought, extreme wildfires, and the spiralling doom loop of climate change. The rains have replenished the groundwater and refilled reservoirs, giving winemakers hope for a productive growing season.

    That is not just good news for wine growers and aficionados: the industry generates tens of billions of dollars for California’s economy, and is one of the state’s best-known exports.

    Water has a direct impact on how much a vineyard can produce in any given year. Tablas Creek Vineyard, in the coastal foothills of Paso Robles, had been producing about a third of its typical yield since 2017 due to severe drought. “That was the last plentiful vintage we had,” Mr Haas said.

    But this year might be different….

    By the way, is the BBC in competition with the Guardian for climate hyperbole? “The spiralling doom loop of climate change”!

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  8. Despite recent problems with wine in places like Spain being because of unusual cold weather, the Guardian is still running with the climate change narrative with regard to wine:

    “Climate-resistant grapes? Spanish winemakers revive ancient varieties
    Forgotten grape varieties offer adaptation hope for an industry particularly sensitive to change”

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/28/canary-coalmine-spanish-winemakers-climate-threat-grape-varieties

    Here’s a thought. If we need ancient varieties of grape to cope with a warmer world, might not that suggest that they thrived in the past….when it was warmer?

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  9. Perhaps I’m remembering it wrongly but I always used to think that the best years for a given wine were those where the vines were particularly stressed commonly by water shortage at critical stages in their annual growth. This commonly meant that in those years there was a shortage of that particular wine, even though it might be of exceptional quality. One might therefore think, given all the problems climate change has seemingly caused that, much vintage wine is being laid down — far distant from this weeks news stories.

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  10. Ah yes, but those were the days when wine was a superior product for superior people, not shipped in sea-going tankers for the hoi polloi.

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  11. Remember that 2021 saw bumper wine harvests in Australasia (see references in the article on which I’m adding this as a comment). 2022 wasn’t bad either:

    “Production down but inventories rise in 2022”

    https://www.wineaustralia.com/news/market-bulletin/issue-276

    Based on responses to the Production, Sales and Inventory Survey total Australian wine production in 2021–22 is estimated to be just over 1.3 billion litres, or 145 million 9-litre case equivalents. This was a 12 per cent reduction – the equivalent of approximately 190 million litres (21 million cases) – compared with the record wine production in 2021, but was 4 per cent above the 10-year average of 1.25 billion litres.

    Red wine production is reported to have decreased to an estimated 713 million litres – 16 per cent below last year but 6 per cent above the 10-year average. White wine production was estimated to be 594 million litres, 6 per cent lower than in 2021 but still 2 per cent above the 10-year average…

    …A near-average global harvest in 2022 is a small positive for Australian wineries; however, the record New Zealand harvest in 2022 is likely to reduce demand for Australian Sauvignon Blanc on global markets…

    But it doesn’t stop the BBC:

    “Climate change: How it’s endangering Australian wine”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-62489056

    I struggled to keep a straight face when I read this:

    …And it will only get worse.

    In the next 20 years, the Riverland will be about 1.3 degrees hotter and rainfall will drop, according to modelling by Australian researchers….

    No qualifications, no hesitation, it will get worse. Why? Because models say so.

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  12. “English wine producers predict bumper harvests after July rainfall
    Growers say temperatures have been just right and expect their highest and best yields of grapes to date”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/aug/11/english-wine-producers-predict-bumper-harvests-after-july-rainfall

    While the rainfall in July may have been unwelcome to some it came at the right time for wine producers in England, who are predicting bumper harvests after perfect weather this year.

    Growers are expecting the highest and best yields to date, boosting the burgeoning wine industry in the UK. There are now 943 vineyards across Great Britain, according to a new report from the trade group WineGB. The industry produced 12.2m bottles in 2022, a large rise on the 5.3m bottles in 2017.

    Additionally, exports are up from 4% to 7% and it is predicted production will reach 25m bottles by 2032, with 7,600 hectares (18,800 acres) of vines planted. At present there are 4,000 hectares (9,900 acres).

    Augusta Raimes, a partner at Raimes English Sparkling, near Alresford, in Hampshire, said temperatures were just right, bringing back memories of 2018, which was a “phenomenal year” for growers. She said: “We have very nice, clean fruit and big bunches. It’s very exciting.”

