Alarmism on stilts with its dunce cap on. This is what the public are being fed on. It’s just so ridiculous, I wonder if it’s worth even commenting on, but people who know nothing about IPCC climate science will read this and think it is fact, not ill informed garbage penned by a Fail ‘health reporter’ with maybe two grade 2 GCSEs who says:
They used two models predicting changes from a 2.6°C (37°F) rise or an 8.5°C (47.3°F) rise by the year 2100 and found the more the global temperature rises, the bigger the problem will be.
The 2.6°C rise was considered the best-case scenario, if action is taken to reduce climate change, while the 8.5°C rise was the worst-case ‘business-as-usual’ scenario, they said.
Here is what the authors say:
Current mean monthly temperature data was derived from the WorldClim dataset (www.worldclim.org) . For future climates, we selected four general circulation models (GCMs) that are most commonly used by studies forecasting species distributional shifts, at a set of four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) that account for different global responses to mitigate climate change. These are the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM1.1); the Hadley GCM (HadGEM2-AO and HadGEM2-ES); and the National Center for Atmospheric Research’s Community Climate System Model (CCSM4). Each of these can respectively be forecasted for RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5. The scenarios are created to represent standardized cases of how future climate will respond to emissions outputs, ranging from the best-case scenario for mitigation and adaptation (2.6) to the worst-case, business-as-usual fossil fuel emissions scenario (8.5). The scenarios are denoted by numbers (e.g. 2.6, 8.5) corresponding to increased radiation in W/m2 by the year 2100, therefore expressing scenarios of increasing severity in the longest term.
Spot the difference? Duh, Watts per square meter is not average global surface temperature rise in degrees Celsius. Who’d have thunk it, eh? But not content to be merely an idiot reporter, Sam Blanchard goes full retard and converts degrees Celsius rise in temperature to degrees Fahrenheit, by assuming the rise in temperature in Celsius is an absolute temperature measurement! How many idiot climate change reporters have made the same mistake over the years? I’ve lost count. It’s simple, you have to use a temperature increment conversion not a common scale conversion! When you do this, 2.6C = 4.68F and 8.5C = 15.3F.
The only thing Sam got right is also wrong. He described – as do the authors – that RCP8.5 is ‘business as usual’. It’s not. Nowhere near. This is an example of scientists deliberately misrepresenting science and society to paint an extremely unlikely and nightmarish high end emissions scenario as a casual consequence of failing to address climate change.
The rest of the article is the usual alarmist drivel.
Mosquitoes carrying serious illnesses like Zika and dengue fever could migrate to the UK in the next few decades because of global warming, scientists predict.
The Aedes aegypti mosquito – currently found mostly in Africa and Asia – could be lured north by warmer, more humid weather as the global temperature rises.
And as many as a billion more people, including residents of Canada, the UK and Europe, could be exposed to the infectious bugs.
Researchers say this could become normal by 2080, if the current rate of climate change continues.
The scientists added the viruses are likely to cause particularly nasty outbreaks in countries which have never experienced them before – such as the UK – because people haven’t built up any immunity to them.
I guess the warmer, more humid summer weather in the UK will be happening whilst climate change also gives us hotter, drier summers (like 2018) . . . . . or something. The Fail even manages to misquote the author, Sadie Ryan:
In the worst-case emissions scenario, where the earth warms by 8.5C by the turn of the century, many more people will likely deal with mosquito-carried viruses, Dr Ryan said.
And she added that, without immediate action to reduce carbon emissions and curb climate change, the mosquitoes will be ‘one of our biggest threats to global security’.
I seriously doubt she would have mentioned earth warming by 8.5C by 2100!