    Raimes put the success down to a good spring, when the frost came at the right time, and sun in June. Then, just as it got dry, “the rain did come”, she said. To finish off, she is hoping for a sunny August and September before harvest in October….

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  13. “Bordeaux bloodbath! France pays winemakers to dig up vines
    Red wine consumption in France has declined substantially in recent decades, in favor of beer and other beverages.”

    https://www.politico.eu/article/bordeaux-wine-france-climate-change-uproot-vineyards/

    This article inserts the obligatory reference to climate change:

    Even the nectar of the gods is susceptible to climate change and the craze for craft beer.

    Winemakers in the prestigious Bordeaux region are set to uproot thousands of hectares of vineyards as altered consumer habits and global warming hit one of the crown jewels of the French agricultural industry.

    However, the reality is that Bordeaux makers produce more of it than they can sell: The story has absolutely nothing whatsoever to do with climate change, as is apparent when reading on:

    Red wine consumption has dropped significantly in the last decades as French drinkers are turning to other, more refreshing beverages such as beer. While high-end Bordeaux bottles such as grand cru still easily find buyers, demand for entry-level mass red wines has been dropping.

    This has brought prices down to a point that, for many winemakers, tearing up their vineyards and getting compensation is a better option than continuing to produce wine….

    …For Stéphane Gabard, who owns 40 hectares in Bordeaux and mostly produces reds, reducing production is the only way to adapt to a relentless decrease in sales.

    “We have problems selling all we produce, and prefer to reduce the volume of production, to bring it in line with what we are able to sell,” he said, adding that he is planning to uproot some 10 hectares.

    Last year, his sales were around 30 percent lower compared with before the coronavirus pandemic in 2019, Gabard said.

    Overproduction — which he prefers to call “underconsumption” — results in winemakers having to give their wine away at extremely low prices.

    Gabard, who also chairs the union of Bordeaux and Bordeaux supérieur winemakers, described how top-shelf Bordeaux could sometimes be found on sale for €2 a bottle at supermarkets. “It is very complicated to work alongside bottles that are sold at such low prices.”

    He called such rock-bottom prices “a loss of value and a loss of image for all the winegrowers who try to promote the Bordeaux brand.”

    In the second half of 2022, the price of reds from Bordeaux dropped 21 percent against the average price over the previous five years, data from the agriculture ministry show. At the same time, the average price of Bordeaux whites increased slightly.

    When it comes to exports, the situation is not much rosier. China, which is still Bordeaux’s top export destination, stopped all imports during the coronavirus pandemic. Although exports to the Asian country have restarted since, they have yet to reach pre-pandemic levels….

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  14. Mark – thanks for that comment & link.

    I notice sales to China feature as much as “climate change”

    “For Renaud Jean, another Bordeaux winemaker, those rules are too strict. “We should have liberalized our practices a little bit” to experiment and create wines that come closer to the consumer’s changing tastes, said the winemaker, who will uproot 15 hectares out of 35 this year.
    More than a half of his bottles are shipped to China”

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  15. “An Arizona malbec? How the arid state became America’s newest wine country”

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/22/arizona-wine-industry-drought-climate-crisis

    …But amid the clink of wine glasses, questions loom about whether Arizona is the right place to encourage the next Napa Valley. The US south-west is mired in a decades-long drought, the Colorado River basin is in crisis, and cities like Phoenix – which faced a record-breaking heatwave this summer – are limiting new construction over water concerns. Is there space for a luxury crop that typically relies on irrigation and, by some estimates, takes 29 gallons of water to produce one glass?

    Winemakers argue that the Verde Valley – with its rich limestone soil, high altitudes, large aquifer and temperature shifts – is actually an ideal place to grow European-style wines. They also say that wine is a more water-efficient crop than others being grown here, such as alfalfa and corn.

    Wine has been cultivated in arid regions since the start of civilization and needs very little water to grow. A variety of grape known as canyon grapes is native to parts of the south-west, including Arizona, Texas, Utah and Mexico, proving that the land is ripe with possibility. Grape growers in Arizona are finding ways to make it an even more efficient water crop, from developing more sustainable vineyard practices to tapping into their own water supply and growing more drought-resistant grape varietals.

    While running out of water is “a very real, stark concern”, wine could be an example of a low-water use crop that fits the dry Arizona climate, said Michael Pierce, viticulture and enology director at Yavapai Community College, home to the state’s only wine program.

    “I would argue it’s probably the best crop you could grow [in Arizona],” said Pierce. The land here is rocky, which grapes love, he said. “Wine grapes love those really coarse soils. They don’t like to have wet feet. Meaning you don’t want soggy, clay rich soils that really hold water. So that’s why they do well in arid places [like Arizona].”…

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  16. As for climate affecting weather, the BBC has now caught up with the story about French wine growers being paid to stop growing wine, because of falling demand:

    “France to spend €200m destroying wine as demand falls”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66623636

    The interesting snippet is this:

    …wine production across the bloc – the world’s biggest wine-making area – rose 4%.

    So it hasn’t declined at all, and if climate change has had any impact, it certainly isn’t negative.

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  17. “English winemakers expecting record crop after ‘exceptional’ conditions
    Trade body for England and Wales says 2023 shaping up to be high-quality, high-volume vintage as industry expands”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/oct/19/english-winemakers-expecting-record-crop-after-exceptional-conditions

    Many English winemakers say they are expecting to harvest their biggest ever crop over the next few weeks as a combination of favourable weather conditions and expansion boosts production.

    Gusbourne, the Kent-based producer and one of the first major wineries to complete its harvest, said it had gathered its largest ever crop, up 25% on last year.

    The company, controlled by former Conservative party chair Lord Michael Ashcroft, said the warm growing season last year meant vines emerged from winter in a healthy condition and then enjoyed favourable weather during the flowering period between April and June this year, producing “an abundance of fruit”….

    …Ned Awty, the interim chief executive of the trade body WineGB, the national association for the wine industry in England and Wales, said: “This year is shaping up to be a high volume and high-quality harvest. We’ve had reports about impressive bunch size and weight and ripe fruit from all across the country.”

    Andrew Carter, the chief executive of Chapel Down, which is two-thirds of the way through its harvest, said he was expecting its output to be “materially larger” than last year’s, and the brand’s previous record, set in 2018….

    …“The weather this year has been truly exceptional,” he said. Carter said the wet July and August had helped vines stay healthy and had not led to problems with disease because the weather had remained cool, and then the warm, sunny September had helped to ripen grapes. “The balance of sugars and concentration of flavours in the grapes is a joy to behold,” he said….

    …There are now 943 vineyards across Great Britain, according to WineGB. The industry produced 12.2m bottles in 2022, a big step up on the 5.3m bottles in 2017 as investors have piled into the growing market.

    Production is expected to reach 25m bottles by 2032, with 7,600 hectares (18,800 acres) of vines planted – almost double the 4,000 hectares (9,900 acres) under production at present.

    Perhaps Roger Hallam should give up on carrots and move in to wine, then climate change needn’t worry him so much.

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  18. “Gloucestershire vineyard harvests its first Chardonnay grape”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-gloucestershire-67159776

    Given that the Guardian (of all newspapers) included the piece I linked to and quoted from in my last comment on this thread, and given that it celebrated English winemakers’ “biggest ever crop [this year due to, inter alia] favourable weather conditions”, one might have thought that English wine-making was a good news story to be celebrated, especially by the national broadcaster. Fat chance! This is the BBC’s miserable take on it all:

    A vineyard has harvested its first Chardonnay grape after planting the vines due to warmer temperatures.

    The first grapes in Three Choirs Vineyard in Newent, Gloucestershire were planted 50 years ago, and since then climate change has influenced many decisions.

    They previously grew over 20 varieties which has now been refined to about 12.

    Directors at the vineyard said they would continue to adapt their wines along with warmer climates.

    “This has certainly been a rollercoaster year – a wet May, followed by a scorching June,” said Martin Fowke, wine making director at Three Choirs vineyard.

    “The attraction of English wine is the fact that we’re a cooler climate, and we’re producing nice delicate fruit that make nice delicate wines.

    “Therefore we’re not celebrating the fact that temperatures are going up enormously.

    “Some of the varieties we planted in the earlier years are really no longer suitable. Things change, things move on, and we’ll have to move with that.”

    Mr Fowke said many people presume climate change is a positive thing for English wine-makers as they can grow different varieties, but warmer temperatures can cause issues with harvesting, disease and insects.

    “I’m very nervous to suggest it will be a good thing going forwards. I think we’ve reached a level that we don’t want to see much more change….”…

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  19. Almost incredibly (though as that it appears at the BBC, unsurprisingly), given the UK’s best ever grape wine crop in 2023, the BBC offers us this:

    “Climate change making it harder to produce wine, says vineyard”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hereford-worcester-67238490

    A vineyard in Worcestershire has said climate change has made it more difficult to produce wine.

    The first grapes at Astley Vineyard in Stourport-on-Severn were planted in 1971.

    Owner Bev Haywood said there had since been an increase in unpredictable weather, making it harder to ripen grapes and consistently create the same wine flavours.

    “We’re on the extremes of grape growing up here in Worcestershire,” she said.

    The Haywood family moved there six years ago and grows grapes on a single five-acre plot, producing 10,000 or fewer bottles of wine a year.

    Ms Haywood’s son, Chris Haywood, said when there was more rain it increased the likelihood of diseases.

    It also diluted grapes so wine had less flavour, he added….

    No context, no mention of the record crop this year. Very disappointing, BBC.

    Like

  20. Wait . . . . . what?

    “A Dorset winemaker has said the varied summer weather could mean a bumper crop this year.

    Claire Parker, from Melbury Vale Winery in Dorset, said they could do with one more month of “really decent weather”.

    Across England vineyards could see an unusually productive harvest in 2023 after the contrasting temperatures in June and July.

    Ms Parker said “breezy sunny days” and “gentle rain overnight” were the perfect conditions.”

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-dorset-66578929

    Who are the BBC kidding?

    Liked by 1 person

  21. “Global wine production falls to 62-year low in 2023”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-67343009

    Poor weather around the world is likely to cause global wine production to drop to a six-decade low this year.

    The International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV) says that wine production around the world is likely to be about 7% lower in 2023 than last year.

    Such a yield would be the worst since 1961.

    The OIV attributes the low levels of production to bad weather, including frost, heavy rainfall and drought….

    It seems clear that there is something in the story, but a few caveats should be noted:

    Though poor global production is bad for the industry overall, the OIV notes that falling global demand could mean the overall market remains relatively balanced – avoiding a drop in prices.

    Could it be that output has fallen as a response to falling demand? Certainly, the French government is encouraging alternative land-use:

    In August, the French government announced that it would allocate some €200m (£171.6m) to destroy surplus wine stocks as the industry struggled to adapt to falling demand.

    And the OIV website, which majors on the weather/climate aspect of this story, also cautions:

    This year’s figure should be, however, taken with caution, as there are still large countries like China, whose information is not available yet. Also, the high volatility in production volumes observed over the last years at both country and regional levels makes forecasting exercise even more difficult.

    And it is a forecast – these are not post-harvest figures (at least not world-wide). Finally:

    …the USA and a few EU countries like Germany, Portugal and Romania, experienced favourable climatic conditions that resulted in average or above-average volumes.

    You can add the UK to reports of an excellent harvest, even if volumes in the UK are still small@

    https://www.thedrinksbusiness.com/2023/10/amazing-harvest-with-unbelievable-yields-starts-in-england/

    If demand is declining, then wine users may reasonably be expected to cut consumption or move into different forms of agriculture. This, I think, is significant:

    https://www.wineaustralia.com/news/market-bulletin/issue-294

    Preliminary figures published by the International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV) for 2022 indicate that global consumption decreased by 1 per cent compared with 2021 to be 23.2 billion litres, continuing a steady decline from 24.6 billion litres in 2017, and more than 10 per cent below the peak of 25.0 billion litres in 2007.

    OIV figures for 2023 will not be available until 2024; however, the IWSR has forecast that global wine consumption will fall by 1 per cent in 2023, with all the top wine-consuming countries expected to decline in total consumption except China (up 1.9 per cent) and Russia (up 0.2 per cent). The largest falls are forecast for the UK (down 4.5 per cent), the USA (down 2.7 per cent) and France (down 2 per cent). Australia’s wine consumption is forecast to fall by 1.7 per cent.

    Applying these forecasts to the 2022 OIV consumption figures gives a total forecast consumption for 2023 of just under 23 billion litres. This would be 10 per cent (around 2.5 billion litres) less than total production (Figure 2).

    Like

  22. “‘Vintage to remember’: UK produces biggest ever grape harvest
    Weather and increase in plantings lead to bumper conditions for wine production”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/dec/21/uk-vineyards-biggest-ever-grape-harvest-wine-production

    British vineyards have hauled in their greatest ever grape harvest as a “near perfect year” for weather combined with more land in production.

    The industry is expecting to produce up to 22m bottles of wine this year, almost twice the 12.2m last year, according to the WineGB trade body.

    That is thanks to a grape harvest 50% bigger than the last record haul five years ago. Yields per hectare almost doubled on 2022 to 9.6 tonnes, from 5 last year and the previous high of 7.1 in 2018….

    …Stephen Skelton, the author of a report into the harvest titled The Big One added: “2023 will be a vintage to remember. The excellent yields are attributed to not only the near perfect weather for grapes at key times of the growing season, but also comes on the back of more hectares than ever before coming into production, having seen nearly 75% growth in plantings in the last five years alone.”

    While wet weather delayed new planting for some, the lack of frost at key times across most of the country, warm June, wet August and hot September all contributed to a heavy crop….

    …Chapel Down, one of the UK’s biggest winemakers, which listed on the Aim junior stock market earlier this month, said it had produced a record 3,811 tonnes of grapes this year, 86% higher than 2022. It said the harvest “exceeded our expectations on quality, as well as being both a record-breaking yield and tonnage”.

    Gusbourne, the Kent-based producer and one of the first major wineries to complete its harvest, said it had gathered its largest ever crop, up 25% on last year.

    Strange – not a mention of climate change, let alone “climate crisis”.

    Like

  23. “‘It’s a sun trap’: climate crisis brings boomtime for British wine

    UK vineyards are thriving as far north as Yorkshire and Scotland as investors cash in on tax breaks and hotter summers”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/apr/12/its-a-sun-trap-climate-crisis-brings-boomtime-for-british-wine

    I suppose you have to say things like this if you want the Guardian to plug your business:

    “I don’t want to put a positive spin on climate change, because it’s not a positive thing,” says Pike. “For every degree it goes up here the temperature and the weather changes elsewhere. People who are growing in Burgundy are facing things they have never faced before because of the unpredictability of the weather.”

    Nevertheless:

    He is part of a booming industry as the climate crisis and the lure of tax breaks and a new asset class transform viticulture. Knight Frank, the property agents, calls Britain the fastest-growing wine region in the world. Vineyards produce the fastest-growing edible agricultural crop in England, according to recent data issued by the Department for the Environment Food and Rural Affairs, and grapes represent 36% of England’s soft fruit crop.

    There are now 943 vineyards in the UK, almost triple the number 20 years ago, according to a report published in June 2023 by WineGB, the body that promotes the growth of the British wine sector.

    WineGB reported a 74% increase in vine plantings to 4,000 hectares (9,884 acres) in the previous five years, and plantings are expected to reach 7,600 hectares by 2032 yielding a potential 24.7m bottles. Between 2017 and 2022, England and Wales more than doubled wine production from 5.3m to 12.2m bottles, according to WineGB.

    Liked by 1 person

  24. Of course, yes, heaven forbid anyone would be caught trying to put a “positive spin” on climate change because the Settled Science is clear: all bad stuff happens because of climate change. There’s so much bad stuff happening and due to happen (in the next 2, 5, 10, 100 years according to the latest ‘expert’ opinions) that you cannot possibly look at a booming British wine industry and ‘t Yorkshire finest Bordeaux in isolation and say that it’s ‘good’.

    Like

  25. “Large English vineyards mark boom year as output and investment soars

    Though tiny compared with rivals, English wine trade is thriving as climate crisis fuels flood of new capital from investors”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/aug/05/large-english-vineyards-mark-boom-year-as-output-and-investment-soars

    Some “crisis”!

    The largest English vineyards increased their revenues by 15% last year, as wine investors respond to the climate crisis by planting more vines.

    While the UK still languishes well down the list of the largest wine-producing nations, below countries such as Uzbekistan and Tunisia, the industry’s output has soared in recent years, rising by 77% last year to 161,960 hectolitres, equivalent to 21.6m bottles.

    Analysis of Companies House filings for the seven largest vineyards shows that their turnover, led by Kent-based Chapel Down, rose from £32m to £37m last year, more than three times higher than the £13m recorded in 2018-19.

    One of the drivers for growth has been the “improved growing conditions in the UK as a result of climate change,” according to accountancy UHY Hacker Young, which reviewed the companies’ accounts….

    Like

  26. Mark – from just below the header on that article –

    “UK vineyards are thriving as far north as Yorkshire and Scotland as investors cash in on tax breaks and hotter summers”.

    Wonder what the “tax breaks” might be? well they are explained at the end of the article –

    “”Another factor encouraging wealthy individuals to invest in vineyards are agricultural property relief (APR) rules, which allow UK residents to pass on agricultural property, including vineyards and woodland, without having to pay inheritance tax. The tax laws were designed to ensure families could continue to farm without death duties but have proved attractive to wealthy investors who want to pass on their assets.

    However, Peter Harker, partner at consultants Saffery, says this is often only one reason for private investors to buy vineyards. “I would say it’s one factor. It’s a bonus, though not the reason why people do it,” he says.”

    Always wondered why so many celebs seem to own vineyards & wineries.

    Like

  27. dfhunter,

    As the Labour government looks around to raise money to fund the net zero madness, I have heard rumours that agricultural property relief might be in their sights. I don’t know if there is any truth in the rumours, however. We may find out in October.

    Like

  28. “In from the cold: Scandi wines hope to win over drinkers”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx27w5q315ro

    Inevitably the BBC pushes the climate change article (though not so hard as I might have expected). Interestingly, however, we get this:

    …it is the emergence of new, hardier grapes that largely kick-started the rise of Scandinavian wineries. “Climate change makes it easier for sure, but the main driver is the new cultivars.”…

    Like

  29. Mark – from your link I found this quote interesting “Commercial vineyards in Denmark and Sweden have only been allowed under European Union rules since 2000”

    Found this article relevant – (PDF) Wine production in Denmark Do the characteristics of the vineyards affect the chances for awards?

    “Due to pressure from the Danish Government the August 2000 revision of the EU Wine Regulation made it legal also to produce wine on a commercial basis in Denmark (the same was decided for Sweden and Ireland)

    It has many graphs and Climate changes and innovation gets mentioned in the 5. Conclusion section.

    ps – rereading the 2 comments above your latest makes me wonder why this –

    “Another factor encouraging wealthy individuals to invest in vineyards are agricultural property relief (APR) rules, which allow UK residents to pass on agricultural property, including vineyards and woodland, without having to pay inheritance tax”

    has not been reported more prominently by the Farmers union? these are the people who are milking the “inheritance tax” not hard working farmers?

    Liked by 1 person

  30. “Chet Valley Vineyard wine output falls after difficult 2024”

    Although the vineyard escaped bad frosts last year, it endured a prolonged cold period in the spring, and a very cold start to June – a crucial time when the flowers and fruit are setting.

    Meanwhile, the warm, moist summer created ideal conditions for downy mildew infections.

    EDP link.

    Like

  31. “Top winemaker ‘may have to leave its Spanish vineyards due to climate crisis’

    Familia Torres has been making wine in Catalonia since 1870, but says it may have to move to higher altitudes in 30 years’ time”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/may/17/top-winemaker-spanish-vineyards-climate-crisis-familia-torres

    A leading European winemaker has warned it may have to abandon its ancestral lands in Catalonia in 30 years’ time because climate change could make traditional growing areas too dry and hot.

    Familia Torres is already installing irrigation at its vineyards in Spain and California and is planting vines on land at higher altitudes as it tries to adapt to more extreme conditions.

    “Irrigation is the future. We do not rely on the weather,” said its 83-year-old president, Miguel Torres. “I don’t know how long we can stay here making good wines, maybe 20 or 30 years, I don’t know. Climate change is changing all the circumstances.”…

    Maybe 20 years, maybe 30 years, he doesn’t know. Maybe not at all. I could have posted this under “Whatever the Weather”, given what follows:

    ...Torres’s comments come after a difficult few years for European vineyards. He said production was down as much as 50% in some of the winemaker’s regions in 2023 – “the worst year I have ever seen” – and still down on historic averages last year amid extreme heat and drought.

    This year so far has been better – amid winter and spring rains and wider use of irrigation – but Torres said he was concerned that damper conditions bring the threat of mildew....

    Too dry, too wet, it has to be just right, like the porridge in Goldilocks and the Three Bears. If it isn’t just right, well then, that must be climate change. And perhaps the reality is in fact that it isn’t climate change, but harsh economic circumstances:

    ...potential threats from US import tariffs on top of additional duties imposed on wine in the UK in recent years, as well as a new packaging tax which is particularly high for glass bottles and jars.

    Torres said exports to the UK have fallen by as much as 10% and absorbing some of the cost increases has further knocked profits.

    We have no profit in exports to the UK, that is the reality. Hundreds of thousands of English people come to Spain on holiday and know the brand. We have to keep it alive in the UK.”

    He said Torres was considering bottling some of its cheaper wines in the UK in order to reduce cost – as it is less costly to import in bulk in tankers....

    Interestingly, he concludes that there is no alternative to exporting his wine to the UK – making it in the UK isn’t an option. What, not even in 20, maybe 30 years’ time? Not even with climate change? Meanwhile, there is an alternative reality:

    “Catalan wine goes from strength to strength”

    https://www.11onze.cat/en/magazine/catalan-wine-strength/

    Catalonia has a rich winemaking tradition that is reflected in its twelve designations of origin (DO): Alella, Catalunya, Cava, Conca de Barberà, Costers del Segre, Empordá, Montsant, Penedès, Pla de Bages, Priorat, Tarragona and Terra Alta. These territories are recognised both nationally and internationally for the production of quality wines and form part of a wine-growing ecosystem that continues to grow in all its specialities.

    This is what can be gleaned from the latest study on the wine value chain in Catalonia, elaborated by the Catalan Government’s Department of Business and Employment through ACCIÓ, the Agency for Business Competitiveness, which analyses the state of health of the Catalan wine and Cava sector.

    According to this report, the turnover of this sector has doubled since 2016, when it was last analysed, with 62% more companies turning over €3,267 million a year (an increase of 104%), equivalent to 1.2% of GDP, and employing 10,460 people....

    Liked by 1 person

  32. “Wine helps farming family cope with climate change”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2013250gepo

    …Anecdotally, the Carlisles say they have seen farmers across the country adapting to the warming climate and that growing grapes seems to be becoming more popular in the farming community.

    We wanted to make the most of the changing climate. It’s getting warmer and warmer. We have the perfect soil for growing grapes,” said Georgie Carlisle.

    Her brother Will adds: “The French climate is getting a lot warmer and where we currently are now, soil wise, we’re exactly the same soil type as like the Champagne region.”

    Climate experts say that the general weather trend, with a warming climate, will see winters become warmer and wetter and the summers hotter and drier.

    So far the weather this year has been good for the vines but they have had the ups and downs of the typical British weather since they were planted as Georgie explains: “We’ve had their frost fans on for about six or seven nights in total, which causes sleepless nights. We have to check their temperature all the time.

    “The temperature varies from the top to the bottom of the field.

    “We had -1.8C at the bottom of the field and four to five degrees at the top. It is quite tricky to try and manage.”...

    Not climate change, then….

    Like

  33. “The Guardian view on France’s wine crisis: the answer to claret could be clairet”

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/aug/15/the-guardian-view-on-frances-wine-crisis-the-answer-to-claret-could-be-clairet

    According to the Guardian:

    …This once timeless rhythm is now collapsing. Part of the problem is the climate crisis. Bordeaux still benefits from its moderate Atlantic climate. But south-west France is getting much hotter and drier. Even in the Gironde region, maximum temperatures have been close to 40C at times this past week. Adaptation, in the form of hardier grapes and greater crop diversity, feels unavoidable….

    Read on, however , and the truth is revealed:

    …A much larger challenge, however, is today’s changing wine market. Demand for red wine in general, and for the full-bodied, long maturing red wines with generally high alcohol content that are synonymous with Bordeaux in particular, has slumped. This has affected not just the signature premiers crus in which monarchs and the global rich have always invested, but also the vineyards producing the ordinary Bordeaux red wines sold in supermarkets around the globe. For a region whose wine output is 85% red, this is an existential crisis.

    Bordeaux produces around 650m bottles of wine each year; but it currently sells only 500m. Demand for red wine in France has fallen by 38% in the past five years; in the 10 years to 2023 the fall was 45%. Nor is the slump confined to France. Demand in the Chinese market has halved since 2017. US tariffs will undoubtedly hit the 20% of Bordeaux exports that previously went across the Atlantic. These consumption changes are likely to be irreversible, at least in the short and medium term.

    So not climate change, then.

    Liked by 1 person

  34. As a canny Scot I buy Tesco’s boxed Wine Route Chile Merlot 2.25L £15.50.

    The wife also likes boxed Wine Route Chile Sauvignon Blanc 2.25L £15.00.

    So as opposed to shipping from France they come all the way from Chile!!!

    Have to admit I am not a wine expert but we both enjoy them, so that’s all that matters.

    PS – Isle Of Man only has Tesco as a large supermarket.

    PPS – “existential crisis” seems to crop up a lot lately, thought I knew what it meant, but did a quick search, seems I know diddly –

    Existential crisis | Definition, Meaning, Symptoms, Examples, & Depression | Britannica

    Partial quote – “Characteristics

    Although the defining characteristics of an existential crisis vary among psychologists, most agree that it is at heart a period of anxiety and conflict about purpose and life’s meaning. Some psychologists focus on the existential crisis as a question of identity and whom a person wants to be. Others say it revolves around feelings of responsibility and commitment versus independence and freedom. Many say it is a confrontation with realizations about existential realities such as death. An existential conflict is often considered to be related to spirituality, as many people find meaning in spiritual practice.”

    No wiser.

    Like

  35. “Vineyard experiences ‘best year’ due to summer sun”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn5e6nxzl22o

    A vineyard owner in Shropshire has said 2025 has been his “best year” for harvesting due to the sustained hot weather.

    Rob Greenow purchased Veenow in Telford in 2020 with his wife Katie and said the year’s weather had helped fight off mildew, which could harm the health and yield of grapevines.

    But the heat has also made the fruit “pack more punch and flavour”, which Mr Greenow said would “shine through” when they made their wine later in the year.

    “For grape quality, vine health and just overall vineyard growing it’s been the best year I’d say that we’ve had,” he said…..

    Liked by 2 people

  36. Wonder if that will make the MSM news as opposed to the farmers interviewed saying climate change means they can’t survive this hot summer with yields down?

    Like

  37. “Climate change pushing winemakers to blend wines from different years”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czxp41y3n7lo

    …with climate change hitting vineyards around the world with more extreme weather, a small but growing number of quality-conscious wineries are releasing non-vintage bottles so they can make a more consistent wine.

    Then we get this rather odd snippet (odd, that is, if you believe wine-makers are facing a climate catastrophe:

    While the world’s still wines remain mostly vintage, there is one type of wine where non-vintage blends actually dominate – sparkling wine.

    This is led by France’s champagnes, where the vast majority of those produced have always been non-vintage.

    Historically this was a necessity, as Champagne is the most northern wine region in France, and good summers were rare. So champagne-makers had little choice but to blend wines from different years to create a consistent, quality product.

    Yet thanks to climate change bringing warmer summers to northern France, there is now more vintage champagne being produced than ever before….

    Even assuming (a major assumption) that the BBC’s crisis-laden article has a hint of truth about it, does it matter? Ironically, the BBC’s conclusion seems to be “no”.

    …Back in California’s Napa Valley, Chris Howell admits that more work has to be done to remove the stigma that non-vintage wines still face.

    Why are we so obsessed with single vintages? We need to change drinkers’ perceptions. Non-vintage wines can be delicious.

    Dawn Davies is a master of wine, a holder of the global wine industry’s top qualification. She says that there are three types of wine buyers, two of whom will welcome more non-vintage still wines.

    The general consumer won’t notice,” she says. “The drinkers who buy a bottle up to the £15 mark, they just pick up a bottle of, say, sauvignon blanc. They don’t think ‘oh 2021, that was a good year‘.

    And, at the top end, people engaged in the wine industry or those more informed, they know what is happening with tougher vintages. And they welcome the increased flexibility and consistency that non-vintage wines can offer the winemaker.

    “Then you have the drinkers in the middle who shout about different vintages. There will always be this group of people who don’t accept change in wine, such as the introduction of screw caps.

    But most wine, the vast majority, is a blend, as very rarely do you get a wine from a single barrel. Instead wines are blended from different vineyards or plots. So what’s the difference if you blend from different years?”

    Like

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